238 Q1 Jackson Gore Inn Unit 238 Q1 · Ludlow, VT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $480 – $892
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Jackson Gore Adams Hous at Okemo Mountain Resort. Quarter Share Ownership, Unit 238 QI is a true four-season destination offering a rare combination of slope-side convenience, year-round recreation, and resort-style amenities. With quarter-share ownership, you can enjoy the benefits of mountain living without the full-time commitment. This slopeside two-bedroom, two-bathroom corner condominium offering spectacular valley views, features an open-concept living room with a gas fireplace, dining area, and a fully equipped kitchen—perfect for relaxing after a day on the mountain. The primary bedroom offers a king bed, while the second bedroom includes a queen bed, and a queen sleeper sofa in the living room provides additional accommodations. Enjoy direct access to skiing and après, with proximity to the Okemo Valley’s lakes region, and Fox Run, an award-winning golf course. Jackson Gore features a vibrant calendar of signature events throughout the year, including winter favorites such as Let It Glow and the popular Summer Music Series. Amenities include a heated outdoor pool and hot tubs, a sauna, and a steam room located in the main Inn. Additional outdoor hot tubs are located outside of Adam’s House. A Spring House membership is included in your ownership, which offers a fitness center, locker rooms, sauna, playground, an indoor lap pool, children's pool, and hot tub. Additional features include an owner's library and office spaces, ski lockers, a tennis court, heated underground parking, outdoor fire pits, on-site dining, a ski shop, and easy access to ticketing, rentals, and lessons. The magic carpet is there for those just beginning their mountain adventures. The Adventure Zone offers year-round activities, including the Timber Ripper Mountain Coaster, Haulback Challenge Course, mini golf, and more. Visit the Okemo real estate community today. ROFR
Key facts
- Gas fireplace
- Valley views
- $377 HOA
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $95k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $416 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 0.3% in Ludlow — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#20 in VT, #4,932 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Market conditions: 96 active listings in the ZIP; 339 units permitted in Windsor County in 2024 (240 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $637 of equity ($657 loan paydown + $-20 appreciation (-0.0% local appreciation)).
- Windsor County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-0.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 253 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 253 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.93% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.78%
- DSCR
- 1.84
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $666,717
- List price
- $95,000
- Delta
- -85.75%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.02% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.90×
- Total profit
- $23,896
- Equity at exit
- $27,484
- IRR
- 23.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.57×
- Total profit
- $68,355
- Equity at exit
- $32,957
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Vermont
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 05149
- Home prices YoY
- -0.0%
- Active inventory
- 96
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,835 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$119 /mo · $1,425/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$377
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$385
- Net cashflow
- $416
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $482 | -5% $449 | +0% $416 | +5% $383 | +10% $351 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $271 | -5% $344 | +0% $416 | +5% $489 | +10% $561 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $464 | -0.5pp $440 | base $416 | +0.5pp $392 | +1.0pp $367 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $377 · $4,524/yr
- Likely covers
- gaspoolgym
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $95,000 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $95,000 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $95,000 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $95,000 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $95,000 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $95,000 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $95,000 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $95,000 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $95,000 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $95,000 Active 241 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $95,000 Active 240 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $95,000 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $95,000 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $95,000 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $95,000 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 233 DOM
-
2025-10-10$95,000 Active 1908-char remark
Show marketing remark (1908 chars)
Jackson Gore Adams Hous at Okemo Mountain Resort. Quarter Share Ownership, Unit 238 QI is a true four-season destination offering a rare combination of slope-side convenience, year-round recreation, and resort-style amenities. With quarter-share ownership, you can enjoy the benefits of mountain living without the full-time commitment. This slopeside two-bedroom, two-bathroom corner condominium offering spectacular valley views, features an open-concept living room with a gas fireplace, dining area, and a fully equipped kitchen—perfect for relaxing after a day on the mountain. The primary bedroom offers a king bed, while the second bedroom includes a queen bed, and a queen sleeper sofa in the living room provides additional accommodations. Enjoy direct access to skiing and après, with proximity to the Okemo Valley’s lakes region, and Fox Run, an award-winning golf course. Jackson Gore features a vibrant calendar of signature events throughout the year, including winter favorites such as Let It Glow and the popular Summer Music Series. Amenities include a heated outdoor pool and hot tubs, a sauna, and a steam room located in the main Inn. Additional outdoor hot tubs are located outside of Adam’s House. A Spring House membership is included in your ownership, which offers a fitness center, locker rooms, sauna, playground, an indoor lap pool, children's pool, and hot tub. Additional features include an owner's library and office spaces, ski lockers, a tennis court, heated underground parking, outdoor fire pits, on-site dining, a ski shop, and easy access to ticketing, rentals, and lessons. The magic carpet is there for those just beginning their mountain adventures. The Adventure Zone offers year-round activities, including the Timber Ripper Mountain Coaster, Haulback Challenge Course, mini golf, and more. Visit the Okemo real estate community today. ROFR
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥89°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,022
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$1,425
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,762
- − Management
- −$1,762
- − HOA
- −$4,524
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $3,989
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$957
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,037/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This slopeside two-bedroom, two-bathroom corner condominium is in good condition with minimal maintenance required. It offers a rare combination of slope-side convenience, year-round recreation, and resort-style amenities.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Update furniture and decor — Freshen up the interior to attract more buyers
- Both Upgrade kitchen appliances — Modernize the kitchen to appeal to a broader market
- Both Paint exterior — Enhance curb appeal and property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Update furniture and decor — Freshen up the interior to attract more buyers ↑
- Both Upgrade kitchen appliances — Modernize the kitchen to appeal to a broader market ↑
- Both Paint exterior — Enhance curb appeal and property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Ludlow
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #20
- US rank
- #4932
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 2,171
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,171
Population outlook (Windsor County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 53,235 people
- By 2030
- 51,269 · -3.7%
- By 2040
- 46,517 · -12.6%
- By 2050
- 41,859 · -21.4%
- By 2075
- 33,298 · -37.5%
- By 2100
- 24,523 · -53.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 10% Romanian 5% Russian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Windsor
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+35.6) · D 66.3% · R 30.7% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.1pp toward R · 2008: 39.7pp · 2024: 35.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+35.6 2020: D+38.9 2016: D+32.1 2012: D+38.1 2008: D+39.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▬ -0.02%
- Current HPI
- 308.2671
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2025-10-10 Listed $95,000 PrimeMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…