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312 Twin Diamond Rd
D Composite 40.18
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$259,000

312 Twin Diamond Rd · Roswell, NM 88201
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,813 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1981 9,240 sqft lot ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

BACK ON MARKET DUE TO NO FAULT OF ITS OWN! NE Roswell gem loaded with extras! This 4-bed, 2-bath home brings the heat with RV hookups, a fully equipped workshop, and lifestyle-ready outdoor spaces. From the moment you arrive, the paved front yard sets the tone, complete with RV hookups featuring both 45- and 110-amp outlets plus a cleanout—ready for your rig. Step inside to find laminate flooring flowing seamlessly through the main traffic areas. The inviting living room is anchored by a classic brick fireplace, creating a warm and welcoming space. The living area opens effortlessly into the shared dining and kitchen, ideal for entertaining. The custom kitchen shines with raised cente

Key facts

  • Walk-in closet
  • Paved front yard
  • Granite countertops

Tags

RV HOOKUPSFULLY EQUIPPED WORKSHOPPAVED FRONT YARDGRANITE COUNTERTOPSDEDICATED LAUNDRY AREAWALK-IN CLOSET

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story / single-level
  • Construction: Stucco and brick construction
  • Exterior features: Outdoor kitchen; Dog run; Patio; Back yard fencing; Shed(s); Workshop

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Free-standing range; Refrigerator; Water purifier
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s); Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Pantry; Walk-in closets; Blinds on windows; Wood-burning fireplace in the living room
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $259k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $7 ($86/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $200k (22.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $200k (22.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#8 in NM, #4,339 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Roswell Independent Schools (town): math 11% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #16 of 29 in NM (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Berrendo Elementary (math 12% / reading 62%, grade F, #42 of 68 statewide, top 64%, 344 students, 100% FRL); Berrendo Middle (math 11% / reading 57%, grade F, #8 of 27 statewide, top 27%, 663 students, 100% FRL); Goddard High (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #59 of 110 statewide, top 53%, 1,155 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 252 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 88 units permitted in Chaves County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $200,133 (22.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
6.33%
Cash-on-cash
0.12%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
10.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.32% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.9%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-38,921
Equity at exit
$38,618
10-year hold
IRR
-4.5%
Equity multiple
0.69×
Total profit
$-22,367
Equity at exit
$22,394

Cash invested: $72,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Mexico
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

ZIP-level market 88201

Rents YoY
4.3%
Active inventory
252
Price-to-rent
10.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,001 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,358
Tax from tax record
$108 /mo · $1,293/yr
Insurance
$108
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$420
Net cashflow
$7

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,992
Max offer price $259,000
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $154 -5% $80 +0% $7 +5% $-66 +10% $-139
Rent -10% $-151 -5% $-72 +0% $7 +5% $86 +10% $165
Rate -1.0pp $138 -0.5pp $73 base $7 +0.5pp $-60 +1.0pp $-128

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$64,750
Closing costs
$7,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
703 Broken Arrow Rd Unit 743 Roswell, NM 3.0 2.0 1405 $1,850 $1.32 45d 1 0.29mi
3014 N Garden Ave Roswell, NM 3.0 2.0 2101 $2,100 $1.00 45d 1 0.54mi
5 La Paloma Pl Roswell, NM 3.0 2.5 2401 $3,300 $1.37 45d 1 0.94mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $259,000 Active 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $259,000 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $259,000 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $259,000 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $259,000 Active 9 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $259,000 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $259,000 Active 6 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    status $259,000 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $259,000 Pending 5 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $259,000 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $259,000 Active 3 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $259,000 Active 2 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    remarks 693-char remark
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on marketlisting id $259,000 Active 1 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $259,000 Active 117 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $259,000 Active 116 DOM
  17. 2026-04-17
    price $259,000 1804-char remark
  18. 2026-03-10
    price $269,000 1804-char remark
  19. 2026-02-03
    listed $275,000 Active 1804-char remark
  20. 2019-01-18
    soldstatus
  21. 2017-05-04
    soldstatus
  22. 2005-12-28
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,293 · $108/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,072 · $173/mo
Expected delta
+$779/yr (+$65/mo · 60.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,016
− Mortgage interest
−$14,508
− Property taxes
−$1,293
− Insurance
−$1,295
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,921
− Management
−$1,921
− Depreciation
−$7,535
Taxable loss
−$4,457
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,070
After-tax cash flow
$1,156/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Roswell Independent Schools
NCES district ID
3502250
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▲ 23.00%
Median HH income
$38,848
Composite
26.21/100
National rank
#7262
State rank
#16 of 29 in NM

Livability — Roswell

Score
75/100
State rank
#8
US rank
#4339

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Roswell, NM
County
Chaves County · 56,277 people
City population
56,277
Metro
Roswell, NM
Population (ZIP)
27,524
Household income
$61,780
Rent vs Own
24.5% rent · 75.5% own
Severe rent burden
603.0

Population outlook (Chaves County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
66,122 people
By 2030
66,351 · +0.3%
By 2040
66,818 · +1.1%
By 2050
66,928 · +1.2%
By 2075
65,474 · -1.0%
By 2100
58,943 · -10.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 50% White 44% Two or more races 16% Asian 2% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 38%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 23% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chaves

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.8) · D 26.8% · R 71.6% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.2pp toward R · 2008: -24.7pp · 2024: -44.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.8 2020: R+41.3 2016: R+36.4 2012: R+32.4 2008: R+24.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -130.52%
Current HPI
149.3526
Rent YoY
▲ 4.32%
Metro
Roswell, NM
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-3.7% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Relisted NMMLS
  • 2026-06-05 Pending NMMLS
  • 2026-05-31 Listed $259,000 NMMLS
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $259,000 NMMLS
  • 2026-03-10 Price Changed $269,000 NMMLS
  • 2019-01-18 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2017-05-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2005-12-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+0.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,293 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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