🏷️ Likely Rental
1800 Lakewood Ct #127 · Eugene, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 13 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$77,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Highly motivated seller! This very clean manufactured home in Lakewood Vista sits in one of the most desirable locations in the entire community with rare water frontage! The home offers two comfortable bedrooms and two large bathrooms in a convenient layout. Lakewood Vista is a fifty five plus community with fantastic amenities that include a clubhouse, lounge, indoor pool, workout and weight room, pool tables and shuffle board. Residents may have two pets under thirty five pounds each. Monthly rent includes garbage and cable. The location is peaceful, scenic and you can even cast a line and fish right from your back porch.
Key facts
- Water frontage
- Clubhouse
- Shuffle board
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $77k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $77k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 22.5% vs local median 2.8% in Eugene — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#52 in OR, #1,587 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, cost of living C-, crime D-.
- Bethel SD 52 (urban): math 18% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #52 of 58 in OR (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 297 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,808 units permitted in Lane County in 2024 (972 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $532 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lane County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 203 days — a 12% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $43k; list at $77k implies a 79% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 203 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 58.06%
- DSCR
- 3.58
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $135,561
- List price
- $77,000
- Delta
- -43.20%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 17 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1800 Lakewood Ct #134 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (-2%) | 1mo | $78,900 | $59 | 96 |
| 1800 Lakewood Ct #20 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,368 (0%) | 11mo | $34,000 | $25 | 91 |
| 1800 Lakewood Ct #57 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,368 (0%) | 6mo | $36,900 | $27 | 90 |
| 1800 Lakewood Ct #32 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,392 (+2%) | 14mo | $20,000 | $14 | 86 |
| 1800 Lakewood Ct #88 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,392 (+2%) | 12mo | $30,000 | $22 | 82 |
| 1800 Lakewood Ct #155 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,350 (-1%) | 15mo | $46,500 | $34 | 81 |
| 1800 Lakewood Ct #121 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,464 (+7%) | 11mo | $87,000 | $59 | 79 |
| 1800 Lakewood Ct #133 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,272 (-7%) | 15mo | $67,500 | $53 | 76 |
| 1800 Lakewood Ct #63 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (-9%) | 10mo | $134,000 | $107 | 72 |
| 1800 Lakewood Ct #74 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (-12%) | 15mo | $6,000 | $5 | 67 |
| 3454 Pattison St | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,188 (-13%) | 8mo | $300,000 | $253 | 56 |
| 1202 N Park Ave | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,190 (-13%) | 5mo | $108,000 | $91 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.58% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 55.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.38×
- Total profit
- $51,215
- Equity at exit
- $11,481
- IRR
- 59.6%
- Equity multiple
- 6.53×
- Total profit
- $119,205
- Equity at exit
- $6,658
Cash invested: $21,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97402
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 297
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,954 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$404
- Tax from tax record
- −$65 /mo · $777/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$410
- Net cashflow
- $1,043
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,250
- Closing costs
- $2,310
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1920 Taft St Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 966 | $1,850 | $1.92 | 13d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 1246 Hughes St Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,300 | $1.92 | 13d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 3700 Riviera Eugene, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 968 | $1,662 | $1.72 | 13d | 2 | 0.36mi |
| 1190 Taft St Unit 1190 Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1116 | $1,650 | $1.48 | 21d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1071 Fairfield Ave Eugene, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 872 | $1,605 | $1.84 | 13d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1161 N Park Ave Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,295 | $2.55 | 21d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 4175 Quest Dr Eugene, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 983 | $1,710 | $1.74 | 13d | 6 | 0.66mi |
| 4075 Aerial Way Eugene, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 847 | $2,155 | $2.54 | 13d | 24 | 0.68mi |
| 3466 Royal Ave Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1604 | $2,550 | $1.59 | 21d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3358 Richard Ave Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1164 | $1,995 | $1.71 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 910 Westsprings Dr Eugene, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 990 | $1,699 | $1.72 | 13d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1642 Zoe Ave Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1395 | $2,695 | $1.93 | 21d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1846 Labona Dr Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1501 | $2,500 | $1.67 | 13d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 128 Chase St Eugene, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1378 | $1,895 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2106 Golden Gardens St Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1410 | $1,995 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 4478 Fergus Ave Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1120 | $1,695 | $1.51 | 43d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1040 Lamplite Ln Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,895 | $2.08 | 43d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $77,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $77,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $77,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $77,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $77,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $77,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $77,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $77,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $77,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $77,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $77,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $77,000 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $77,000 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $77,000 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-04-26status Active 632-char remark
Show marketing remark (632 chars)
Highly motivated seller! This very clean manufactured home in Lakewood Vista sits in one of the most desirable locations in the entire community with rare water frontage! The home offers two comfortable bedrooms and two large bathrooms in a convenient layout. Lakewood Vista is a fifty five plus community with fantastic amenities that include a clubhouse, lounge, indoor pool, workout and weight room, pool tables and shuffle board. Residents may have two pets under thirty five pounds each. Monthly rent includes garbage and cable. The location is peaceful, scenic and you can even cast a line and fish right from your back porch.
-
2026-04-18status Pending 632-char remark
Show marketing remark (632 chars)
Highly motivated seller! This very clean manufactured home in Lakewood Vista sits in one of the most desirable locations in the entire community with rare water frontage! The home offers two comfortable bedrooms and two large bathrooms in a convenient layout. Lakewood Vista is a fifty five plus community with fantastic amenities that include a clubhouse, lounge, indoor pool, workout and weight room, pool tables and shuffle board. Residents may have two pets under thirty five pounds each. Monthly rent includes garbage and cable. The location is peaceful, scenic and you can even cast a line and fish right from your back porch.
