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B- Composite 66.73
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +1.7/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,900

2050 W Dunlap Ave Unit C093 · Phoenix, AZ 85021
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 864 sqft · Manufactured · 399 Days on market
Built 2025

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This 2.0 bed 1.0 bath Manufactured Home at Desertscape in Phoenix, AZ is a charming 864 square feet new build by Cavco in 2023. The interior of the home boasts a spacious Living Room, cozy Dining Room, comfortable Master Bedroom, fully equipped Kitchen, and convenient Laundry Room. The home comes complete with modern amenities including Central A/C, Washer/Dryer Hook Up, Hot Water Heater, Oven, Fridge, Dishwasher, Microwave, Garbage Disposal, and sleek Stainless Steel Appliances. The exterior features of the home include a Carport for parking, a Patio for outdoor relaxation, and a Shed for additional storage space. Located in the serene community of Desertscape in Phoenix, AZ, residents can

Key facts

  • Built 2025
  • Listed 398 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: List price $89,900

Exterior

  • Home design: Spec/inventory unit; Single-story unit (within building)
  • Exterior features: Located on W Dunlap Ave

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Unit in a multi-unit building

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $371 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 3.3% in Phoenix — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#16 in AZ, #3,924 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F.
  • Glendale Union High School District (4285) (urban): math 23% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #130 of 249 in AZ (top 52%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.1%/yr); 179 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 399 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $79,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 399 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.40%
Cap rate
11.25%
Cash-on-cash
17.69%
DSCR
1.79
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.7%
Equity multiple
1.21×
Total profit
$5,405
Equity at exit
$13,404
10-year hold
IRR
12.2%
Equity multiple
1.83×
Total profit
$20,990
Equity at exit
$7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85021

Rents YoY
-3.1%
Active inventory
179
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,256 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax est. 1.5%
$112 /mo · $1,348/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$264
Net cashflow
$371

