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3424 W Washington #228
C+ Composite 64.44
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.7/30.0
  • DSCR +9.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$275,000

3424 W Washington #228 · Santa Ana, CA 92703
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · Manufactured · 328 Days on market
Built 2016 Fair condition $205/sqft · 65% above area ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 3424 W Washington Ave, Space 228 – a spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom mobile home located in the desirable Holiday Mobile Home Estates, a well-maintained and gated community in the heart of Santa Ana. This charming home offers a functional layout ideal for families or those needing extra space. Enjoy the convenience of being close to local restaurants, shopping centers, schools, and with easy access to the 5 and 22 freeways for commuting.

Key facts

  • Gated community
  • Community pool
  • Built 2016

Tags

GATED COMMUNITYCLOSE TO LOCAL RESTAURANTSEASY ACCESS TO FREEWAYS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $275k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $827 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $275k).
  • Recommended offer: $242k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 2.5% in Santa Ana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#871 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A; Watch: schools D, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Garden Grove Unified (suburban): math 38% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #132 of 517 in CA (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,452/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($84k/yr) (locally 1835% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $77k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 328 days — a 12% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $242,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 328 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.26%
Cap rate
9.90%
Cash-on-cash
12.88%
DSCR
1.57
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$166,243
List price
$275,000
Delta
65.42%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
230 Green Dr 0.03mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,248 (-7%) 4mo $170,000 $136 78
14300 Clinton St #105 0.40mi 4/2.0 1,344 (0%) 20mo $205,000 $153 65
14300 Clinton St #61 0.40mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (+7%) 5mo $165,000 $115 60
14300 Clinton St #64 0.40mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (+7%) 6mo $245,000 $170 59
14300 CLINTON St N #155 0.42mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,344 (0%) 20mo $185,000 $138 59
14300 Clinton St #117 0.40mi 4/2.0 1,500 (+12%) 4mo $285,000 $190 58
14300 Clinton St #120 0.40mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,344 (0%) 23mo $195,000 $145 57
14300 Clinton St #96 0.40mi 3/3.0 (-1) 1,440 (+7%) 7mo $170,000 $118 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.8%
Equity multiple
1.11×
Total profit
$8,144
Equity at exit
$41,003
10-year hold
IRR
12.3%
Equity multiple
1.98×
Total profit
$75,104
Equity at exit
$23,777

Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92703

Active inventory
59
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,452 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax est. 1.5%
$344 /mo · $4,125/yr
Insurance
$115
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$725
Net cashflow
$827

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,406
Max offer price $275,000
Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,750
Closing costs
$8,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
12562 Cardinal Ave Unit B Garden Grove, CA 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,800 $2.55 43d 1 0.64mi
5010 W Maurie Ave Santa Ana, CA 3.0 2.0 1580 $4,000 $2.53 2d 1 1.19mi
13884 Euclid St Unit D07 Garden Grove, CA 3.0 1.5 1060 $3,300 $3.11 2d 1 1.30mi
13884 Euclid St Apt C12 Garden Grove, CA 3.0 1.5 1060 $3,335 $3.15 24d 1 1.30mi
13884 Euclid St Garden Grove, CA 2.0–3.0 1.5 980 $3,300 $3.37 2d 4 1.30mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $275,000 Active 328 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $275,000 Active 327 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $275,000 Active 326 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $275,000 Active 325 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $275,000 Active 323 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $275,000 Active 322 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $275,000 Active 319 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $275,000 Active 318 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $275,000 Active 317 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $275,000 Active 314 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $275,000 Active 313 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $275,000 Active 312 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $275,000 Active 311 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $275,000 Active 310 DOM
  15. 2025-12-10
    price $275,000 457-char remark
    Show marketing remark (457 chars)

    Welcome to 3424 W Washington Ave, Space 228 – a spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom mobile home located in the desirable Holiday Mobile Home Estates, a well-maintained and gated community in the heart of Santa Ana. This charming home offers a functional layout ideal for families or those needing extra space. Enjoy the convenience of being close to local restaurants, shopping centers, schools, and with easy access to the 5 and 22 freeways for commuting.

  16. 2025-11-11
    price $259,000 457-char remark
    Show marketing remark (457 chars)

    Welcome to 3424 W Washington Ave, Space 228 – a spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom mobile home located in the desirable Holiday Mobile Home Estates, a well-maintained and gated community in the heart of Santa Ana. This charming home offers a functional layout ideal for families or those needing extra space. Enjoy the convenience of being close to local restaurants, shopping centers, schools, and with easy access to the 5 and 22 freeways for commuting.

  17. 2025-07-25
    listed $279,900 Active 457-char remark
    Show marketing remark (457 chars)

    Welcome to 3424 W Washington Ave, Space 228 – a spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom mobile home located in the desirable Holiday Mobile Home Estates, a well-maintained and gated community in the heart of Santa Ana. This charming home offers a functional layout ideal for families or those needing extra space. Enjoy the convenience of being close to local restaurants, shopping centers, schools, and with easy access to the 5 and 22 freeways for commuting.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$41,426
− Mortgage interest
−$15,404
− Property taxes
−$4,125
− Insurance
−$1,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,314
− Management
−$3,314
− Depreciation
−$8,000
Taxable income
$5,893
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,414
After-tax cash flow
$8,506/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This mobile home requires moderate repairs and maintenance, particularly to the exterior siding and driveway. Upgrading the paint and appliances can significantly increase its value for resale or rental.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate Exterior siding — Weathered appearance suggests need for repainting or replacement.
  • Moderate Driveway — Signs of wear and tear, may need resurfacing or repair.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint interior walls and trim — Fresh paint can significantly improve the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Rental Replace worn-out appliances — Upgrading to newer, energy-efficient appliances can attract renters and increase rental value.
  • Both Resurface or repair driveway — A well-maintained driveway enhances the home's overall appearance and can attract both buyers and renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Exterior siding · Weathered appearance suggests need for repainting or replacement. Moderate $3,000–15,000
Driveway · Signs of wear and tear, may need resurfacing or repair. Moderate $3,000–15,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $6,000–30,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint interior walls and trim — Fresh paint can significantly improve the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Rental Replace worn-out appliances — Upgrading to newer, energy-efficient appliances can attract renters and increase rental value.
  • Both Resurface or repair driveway — A well-maintained driveway enhances the home's overall appearance and can attract both buyers and renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Garden Grove Unified
NCES district ID
0614880
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
65% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$60,089
Composite
44.89/100
National rank
#2715
State rank
#132 of 517 in CA

Livability — Santa Ana

Score
55/100
State rank
#871
US rank
#23502

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime D- Employment A Housing B- Health & safety F User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Santa Ana, CA
County
Orange County · 3,096,323 people
City population
288,255
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
62,447
Household income
$84,437
Rent vs Own
49.0% rent · 51.0% own
Severe rent burden
1835.0

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,477,456 people
By 2030
3,613,117 · +3.9%
By 2040
3,835,945 · +10.3%
By 2050
3,968,736 · +14.1%
By 2075
4,097,053 · +17.8%
By 2100
3,903,633 · +12.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (77%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 77% Two or more races 19% Asian 16% White 5% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 72%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
47% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
17% English-only · Spanish 68% Vietnamese 13% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.7% · R 47.1% · Other 3.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.2pp toward D · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: 2.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.7 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+2.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -666.61%
Current HPI
458.1824
Rent YoY
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-1.8% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-10 Price Changed $275,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-11-11 Price Changed $259,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-07-25 Listed $279,900 CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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