CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
615 Park Ave Triplex
A- Composite 80.19
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0

$240,000

615 Park Ave · Syracuse, NY 13204
6 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,534 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 19 Days on market
Built 1945 8,427 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Charming Victorian-style three-family property offering character, space, and excellent investment potential. Ideal for investors or owner-occupants looking to live in one unit while generating rental income from the others. This income-producing property features a desirable unit mix of one 3-bedroom unit, one 2-bedroom unit, and one 1-bedroom unit, along with long-term tenants. The property includes a full basement for additional storage and utility space. Situated on a one-way street with a landscaped median, the location offers a unique neighborhood setting and added curb appeal. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and major roadways. Don't miss this opportunity

Key facts

  • Full basement
  • 8,427 sq ft lot
  • Garage

Tags

VICTORIAN-STYLE PROPERTYINCOME-PRODUCING PROPERTYFULL BASEMENTUNIQUE NEIGHBORHOOD SETTINGSTRONG INCOME POTENTIAL

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Building has three separate dwelling units; Owner pays electricity and water for units; Rent reported per unit: two units at $775 each, one unit at $975; Operating expenses include fuel and snow removal

Exterior

  • Parking: One-car garage; Off-site parking available; Street parking; no driveway
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Three-story multi-family building; Resale property
  • Construction: Vinyl and wood siding; PEX plumbing; Existing (original) construction
  • Exterior features: City street frontage; Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot (approx. 53 x 159)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Each unit includes an oven/range and refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three units: one 1-bedroom, one 2-bedroom, one 3-bedroom
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Vinyl; Varies by unit
  • Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms and one half bathroom (building total)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Natural woodwork; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Gas and electric water heaters

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1×3bd/1.2ba + 1×2bd/1.2ba + 1×1bd/1.2ba units multifamily listed at $240k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($30k/yr) — positive. Per door: $844/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $240k).
  • Recommended offer: $236k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.9% vs local median 8.2% in Syracuse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment D-.
  • Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 119 active listings in the ZIP; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $5,145/mo this rent would consume 136% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 2073% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $26k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $67k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($236k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $74k; list at $240k implies a 224% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $236,400 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.14%
Cap rate
18.95%
Cash-on-cash
45.20%
DSCR
3.01
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$159,642
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
623 Park Ave 0.03mi 6/3.0 2,664 (+5%) 7mo $253,500 $95 84
206 N Geddes St 0.15mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,664 (+5%) 5mo $135,000 $51 71
312 Richmond Ave #314 0.21mi 6/2.0 2,258 (-11%) 0mo $79,000 $35 68
211 N Geddes St 0.17mi 6/2.0 2,198 (-13%) 5mo $140,000 $64 62
460 Shonnard St 0.73mi 6/3.0 2,556 (+1%) 15mo $99,000 $39 52
911 Park Ave 0.48mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,608 (+3%) 14mo $165,000 $63 52
728 Park Ave 0.25mi 7/2.0 (+1) 2,806 (+11%) 13mo $88,000 $31 51
113 Eureka St 0.45mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,280 (-10%) 3mo $215,000 $94 51
312 Seymour St 0.71mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,676 (+6%) 4mo $60,000 $22 45
314 Apple St 0.48mi 6/2.0 2,160 (-15%) 7mo $120,000 $56 43
507-509 S Wilbur Ave 0.62mi 6/2.0 2,912 (+15%) 8mo $260,000 $89 36
137-39 Bryant Ave 0.70mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,690 (+6%) 16mo $270,000 $100 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
63.1%
Equity multiple
5.75×
Total profit
$319,115
Equity at exit
$216,211
10-year hold
IRR
58.6%
Equity multiple
14.10×
Total profit
$880,325
Equity at exit
$466,267

Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13204

Home prices YoY
31.6%
Rents YoY
8.2%
Active inventory
119
Price-to-rent
11.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,145 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,259
Tax from tax record
$175 /mo · $2,097/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,080
Net cashflow
$2,531

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,941
Max offer price $240,000
Occupancy floor 46%

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 3 1.2 $1,800
1× unit 2 1.2 $1,718
1× unit 1 1.2 $1,627
Total (3 units) $5,145

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$60,000
Closing costs
$7,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $240,000 Active 19 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $240,000 Active 18 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $240,000 Active 17 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $240,000 Active 16 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $240,000 Active 14 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $240,000 Active 13 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $240,000 Active 11 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $240,000 Active 10 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $240,000 Active 9 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $240,000 Active 8 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $240,000 Active 5 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $240,000 Active 3 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $240,000 Active 2 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    remarks 699-char remark
  15. 2026-05-30
    listed $240,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,097 · $175/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,077 · $256/mo
Expected delta
+$979/yr (+$82/mo · 46.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$61,740
− Mortgage interest
−$13,444
− Property taxes
−$2,097
− Insurance
−$1,200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,939
− Management
−$4,939
− Depreciation
−$6,982
Taxable income
$28,139
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$6,753
After-tax cash flow
$23,621/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Syracuse City School District
NCES district ID
3628590
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$32,097
Composite
17.83/100
National rank
#9007
State rank
#590 of 590 in NY

Livability — Syracuse

Score
77/100
State rank
#187
US rank
#2869

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Syracuse, NY
County
Onondaga County · 247,257 people
City population
152,627
Metro
Syracuse, NY
Population (ZIP)
19,440
Household income
$45,351
Rent vs Own
70.8% rent · 29.2% own
Severe rent burden
2073.0

Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
467,894 people
By 2030
463,381 · -1.0%
By 2040
447,697 · -4.3%
By 2050
426,399 · -8.9%
By 2075
373,661 · -20.1%
By 2100
307,967 · -34.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 13% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 12% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Subsaharan African 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga

2024 margin
D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
2008→2024 swing
-3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 100.14%
Current HPI
416.7272
Rent YoY
▲ 8.24%
Metro
Syracuse, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+223.6% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-30 Listed $240,000 CNYIS
  • 2026-01-31 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2025-08-26 Listed $225,000 CNYIS
  • 1995-08-25 Sold (Public Records) $81,000 Public Records
  • 1995-08-25 Sold (Public Records) $74,166 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,097 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…