-
2026-04-08price $77,000 632-char remark
Show marketing remark (632 chars)
Highly motivated seller! This very clean manufactured home in Lakewood Vista sits in one of the most desirable locations in the entire community with rare water frontage! The home offers two comfortable bedrooms and two large bathrooms in a convenient layout. Lakewood Vista is a fifty five plus community with fantastic amenities that include a clubhouse, lounge, indoor pool, workout and weight room, pool tables and shuffle board. Residents may have two pets under thirty five pounds each. Monthly rent includes garbage and cable. The location is peaceful, scenic and you can even cast a line and fish right from your back porch.
-
2026-01-22price $79,000 632-char remark
Show marketing remark (632 chars)
Highly motivated seller! This very clean manufactured home in Lakewood Vista sits in one of the most desirable locations in the entire community with rare water frontage! The home offers two comfortable bedrooms and two large bathrooms in a convenient layout. Lakewood Vista is a fifty five plus community with fantastic amenities that include a clubhouse, lounge, indoor pool, workout and weight room, pool tables and shuffle board. Residents may have two pets under thirty five pounds each. Monthly rent includes garbage and cable. The location is peaceful, scenic and you can even cast a line and fish right from your back porch.
-
2026-01-07status Active 632-char remark
Show marketing remark (632 chars)
Highly motivated seller! This very clean manufactured home in Lakewood Vista sits in one of the most desirable locations in the entire community with rare water frontage! The home offers two comfortable bedrooms and two large bathrooms in a convenient layout. Lakewood Vista is a fifty five plus community with fantastic amenities that include a clubhouse, lounge, indoor pool, workout and weight room, pool tables and shuffle board. Residents may have two pets under thirty five pounds each. Monthly rent includes garbage and cable. The location is peaceful, scenic and you can even cast a line and fish right from your back porch.
-
2026-01-01status Pending 632-char remark
Show marketing remark (632 chars)
Highly motivated seller! This very clean manufactured home in Lakewood Vista sits in one of the most desirable locations in the entire community with rare water frontage! The home offers two comfortable bedrooms and two large bathrooms in a convenient layout. Lakewood Vista is a fifty five plus community with fantastic amenities that include a clubhouse, lounge, indoor pool, workout and weight room, pool tables and shuffle board. Residents may have two pets under thirty five pounds each. Monthly rent includes garbage and cable. The location is peaceful, scenic and you can even cast a line and fish right from your back porch.
-
2025-11-12$84,000 Active 632-char remark
Show marketing remark (632 chars)
Highly motivated seller! This very clean manufactured home in Lakewood Vista sits in one of the most desirable locations in the entire community with rare water frontage! The home offers two comfortable bedrooms and two large bathrooms in a convenient layout. Lakewood Vista is a fifty five plus community with fantastic amenities that include a clubhouse, lounge, indoor pool, workout and weight room, pool tables and shuffle board. Residents may have two pets under thirty five pounds each. Monthly rent includes garbage and cable. The location is peaceful, scenic and you can even cast a line and fish right from your back porch.
-
2008-08-04soldstatus $42,900 181-char remark
Show marketing remark (181 chars)
FULLY FURNISHED! Well maintained 1973 2 Bedroom, 2 Bath home in Lakewood Ct. Enjoy a variety of wildlife with fantastic views of the pond and fountain. A MUST SEE for only $48,000!
-
2008-07-15historical 181-char remark
Show marketing remark (181 chars)
FULLY FURNISHED! Well maintained 1973 2 Bedroom, 2 Bath home in Lakewood Ct. Enjoy a variety of wildlife with fantastic views of the pond and fountain. A MUST SEE for only $48,000!
-
2008-06-05$48,000 181-char remark
Show marketing remark (181 chars)
FULLY FURNISHED! Well maintained 1973 2 Bedroom, 2 Bath home in Lakewood Ct. Enjoy a variety of wildlife with fantastic views of the pond and fountain. A MUST SEE for only $48,000!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $777 · $65/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $777 · $65/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,449
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,313
- − Property taxes
- −$777
- − Insurance
- −$385
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,876
- − Management
- −$1,876
- − Depreciation
- −$2,240
- Taxable income
- $11,982
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,876
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,641/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bethel SD 52
- NCES district ID
- 4102040
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,860
- Composite
- 22.62/100
- National rank
- #8066
- State rank
- #52 of 58 in OR
Livability — Eugene
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #52
- US rank
- #1587
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Eugene, OR
- County
- Lane County · 310,476 people
- City population
- 215,212
- Metro
- Eugene-Springfield, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,823
- Household income
- $57,658
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3142.0
Population outlook (Lane County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 391,933 people
- By 2030
- 405,860 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 429,386 · +9.6%
- By 2050
- 452,016 · +15.3%
- By 2075
- 508,825 · +29.8%
- By 2100
- 531,208 · +35.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 11% Asian 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lane
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.1) · D 60.0% · R 36.9% · Other 3.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.4pp · 2024: 23.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.1 2020: D+24.3 2016: D+18.9 2012: D+23.4 2008: D+27.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -437.20%
- Current HPI
- 298.1167
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.58%
- Metro
- Eugene-Springfield, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+60.4% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-26 Relisted — RMLS
- 2026-04-18 Pending — RMLS
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $77,000 RMLS
- 2026-01-22 Price Changed $79,000 RMLS
- 2026-01-07 Relisted — RMLS
- 2026-01-01 Pending — RMLS
- 2025-11-12 Listed $84,000 RMLS
- 2008-08-04 Sold (MLS) $42,900 RMLS
- 2008-07-15 Delisted — RMLS
- 2008-06-05 Listed $48,000 RMLS
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $777 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…