19 Boston Post Rd · Willimantic, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 56.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.7/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Older-style Cape offering 1,480sf of living space with 5 bedrooms and 2.1 bathrooms. Features include a covered front porch, hardwood floors in the living and dining room, and an eat-in kitchen. The first floor offers a primary bedroom with a full bathroom, while the upper level includes four additional bedrooms. Exterior highlights include a fenced-in rear yard, a large shed, and plenty of off-street parking. Property is cosmetically challenged and will require updates, but offers strong potential for the right buyer. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and everyday amenities.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Fenced-in rear yard
- Eat-in kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking; 4 parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected
- Home design: Single-family home
- Construction: Frame construction; Stone foundation; Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: Porch; Shed; Level lot; Yellow exterior siding
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven/Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating (oil-fired); Above-ground fuel tank
- Interior features: 8 total rooms; Partial, unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $600 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $200k).
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 4.6% in Willimantic — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#3 in CT, #487 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment F.
- Windham School District (town): math 15% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #143 of 153 in CT (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Windham High School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #170 of 194 statewide, top 88%, 662 students, 76% FRL).
- Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 487 units permitted in Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,639/mo this rent would consume 67% of the median local household income ($47k/yr) (locally 1122% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1885 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 56% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1885 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.86%
- DSCR
- 1.57
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $290,907
- List price
- $199,900
- Delta
- -31.28%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.11×
- Total profit
- $5,916
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- 12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.98×
- Total profit
- $54,768
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06226
- Home prices YoY
- -9.3%
- Active inventory
- 40
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,639 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$354 /mo · $4,244/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$554
- Net cashflow
- $600
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $713 | -5% $656 | +0% $600 | +5% $543 | +10% $487 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $391 | -5% $496 | +0% $600 | +5% $704 | +10% $808 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $701 | -0.5pp $651 | base $600 | +0.5pp $548 | +1.0pp $495 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Bolivia St Fl 1 Willimantic, CT | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,399 | $1.50 | 15d | 1 | 0.36mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-07status Under Contract 592-char remark
-
2026-04-29$199,900 Active 592-char remark
-
2025-09-29historical
-
2025-09-24status Under Contract
-
2025-09-08price $249,900
-
2025-08-25status Active
-
2025-07-10historical Under Contract - Continue to Show
-
2025-06-21$269,900 Active
-
2021-08-16soldstatus $200,000
-
2000-10-26soldstatus $93,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,244 · $354/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,261 · $355/mo
- Expected delta
- +$17/yr (+$1/mo · 0.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 56% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,673
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$4,244
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,534
- − Management
- −$2,534
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable income
- $4,349
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,044
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,155/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Windham School District
- NCES district ID
- 0905190
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,956
- Composite
- 17.01/100
- National rank
- #9128
- State rank
- #143 of 153 in CT
Livability — Willimantic
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #487
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Willimantic, CT
- County
- Windham County · 30,529 people
- City population
- 19,344
- Metro
- Worcester, MA-CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,344
- Household income
- $47,162
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1122.0
Population outlook (Southeastern Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 293,442
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 45% White 44% Two or more races 20% Black 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 30% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Romanian 5% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Guatemala, China
- Languages at home
- 62% English-only · Spanish 33% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Southeastern Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.0) · D 55.6% · R 42.6% · Other 1.8%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -31.01%
- Current HPI
- 301.9706
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Worcester, MA-CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
|
||
Price history
+114.9% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2026-04-29 Listed $199,900 Smart MLS
- 2025-09-29 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2025-09-24 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2025-09-08 Price Changed $249,900 Smart MLS
- 2025-08-25 Relisted — Smart MLS
- 2025-07-10 Contingent — Smart MLS
- 2025-06-21 Listed $269,900 Smart MLS
- 2021-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $200,000 Public Records
- 2000-10-26 Sold (Public Records) $93,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2023): $4,244 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…