Break-even live

Break-even rent $786
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 65%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9202 N 19th Ave Phoenix, AZ 2.0 1.0–2.0 645 $1,550 $2.40 1d 8 0.18mi
2220 W Mission Ln Phoenix, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 944 $1,647 $1.74 1d 67 0.21mi
1814 W Vogel Ave Phoenix, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0 737 $1,249 $1.69 1d 1 0.36mi
8902 N 19th Ave Phoenix, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 733 $1,265 $1.73 1d 12 0.36mi
1702 W Vogel Ave Unit C5 Phoenix, AZ 2.0 1.0 750 $845 $1.13 14d 1 0.45mi
1703 W Mountain View Rd Phoenix, AZ 1.0 1.0 625 $795 $1.27 1d 1 0.49mi
9633 N 17th Ave Unit 23 Phoenix, AZ 2.0 1.0 735 $1,395 $1.90 13d 1 0.49mi
9633 N 17th Ave Unit 16 Phoenix, AZ 1.0 1.0 650 $1,095 $1.68 1d 1 0.49mi
2323 W Dunlap Ave Phoenix, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 788 $1,370 $1.74 1d 9 0.53mi
10034 N 18th Ave Unit 1 Phoenix, AZ 2.0 2.0 945 $949 $1.00 1d 1 0.54mi
1753 W Brown St Phoenix, AZ 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,450 $1.32 1d 1 0.54mi
10044 N 18th Ave Unit 2 Phoenix, AZ 2.0 2.0 945 $899 $0.95 1d 1 0.56mi
1614 W Purdue Ave Unit 202 Phoenix, AZ 2.0 1.0 720 $895 $1.24 1d 1 0.56mi
1597 W Mountain View Rd Unit 7 Phoenix, AZ 2.0 1.0 856 $1,149 $1.34 18d 1 0.63mi
1597 W Mountain View Rd Unit 5 Phoenix, AZ 2.0 1.0 806 $1,155 $1.43 1d 1 0.63mi
2506 W Dunlap Ave Phoenix, AZ 2.0 1.0–2.0 719 $1,480 $2.06 1d 14 0.63mi
8530 N 22nd Ave Unit 1016 Phoenix, AZ 1.0 1.0 632 $1,099 $1.74 24d 1 0.66mi
8530 N 22nd Ave Unit 2008 Phoenix, AZ 2.0 2.0 996 $1,499 $1.51 17d 1 0.66mi
8530 N 22nd Ave Phoenix, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 814 $1,499 $1.84 10d 55 0.67mi
8530 N 22nd Ave Unit 1028 Phoenix, AZ 2.0 2.0 902 $1,399 $1.55 17d 1 0.67mi
8530 N 22nd Ave Unit 2041 Phoenix, AZ 1.0 1.0 632 $1,099 $1.74 1d 1 0.68mi
2122 W Butler Dr Phoenix, AZ 2.0 1.0–2.0 637 $1,550 $2.43 1d 12 0.69mi
8530 N 22nd Ave Unit 2057 Phoenix, AZ 1.0 1.0 707 $1,199 $1.70 1d 1 0.70mi
8530 N 22nd Ave Unit 2051 Phoenix, AZ 1.0 1.0 707 $1,199 $1.70 24d 1 0.71mi
8530 N 22nd Ave Unit 266 Phoenix, AZ 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,199 $1.20 1d 1 0.71mi
8530 N 22nd Ave Unit 2079 Phoenix, AZ 2.0 2.0 902 $1,399 $1.55 1d 1 0.72mi
8530 N 22nd Ave Unit 2119 Phoenix, AZ 1.0 1.0 632 $1,099 $1.74 17d 1 0.73mi
8530 N 22nd Ave Unit 2114 Phoenix, AZ 2.0 2.0 996 $1,499 $1.51 1d 1 0.76mi
1321 W Vogel Ave Unit 5 Phoenix, AZ 2.0 1.0 621 $1,050 $1.69 1d 1 0.77mi
2045 W Butler Dr Phoenix, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 738 $1,202 $1.63 1d 14 0.79mi
8330 N 19th Ave Phoenix, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 818 $1,440 $1.76 1d 24 0.82mi
8445 N 23rd Ave Unit 244 Phoenix, AZ 1.0 1.0 606 $1,040 $1.72 17d 1 0.82mi
2121 W Butler Dr Phoenix, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1025 $2,095 $2.04 1d 33 0.84mi
8445 N 23rd Ave Phoenix, AZ 1.0 1.0 616 $1,045 $1.70 1d 3 0.84mi
10213 N 15th Ave Unit 1 Phoenix, AZ 2.0 1.0 850 $950 $1.12 1d 1 0.89mi
10213 N 15th Ave Unit 1 Phoenix, AZ 2.0 1.0 850 $1,025 $1.21 10d 1 0.89mi
1212 W Mountain View Rd Unit 1 Phoenix, AZ 1.0 1.0 580 $999 $1.72 1d 1 0.89mi
1212 W Mountain View Rd Unit 7 Phoenix, AZ 2.0 1.0 700 $1,150 $1.64 1d 1 0.89mi
10231 N 15th Ave Phoenix, AZ 3.0 1.0 900 $1,350 $1.50 1d 1 0.92mi
10231 N 15th Ave Phoenix, AZ 2.0 1.0 625 $1,250 $2.00 13d 1 0.92mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,900 Active 399 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,900 Active 398 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,900 Active 397 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,900 Active 396 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,900 Active 394 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,900 Active 390 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 389 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,900 Active 388 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $89,900 Active 385 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $89,900 Active 384 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,900 Active 383 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,900 Active 382 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,900 Active 381 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥112°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,074
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$1,348
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,206
− Management
−$1,206
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$3,213
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$771
After-tax cash flow
$3,682/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Glendale Union High School District (4285)
NCES district ID
0403450
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -38.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -19.00%
Median HH income
$40,846
Composite
22.81/100
National rank
#8020
State rank
#130 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Phoenix

Score
75/100
State rank
#16
US rank
#3924

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B- Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Phoenix, AZ
County
Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
City population
1,500,198
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
39,828
Household income
$59,768
Rent vs Own
60.6% rent · 39.4% own
Severe rent burden
2553.0

Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
4,979,203 people
By 2030
5,378,229 · +8.0%
By 2040
6,156,598 · +23.6%
By 2050
6,872,376 · +38.0%
By 2075
8,401,270 · +68.7%
By 2100
9,247,439 · +85.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Hispanic / Latino 34% Two or more races 21% Black 12% Native American 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 27% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 22% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -450.91%
Current HPI
328.1754
Rent YoY
▼ -3.08%
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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