20 Tranquil Ln · Crawfordville, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.2/30.0
- ARV discount +11.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Appreciation +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$205,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This like-new home is super clean and ready for its new buyer to move in! Located on a short, paved street with a cul-de-sac, it's quiet and less traveled. The kitchen features like-new stainless steel appliances, shaker style cabinets with tasteful accent colors, and plenty of natural lighting. The master bedroom is a nice size, with a tray ceiling and walk in closet. This home also features french doors that lead out to the covered back porch, a ring door bell, and is fully fenced. Crawfordville is a growing town, with A rated schools, close to beaches and rivers, and only 30 minutes to Tallahassee. This affordable, cute home won't last long, so schedule your private showing asap!
Key facts
- Local amenities
- Great outdoor space
- 4,791 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Offered for sale
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction
- Exterior features: Publicly maintained road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Icemaker; Microwave; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Bedroom 2 (12x12); Bedroom 3 (12x10)
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric heating
- Interior features: Tray ceilings; Vaulted ceilings
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $205k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $110 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $191k (6.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $191k (6.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 4.3% in Crawfordville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in FL, #2,943 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Wakulla (rural): math 56% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #18 of 73 in FL (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 346 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 468 units permitted in Wakulla County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.29%
- DSCR
- 1.10
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $225,182
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 Imaginary | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,198 (-5%) | 1mo | $218,000 | $182 | 89 |
| 120 Duane Dr | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,314 (+4%) | 2mo | $265,000 | $202 | 88 |
| 115 Melody Ln | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,215 (-3%) | 2mo | $216,900 | $179 | 85 |
| 40 Duane Dr | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,230 (-2%) | 1mo | $228,000 | $185 | 83 |
| 51 Ted Lott Ln | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,226 (-2%) | 1mo | $199,000 | $162 | 79 |
| 86 Shar-mel-re Ln | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,215 (-3%) | 2mo | $219,400 | $181 | 78 |
| 95 Tafflinger Rd | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,225 (-3%) | 1mo | $216,900 | $177 | 74 |
| 4 Shar-mel-re Ln | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,278 (+2%) | 1mo | $230,000 | $180 | 73 |
| 88A Tafflinger Rd | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,215 (-3%) | 1mo | $216,900 | $179 | 70 |
| 163 Shar-mel-re Ln | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,406 (+12%) | 1mo | $242,400 | $172 | 70 |
| 108 Lance Ln | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,406 (+12%) | 1mo | $239,900 | $171 | 69 |
| 8 Melody Ln | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,406 (+12%) | 1mo | $239,900 | $171 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.18% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-25,869
- Equity at exit
- $30,566
- IRR
- -3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-12,032
- Equity at exit
- $17,725
Cash invested: $57,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32327
- Home prices YoY
- -1.5%
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 346
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,910 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,075
- Tax from tax record
- −$238 /mo · $2,861/yr
- Insurance
- −$85
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$401
- Net cashflow
- $110
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $51,250
- Closing costs
- $6,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 212 Tafflinger Rd Crawfordville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1497 | $2,000 | $1.34 | 21d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 7 Homestretch Ln Crawfordville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 931 | $1,350 | $1.45 | 21d | 7 | 0.98mi |
| 48 Ruby Ln Crawfordville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1290 | $1,600 | $1.24 | 14d | 1 | 0.98mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $205,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $205,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $205,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $205,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-14remarks 395-char remark
-
2026-06-14$205,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,861 · $238/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,861 · $238/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,914
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,483
- − Property taxes
- −$2,861
- − Insurance
- −$1,025
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,833
- − Management
- −$1,833
- − Depreciation
- −$5,964
- Taxable loss
- −$2,084
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$500
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,816/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wakulla
- NCES district ID
- 1201950
- Math proficiency
- 56% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,740
- Composite
- 48.12/100
- National rank
- #2183
- State rank
- #18 of 73 in FL
Livability — Crawfordville
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #187
- US rank
- #2943
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Wakulla County · 31,445 people
- City population
- 31,445
- Metro
- Tallahassee, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,445
- Household income
- $84,138
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 360.0
Population outlook (Wakulla County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 32,809 people
- By 2030
- 33,165 · +1.1%
- By 2040
- 33,245 · +1.3%
- By 2050
- 32,539 · -0.8%
- By 2075
- 29,676 · -9.5%
- By 2100
- 22,931 · -30.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 15% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wakulla
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.4) · D 27.4% · R 71.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.5pp toward R · 2008: -24.8pp · 2024: -44.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.4 2020: R+40.9 2016: R+40.1 2012: R+28.1 2008: R+24.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -4.59%
- Current HPI
- 302.1883
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.18%
- Metro
- Tallahassee, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+36.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Listed $205,000 CATRS
- 2022-08-19 Sold (Public Records) $209,000 Public Records
- 2022-08-19 Sold (MLS) $209,000 CATRS
- 2022-08-06 Contingent — CATRS
- 2022-08-02 Listed $209,900 CATRS
- 2020-07-09 Sold (MLS) $148,900 CATRS
- 2020-06-08 Listed $149,900 CATRS
Property tax history
+114.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,861 · +12.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…