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F Composite 20.98
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +5.9/30.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.3/10.0
  • DSCR +0.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$314,999

None · Rainbow Park, FL 34482
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,807 sqft · Land · 371 Days on market
Built 2025 10,019 sqft lot $174/sqft · 27% above area Est $249k · 27% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

NO HOA – New Construction with Upgrades on a paved road! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,807 sq ft of quality finishes and modern features, plus a 2-car garage. Built with care and attention to detail, this home includes luxury tile flooring throughout, cathedral ceilings, and solid wood kitchen cabinets with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, an island, a farmhouse sink, two patios and a covered lanai. You'll find granite finishes in both bathrooms and on all window sills. The master suite features a walk-in closet and a spacious bathroom. Security features include a Ring doorbell, exterior security camera, and flood lights, offering peace of mind from day one. Located just minutes I-75, making travel to Gainesville, Tampa, and Orlando simple. Shopping, hospitals, and entertainment are all nearby. Come take a look – this home is move-in ready and won’t last!

Key facts

  • Luxury tile flooring
  • New construction
  • Cathedral ceilings

Tags

NEW CONSTRUCTIONLUXURY TILE FLOORINGCATHEDRAL CEILINGSSOLID WOOD KITCHEN CABINETSGRANITE COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $315k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-617 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $226k (28.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $197k (37.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $197k (37.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 3.9% vs local median 5.4% in Rainbow Park — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.1%/yr); 663 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 371 days — a 12% lower offer ($277k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $65k; list at $315k implies a 385% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $197,428 (37.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 371 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 37% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.63%
Cap rate
3.94%
Cash-on-cash
-8.40%
DSCR
0.63
GRM
13.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$248,604
List price
$314,999
Delta
26.71%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-25.8%
Equity multiple
0.09×
Total profit
$-79,890
Equity at exit
$46,967
10-year hold
IRR
-11.4%
Equity multiple
0.18×
Total profit
$-72,576
Equity at exit
$27,235

Cash invested: $88,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34482

Rents YoY
11.1%
Active inventory
663
Price-to-rent
13.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,974 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,652
Tax est. 1.5%
$394 /mo · $4,725/yr
Insurance
$131
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$415
Net cashflow
$-617

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,756
Max offer price $225,688
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-400 -5% $-508 +0% $-617 +5% $-726 +10% $-835
Rent -10% $-773 -5% $-695 +0% $-617 +5% $-539 +10% $-461
Rate -1.0pp $-459 -0.5pp $-537 base $-617 +0.5pp $-699 +1.0pp $-782

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$78,750
Closing costs
$9,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14070 SW 17th Pl Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1388 $1,500 $1.08 22d 1 0.28mi
14665 SW 22nd Pl Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1226 $1,900 $1.55 14d 1 0.63mi
14896 SW 33rd Ln Ocala, FL 4.0 2.0 1636 $1,900 $1.16 22d 1 1.17mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $314,999 Active 371 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $314,999 Active 370 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $314,999 Active 369 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $314,999 Active 368 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $314,999 Active 366 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $314,999 Active 365 DOM
  7. 2026-06-03
    days on market $314,999 Active 363 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $314,999 Active 362 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $314,999 Active 360 DOM
  10. 2026-05-30
    days on market $314,999 Active 359 DOM
  11. 2026-04-01
    price $314,999 912-char remark
    Show marketing remark (912 chars)

    NO HOA – New Construction with Upgrades on a paved road! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,807 sq ft of quality finishes and modern features, plus a 2-car garage. Built with care and attention to detail, this home includes luxury tile flooring throughout, cathedral ceilings, and solid wood kitchen cabinets with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, an island, a farmhouse sink, two patios and a covered lanai. You'll find granite finishes in both bathrooms and on all window sills. The master suite features a walk-in closet and a spacious bathroom. Security features include a Ring doorbell, exterior security camera, and flood lights, offering peace of mind from day one. Located just minutes I-75, making travel to Gainesville, Tampa, and Orlando simple. Shopping, hospitals, and entertainment are all nearby. Come take a look – this home is move-in ready and won’t last!

  12. 2026-01-22
    price $325,000 912-char remark
    Show marketing remark (912 chars)

    NO HOA – New Construction with Upgrades on a paved road! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,807 sq ft of quality finishes and modern features, plus a 2-car garage. Built with care and attention to detail, this home includes luxury tile flooring throughout, cathedral ceilings, and solid wood kitchen cabinets with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, an island, a farmhouse sink, two patios and a covered lanai. You'll find granite finishes in both bathrooms and on all window sills. The master suite features a walk-in closet and a spacious bathroom. Security features include a Ring doorbell, exterior security camera, and flood lights, offering peace of mind from day one. Located just minutes I-75, making travel to Gainesville, Tampa, and Orlando simple. Shopping, hospitals, and entertainment are all nearby. Come take a look – this home is move-in ready and won’t last!

