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19 Boston Post Rd
B Composite 71.52
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,900

19 Boston Post Rd · Willimantic, CT 06226
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,480 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1885 6,098 sqft lot $135/sqft · 31% below area Est $291k · 31% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Older-style Cape offering 1,480sf of living space with 5 bedrooms and 2.1 bathrooms. Features include a covered front porch, hardwood floors in the living and dining room, and an eat-in kitchen. The first floor offers a primary bedroom with a full bathroom, while the upper level includes four additional bedrooms. Exterior highlights include a fenced-in rear yard, a large shed, and plenty of off-street parking. Property is cosmetically challenged and will require updates, but offers strong potential for the right buyer. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and everyday amenities.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Fenced-in rear yard
  • Eat-in kitchen

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHHARDWOOD FLOORSEAT-IN KITCHENFENCED-IN REAR YARDLARGE SHEDOFF-STREET PARKING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking; 4 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family home
  • Construction: Frame construction; Stone foundation; Asphalt shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Porch; Shed; Level lot; Yellow exterior siding

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven/Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating (oil-fired); Above-ground fuel tank
  • Interior features: 8 total rooms; Partial, unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $600 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $200k).
  • Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 4.6% in Willimantic — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 85/100 on livability (#3 in CT, #487 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment F.
  • Windham School District (town): math 15% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #143 of 153 in CT (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Windham High School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #170 of 194 statewide, top 88%, 662 students, 76% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 487 units permitted in Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,639/mo this rent would consume 67% of the median local household income ($47k/yr) (locally 1122% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1885 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 56% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $199,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1885 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.32%
Cap rate
9.89%
Cash-on-cash
12.86%
DSCR
1.57
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$290,907
List price
$199,900
Delta
-31.28%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.7%
Equity multiple
1.11×
Total profit
$5,916
Equity at exit
$29,806
10-year hold
IRR
12.3%
Equity multiple
1.98×
Total profit
$54,768
Equity at exit
$17,284

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06226

Home prices YoY
-9.3%
Active inventory
40
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,639 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax from tax record
$354 /mo · $4,244/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$554
Net cashflow
$600

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,880
Max offer price $199,900
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $713 -5% $656 +0% $600 +5% $543 +10% $487
Rent -10% $391 -5% $496 +0% $600 +5% $704 +10% $808
Rate -1.0pp $701 -0.5pp $651 base $600 +0.5pp $548 +1.0pp $495

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
22 Bolivia St Fl 1 Willimantic, CT 5.0 2.0 1600 $2,399 $1.50 15d 1 0.36mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-05-07
    status Under Contract 592-char remark
  2. 2026-04-29
    listed $199,900 Active 592-char remark
  3. 2025-09-29
    historical
  4. 2025-09-24
    status Under Contract
  5. 2025-09-08
    price $249,900
  6. 2025-08-25
    status Active
  7. 2025-07-10
    historical Under Contract - Continue to Show
  8. 2025-06-21
    listed $269,900 Active
  9. 2021-08-16
    soldstatus $200,000
  10. 2000-10-26
    soldstatus $93,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,244 · $354/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,261 · $355/mo
Expected delta
+$17/yr (+$1/mo · 0.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 56% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,673
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$4,244
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,534
− Management
−$2,534
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable income
$4,349
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,044
After-tax cash flow
$6,155/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Windham School District
NCES district ID
0905190
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$40,956
Composite
17.01/100
National rank
#9128
State rank
#143 of 153 in CT

Livability — Willimantic

Score
85/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#487

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Willimantic, CT
County
Windham County · 30,529 people
City population
19,344
Metro
Worcester, MA-CT
Population (ZIP)
19,344
Household income
$47,162
Rent vs Own
63.8% rent · 36.2% own
Severe rent burden
1122.0

Population outlook (Southeastern Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
293,442

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 45% White 44% Two or more races 20% Black 5% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 30% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Romanian 5% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Guatemala, China
Languages at home
62% English-only · Spanish 33% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Southeastern Connecticut

2024 margin
D (+13.0) · D 55.6% · R 42.6% · Other 1.8%
All cycles
2024: D+13.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -31.01%
Current HPI
301.9706
Rent YoY
Metro
Worcester, MA-CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+114.9% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $199,900 Smart MLS
  • 2025-09-29 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2025-09-24 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2025-09-08 Price Changed $249,900 Smart MLS
  • 2025-08-25 Relisted Smart MLS
  • 2025-07-10 Contingent Smart MLS
  • 2025-06-21 Listed $269,900 Smart MLS
  • 2021-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $200,000 Public Records
  • 2000-10-26 Sold (Public Records) $93,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2023): $4,244 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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