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129 E Fulton St
D Composite 42.31
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +5.3/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$159,000

129 E Fulton St · Perrinton, MI 48874
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,308 sqft · SingleFamily · 94 Days on market
Built 1900 0.50 ac lot Est $152k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 129 E Fulton St in Pompeii MI. This is a great home with many updates to the kitchen to the bathroom and the flooring and fixtures. Welcome to a small town where life is relaxed. You will love it. The kitchen appliances are newly installed and are stainless steel finish. The cabinets and counters are newly installed also. Schedule your showing today.

Key facts

  • Kitchen appliances
  • 0.5 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

KITCHEN APPLIANCESSTAINLESS STEEL FINISHNEWLY INSTALLED CABINETSNEWLY INSTALLED COUNTERS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $159k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $16 ($188/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $122k (23.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $122k (23.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#628 in MI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Ithaca Public Schools (rural): math 31% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #221 of 540 in MI (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: North Elementary School (math 29% / reading 44%, grade F, #720 of 1,397 statewide, top 52%, 305 students, 56% FRL); Ithaca High School (math 33% / reading 53%, grade F, #260 of 713 statewide, top 37%, 467 students, 44% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 47 units permitted in Gratiot County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Gratiot County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $159k implies a 536% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $122,058 (23.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
6.41%
Cash-on-cash
0.42%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
10.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$151,728
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
129 E Fulton St 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,308 (0%) 1mo $152,000 $116 99
123 Burton St 0.13mi 3/1.0 1,491 (+14%) 24mo $163,200 $109 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.9%
Equity multiple
1.45×
Total profit
$20,079
Equity at exit
$71,493
10-year hold
IRR
10.5%
Equity multiple
2.57×
Total profit
$70,003
Equity at exit
$110,180

Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48874

Active inventory
2
Price-to-rent
10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,221 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$834
Tax from tax record
$49 /mo · $582/yr
Insurance
$66
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$256
Net cashflow
$16

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,201
Max offer price $159,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $106 -5% $61 +0% $16 +5% $-29 +10% $-74
Rent -10% $-81 -5% $-33 +0% $16 +5% $64 +10% $112
Rate -1.0pp $96 -0.5pp $56 base $16 +0.5pp $-26 +1.0pp $-67

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,750
Closing costs
$4,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-03-07
    status Pending 363-char remark
    Show marketing remark (363 chars)

    Welcome to 129 E Fulton St in Pompeii MI. This is a great home with many updates to the kitchen to the bathroom and the flooring and fixtures. Welcome to a small town where life is relaxed. You will love it. The kitchen appliances are newly installed and are stainless steel finish. The cabinets and counters are newly installed also. Schedule your showing today.

  2. 2026-03-07
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (363 chars)

    Welcome to 129 E Fulton St in Pompeii MI. This is a great home with many updates to the kitchen to the bathroom and the flooring and fixtures. Welcome to a small town where life is relaxed. You will love it. The kitchen appliances are newly installed and are stainless steel finish. The cabinets and counters are newly installed also. Schedule your showing today.

  3. 2025-12-03
    listed $159,000 Active 363-char remark
    Show marketing remark (363 chars)

    Welcome to 129 E Fulton St in Pompeii MI. This is a great home with many updates to the kitchen to the bathroom and the flooring and fixtures. Welcome to a small town where life is relaxed. You will love it. The kitchen appliances are newly installed and are stainless steel finish. The cabinets and counters are newly installed also. Schedule your showing today.

  4. 2025-12-03
    listed $159,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (363 chars)

    Welcome to 129 E Fulton St in Pompeii MI. This is a great home with many updates to the kitchen to the bathroom and the flooring and fixtures. Welcome to a small town where life is relaxed. You will love it. The kitchen appliances are newly installed and are stainless steel finish. The cabinets and counters are newly installed also. Schedule your showing today.

  5. 2025-08-05
    soldstatus $25,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$582 · $49/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,515 · $126/mo
Expected delta
+$933/yr (+$78/mo · 160.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,647
− Mortgage interest
−$8,906
− Property taxes
−$582
− Insurance
−$795
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,172
− Management
−$1,172
− Depreciation
−$4,625
Taxable loss
−$2,606
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$625
After-tax cash flow
$814/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ithaca Public Schools
NCES district ID
2619580
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$45,626
Composite
33.6/100
National rank
#5412
State rank
#221 of 540 in MI

Livability — Perrinton

Score
58/100
State rank
#628
US rank
#21142

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
160

Population outlook (Gratiot County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
39,991 people
By 2030
38,944 · -2.6%
By 2040
36,694 · -8.2%
By 2050
34,314 · -14.2%
By 2075
27,693 · -30.8%
By 2100
20,809 · -48.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 32% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Common ancestry
Iranian 21% Slovak 11%

Political lean MEDSL · Gratiot

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.3) · D 33.7% · R 65.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-35.7pp toward R · 2008: 4.4pp · 2024: -31.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.3 2020: R+28.3 2016: R+25.6 2012: R+3.9 2008: D+4.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+536.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-07 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-07 Pending Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2025-12-03 Listed $159,000 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2025-12-03 Listed $159,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-08-05 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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