  13. 2025-09-08
    price $344,900 912-char remark
    Show marketing remark (912 chars)

    NO HOA – New Construction with Upgrades on a paved road! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,807 sq ft of quality finishes and modern features, plus a 2-car garage. Built with care and attention to detail, this home includes luxury tile flooring throughout, cathedral ceilings, and solid wood kitchen cabinets with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, an island, a farmhouse sink, two patios and a covered lanai. You'll find granite finishes in both bathrooms and on all window sills. The master suite features a walk-in closet and a spacious bathroom. Security features include a Ring doorbell, exterior security camera, and flood lights, offering peace of mind from day one. Located just minutes I-75, making travel to Gainesville, Tampa, and Orlando simple. Shopping, hospitals, and entertainment are all nearby. Come take a look – this home is move-in ready and won’t last!

  14. 2025-09-04
    price $359,900 912-char remark
    Show marketing remark (912 chars)

    NO HOA – New Construction with Upgrades on a paved road! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,807 sq ft of quality finishes and modern features, plus a 2-car garage. Built with care and attention to detail, this home includes luxury tile flooring throughout, cathedral ceilings, and solid wood kitchen cabinets with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, an island, a farmhouse sink, two patios and a covered lanai. You'll find granite finishes in both bathrooms and on all window sills. The master suite features a walk-in closet and a spacious bathroom. Security features include a Ring doorbell, exterior security camera, and flood lights, offering peace of mind from day one. Located just minutes I-75, making travel to Gainesville, Tampa, and Orlando simple. Shopping, hospitals, and entertainment are all nearby. Come take a look – this home is move-in ready and won’t last!

  15. 2025-09-04
    price $344,900 912-char remark
    Show marketing remark (912 chars)

    NO HOA – New Construction with Upgrades on a paved road! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,807 sq ft of quality finishes and modern features, plus a 2-car garage. Built with care and attention to detail, this home includes luxury tile flooring throughout, cathedral ceilings, and solid wood kitchen cabinets with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, an island, a farmhouse sink, two patios and a covered lanai. You'll find granite finishes in both bathrooms and on all window sills. The master suite features a walk-in closet and a spacious bathroom. Security features include a Ring doorbell, exterior security camera, and flood lights, offering peace of mind from day one. Located just minutes I-75, making travel to Gainesville, Tampa, and Orlando simple. Shopping, hospitals, and entertainment are all nearby. Come take a look – this home is move-in ready and won’t last!

  16. 2025-06-05
    listed $359,900 Active 912-char remark
    Show marketing remark (912 chars)

    NO HOA – New Construction with Upgrades on a paved road! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,807 sq ft of quality finishes and modern features, plus a 2-car garage. Built with care and attention to detail, this home includes luxury tile flooring throughout, cathedral ceilings, and solid wood kitchen cabinets with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, an island, a farmhouse sink, two patios and a covered lanai. You'll find granite finishes in both bathrooms and on all window sills. The master suite features a walk-in closet and a spacious bathroom. Security features include a Ring doorbell, exterior security camera, and flood lights, offering peace of mind from day one. Located just minutes I-75, making travel to Gainesville, Tampa, and Orlando simple. Shopping, hospitals, and entertainment are all nearby. Come take a look – this home is move-in ready and won’t last!

  17. 2003-04-28
    soldstatus $65,000
  18. 2000-09-09
    soldstatus $61,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,691
− Mortgage interest
−$17,645
− Property taxes
−$4,725
− Insurance
−$1,575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,895
− Management
−$1,895
− Depreciation
−$9,164
Taxable loss
−$13,208
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,170
After-tax cash flow
$-4,237/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion
NCES district ID
1201260
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$40,015
Composite
35.61/100
National rank
#4890
State rank
#61 of 73 in FL

Livability — Rainbow Park

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Rainbow Park, FL
County
Marion County · 315,796 people
Metro
Ocala, FL
Population (ZIP)
22,807
Household income
$65,901
Rent vs Own
16.7% rent · 83.3% own
Severe rent burden
282.0

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
365,905 people
By 2030
376,768 · +3.0%
By 2040
396,555 · +8.4%
By 2050
412,723 · +12.8%
By 2075
446,090 · +21.9%
By 2100
436,193 · +19.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (63%)
Race & ethnicity
White 63% Hispanic / Latino 19% Black 14% Two or more races 12%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 9% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -133.62%
Current HPI
194.3857
Rent YoY
▲ 11.12%
Metro
Ocala, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+416.4% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $314,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-22 Price Changed $325,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-08 Price Changed $344,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-04 Price Changed $359,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-04 Price Changed $344,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-05 Listed $359,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 2000-09-09 Sold (Public Records) $61,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+10.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $554 · +155.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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