Triplex
615 Park Ave · Syracuse, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
$240,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Charming Victorian-style three-family property offering character, space, and excellent investment potential. Ideal for investors or owner-occupants looking to live in one unit while generating rental income from the others. This income-producing property features a desirable unit mix of one 3-bedroom unit, one 2-bedroom unit, and one 1-bedroom unit, along with long-term tenants. The property includes a full basement for additional storage and utility space. Situated on a one-way street with a landscaped median, the location offers a unique neighborhood setting and added curb appeal. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and major roadways. Don't miss this opportunity
Key facts
- Full basement
- 8,427 sq ft lot
- Garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Building has three separate dwelling units; Owner pays electricity and water for units; Rent reported per unit: two units at $775 each, one unit at $975; Operating expenses include fuel and snow removal
Exterior
- Parking: One-car garage; Off-site parking available; Street parking; no driveway
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Three-story multi-family building; Resale property
- Construction: Vinyl and wood siding; PEX plumbing; Existing (original) construction
- Exterior features: City street frontage; Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot (approx. 53 x 159)
Interior
- Kitchen: Each unit includes an oven/range and refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three units: one 1-bedroom, one 2-bedroom, one 3-bedroom
- Flooring: Hardwood; Vinyl; Varies by unit
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms and one half bathroom (building total)
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Natural woodwork; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Gas and electric water heaters
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1×3bd/1.2ba + 1×2bd/1.2ba + 1×1bd/1.2ba units multifamily listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($30k/yr) — positive. Per door: $844/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $240k).
- Recommended offer: $236k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.9% vs local median 8.2% in Syracuse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment D-.
- Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 119 active listings in the ZIP; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,145/mo this rent would consume 136% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 2073% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $26k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $67k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($236k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $74k; list at $240k implies a 224% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 45.20%
- DSCR
- 3.01
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $159,642
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 623 Park Ave | 0.03mi | 6/3.0 | 2,664 (+5%) | 7mo | $253,500 | $95 | 84 |
| 206 N Geddes St | 0.15mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,664 (+5%) | 5mo | $135,000 | $51 | 71 |
| 312 Richmond Ave #314 | 0.21mi | 6/2.0 | 2,258 (-11%) | 0mo | $79,000 | $35 | 68 |
| 211 N Geddes St | 0.17mi | 6/2.0 | 2,198 (-13%) | 5mo | $140,000 | $64 | 62 |
| 460 Shonnard St | 0.73mi | 6/3.0 | 2,556 (+1%) | 15mo | $99,000 | $39 | 52 |
| 911 Park Ave | 0.48mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,608 (+3%) | 14mo | $165,000 | $63 | 52 |
| 728 Park Ave | 0.25mi | 7/2.0 (+1) | 2,806 (+11%) | 13mo | $88,000 | $31 | 51 |
| 113 Eureka St | 0.45mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,280 (-10%) | 3mo | $215,000 | $94 | 51 |
| 312 Seymour St | 0.71mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,676 (+6%) | 4mo | $60,000 | $22 | 45 |
| 314 Apple St | 0.48mi | 6/2.0 | 2,160 (-15%) | 7mo | $120,000 | $56 | 43 |
| 507-509 S Wilbur Ave | 0.62mi | 6/2.0 | 2,912 (+15%) | 8mo | $260,000 | $89 | 36 |
| 137-39 Bryant Ave | 0.70mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,690 (+6%) | 16mo | $270,000 | $100 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 63.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.75×
- Total profit
- $319,115
- Equity at exit
- $216,211
- IRR
- 58.6%
- Equity multiple
- 14.10×
- Total profit
- $880,325
- Equity at exit
- $466,267
Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13204
- Home prices YoY
- 31.6%
- Rents YoY
- 8.2%
- Active inventory
- 119
- Price-to-rent
- 11.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,145 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,259
- Tax from tax record
- −$175 /mo · $2,097/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,080
- Net cashflow
- $2,531
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 3 | 1.2 | $1,800 |
| 1× unit | 2 | 1.2 | $1,718 |
| 1× unit | 1 | 1.2 | $1,627 |
| Total (3 units) | $5,145 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $60,000
- Closing costs
- $7,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $240,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $240,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $240,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $240,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $240,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $240,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $240,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $240,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $240,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $240,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $240,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $240,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $240,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-30remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-05-30$240,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,097 · $175/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,077 · $256/mo
- Expected delta
- +$979/yr (+$82/mo · 46.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $61,740
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,444
- − Property taxes
- −$2,097
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,939
- − Management
- −$4,939
- − Depreciation
- −$6,982
- Taxable income
- $28,139
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$6,753
- After-tax cash flow
- $23,621/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Syracuse City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3628590
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,097
- Composite
- 17.83/100
- National rank
- #9007
- State rank
- #590 of 590 in NY
Livability — Syracuse
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #187
- US rank
- #2869
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Syracuse, NY
- County
- Onondaga County · 247,257 people
- City population
- 152,627
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,440
- Household income
- $45,351
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2073.0
Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 467,894 people
- By 2030
- 463,381 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 447,697 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 426,399 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 373,661 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 307,967 · -34.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 13% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 12% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Subsaharan African 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 100.14%
- Current HPI
- 416.7272
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.24%
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+223.6% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Listed $240,000 CNYIS
- 2026-01-31 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2025-08-26 Listed $225,000 CNYIS
- 1995-08-25 Sold (Public Records) $81,000 Public Records
- 1995-08-25 Sold (Public Records) $74,166 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,097 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…