1646 Quebec Rd · Cincinnati, OH
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.6/30.0
- ARV discount +13.9/15.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Solid 2 bedroom, 1 bath, brick cape cod. Updated roof, gutters, windows, HWH. Estate sale. Sold As-Is. Cash or conventional financing only. Second floor could be finished into a 3rd bedroom or game room. Hardwood floors under carpet.
Key facts
- Updated windows
- Updated roof
- Updated gutters
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot is approximately 0.145 acres (about 47 x 136)
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Attached front garage (1-car); Driveway parking; On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas service; Gas water heating
- Home design: Cape Cod style single-family home; One-and-one-half stories; Residential zoning
- Construction: Shingle roof; Poured foundation; Brick construction
- Exterior features: Covered deck/patio; Vinyl windows; Brick exterior
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen about 10 x 10; Gas cooktop; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms total; Primary bedroom about 12 x 11 (on main level); Second bedroom about 11 x 10 (on main level)
- Flooring: Wood floors in dining room; Wall-to-wall carpet in living room; Carpet/wood mix noted in dining/living areas
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; Primary bathroom listed as other
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Five total rooms; Bonus room; Full unfinished basement with poured foundation and concrete floor
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $24 ($285/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $112k (13.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $112k (13.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.9% in Cincinnati — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#130 in OH, #1,856 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
- Cincinnati Public Schools (urban): math 25% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #581 of 656 in OH (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 69 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 801 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (190 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.61%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $151,536
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3634 W Liberty St | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 | 955 (+3%) | 6mo | $142,000 | $149 | 80 |
| 1705 Wyoming Ave | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 | 821 (-11%) | 3mo | $70,000 | $85 | 74 |
| 1732 Quebec Rd | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 | 1,033 (+12%) | 9mo | $133,750 | $129 | 70 |
| 1617 Dewey Ave | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 941 (+2%) | 7mo | $111,000 | $118 | 69 |
| 3906 W Liberty St | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 1,006 (+9%) | 4mo | $72,000 | $72 | 69 |
| 1124 Elberon Ave | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 | 934 (+1%) | 1mo | $177,500 | $190 | 64 |
| 1232 Fairbanks Ave | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 900 (-3%) | 8mo | $148,000 | $164 | 64 |
| 2245 Quebec Rd | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 948 (+3%) | 1mo | $137,900 | $145 | 64 |
| 1709 Wyoming Ave | 0.10mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,026 (+11%) | 10mo | $170,000 | $166 | 62 |
| 3627 W Liberty St | 0.23mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,008 (+9%) | 5mo | $168,000 | $167 | 59 |
| 1625 First Ave | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 816 (-12%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $214 | 57 |
| 1228 Fairbanks Ave | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (-13%) | 6mo | $142,900 | $179 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.3% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-19,218
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- -5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-13,401
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45205
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 69
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,124 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$72 /mo · $870/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$236
- Net cashflow
- $24
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3772 W Liberty St Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1066 | $1,350 | $1.27 | 4d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 1607 Minion Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1066 | $1,675 | $1.57 | 23d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 1905 Wyoming Ave Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,012 | $1.19 | 1d | 2 | 0.34mi |
| 2291 Wyoming Ave Unit 2291-11 Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $850 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2291 Wyoming Ave Unit 2291-1 Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $800 | $1.18 | 4d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2303 Wyoming Ave Unit 2303-8 Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $800 | $1.18 | 4d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2303 Wyoming Ave Unit 2303-5 Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $880 | $1.29 | 4d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2303 Wyoming Ave Unit 2303-7 Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $850 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2303 Wyoming Ave Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $912 | $1.34 | 16d | 2 | 0.49mi |
| 2303 Wyoming Ave Unit 2303-4 Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $975 | $1.43 | 23d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2299 Wyoming Ave Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $850 | $1.25 | 16d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1872 Sunset Ave Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,075 | $1.21 | 4d | 7 | 0.50mi |
| 1820 Sunset Ave Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,049 | $1.40 | 21d | 6 | 0.55mi |
| 1224 Sliker Ave Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $850 | $0.89 | 4d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 953 Wells St Unit 1 Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $850 | $1.31 | 3d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1057 Winfield Ave Unit 2 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 944 Elberon Ave Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 23d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 3643 W 8th St Unit 1 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $995 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 808 Elberon Ave Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.5 | 591 | $850 | $1.44 | 23d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 937 Grand Ave Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,395 | $1.69 | 23d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2504 White St Unit 7 Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $695 | $1.16 | 23d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2570 Sarvis Ct Unit 2570 01 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,195 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2570 Sarvis Ct Unit 2572 12 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2101 Harrison Ave Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $699 | $0.87 | 3d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2101 Harrison Ave Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $699 | $0.87 | 17d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2109 Harrison Ave Unit 15 Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $900 | $1.44 | 3d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 717 Elberon Ave Unit Elberon 717 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1117 | $995 | $0.89 | 23d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 944 Chateau Ave Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $895 | $1.28 | 23d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 938 Chateau Ave Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $895 | $1.28 | 23d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2496 Queen City Ave Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $940 | $1.50 | 13d | 6 | 1.07mi |
| 2721 Baker Ave Unit 23-35 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 785 | $1,095 | $1.39 | 23d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2822 Price Ave Unit 10 Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 544 | $832 | $1.53 | 23d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2822 Price Ave Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 544 | $860 | $1.58 | 4d | 9 | 1.10mi |
| 2822 Price Ave Unit 9 Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 544 | $840 | $1.54 | 23d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2500 Warsaw Ave #39 Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,050 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 2117 Saint Leo Pl Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,150 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2703 Erlene Dr Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 691 | $1,045 | $1.51 | 3d | 39 | 1.14mi |
| 2701 Lehman Rd Unit 18 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 652 | $1,400 | $2.15 | 23d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1657 Lionel Ave Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $1,100 | $1.63 | 23d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 4370 Saint Lawrence Ave #1 Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 876 | $1,050 | $1.20 | 16d | 1 | 1.27mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $130,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $130,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $130,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $130,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $130,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 233-char remark
-
2026-06-13$130,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $870 · $72/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,449 · $121/mo
- Expected delta
- +$579/yr (+$48/mo · 66.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,483
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$870
- − Insurance
- −$1,316
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,079
- − Management
- −$1,079
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable loss
- −$1,924
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$462
- After-tax cash flow
- $747/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cincinnati Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3904375
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,743
- Composite
- 25.21/100
- National rank
- #7508
- State rank
- #581 of 656 in OH
Livability — Cincinnati
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #130
- US rank
- #1856
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cincinnati, OH
- County
- Hamilton County · 701,295 people
- City population
- 505,555
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,651
- Household income
- $43,682
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 980.0
Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 826,054 people
- By 2030
- 830,947 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 832,319 · +0.8%
- By 2050
- 822,428 · -0.4%
- By 2075
- 788,688 · -4.5%
- By 2100
- 710,674 · -14.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 43% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, India, China
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton
- 2024 margin
- D (+14.9) · D 57.0% · R 42.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: 7.0pp · 2024: 14.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+14.9 2020: D+15.9 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -138.67%
- Current HPI
- 163.3375
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.30%
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $130,000 Cincy MLS
Property tax history
+7.4%/yrLatest (2025): $870 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…