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306 Cabot St 🏷️ Likely Rental
C+ Composite 64.4
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,500

306 Cabot St · Inverness, FL 34452
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,333 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 65 Days on market
Built 1987 9,907 sqft lot Est $227k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Tenant purchased property

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Abundance of light
  • 9,907 sq ft lot

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANSPACIOUS GOURMET KITCHENABUNDANCE OF LIGHT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
  • HOA & community: No HOA association indicated

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; One story; Faces south; Homesteaded
  • Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as part of a structure with 1 story
  • Exterior features: Other exterior features; Asphalt road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Range hood; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in garage

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $169,500 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$226,610) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $246 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
  • Recommended offer: $159k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 4.9% in Inverness — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#564 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Citrus (rural): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #44 of 73 in FL (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 260 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,443 units permitted in Citrus County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Citrus County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($159k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $159,330 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
8.51%
Cash-on-cash
7.91%
DSCR
1.35
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$226,610
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
317 Blanche St 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,344 (+1%) 8mo $236,500 $176 77
102 Edison St 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,296 (-3%) 1mo $190,000 $147 77
111 Clark St 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,387 (+4%) 6mo $199,000 $143 68
409 S Apopka Ave 0.17mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,458 (+9%) 6mo $218,000 $150 64
507 Pineaire St 0.62mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,344 (+1%) 3mo $190,000 $141 60
1006 Leroy Bellamy Rd 0.58mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,316 (-1%) 6mo $181,500 $138 58
719 S Apopka Ave 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,176 (-12%) 9mo $199,900 $170 53
800 Southerly Ave 0.61mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,409 (+6%) 8mo $255,000 $181 48
810 Windy Ave 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,157 (-13%) 1mo $265,000 $229 47
729 Desota Ave 0.45mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,134 (-15%) 6mo $255,500 $225 43
300 Daffodil St 0.59mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,135 (-15%) 6mo $143,400 $126 36
101 E Inverness Blvd 0.73mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,138 (-15%) 7mo $205,000 $180 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.7%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-11,717
Equity at exit
$25,273
10-year hold
IRR
3.0%
Equity multiple
1.22×
Total profit
$10,254
Equity at exit
$14,655

Cash invested: $47,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34452

Home prices YoY
-25.2%
Active inventory
260
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,869 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$889
Tax from tax record
$204 /mo · $2,447/yr
Insurance
$71
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$392
Net cashflow
$246

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,557
Max offer price $169,500
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,375
Closing costs
$5,085
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
415 W Circlewood St Inverness, FL 3.0 2.0 1621 $1,850 $1.14 20d 1 0.07mi
608 Whitney Ave Inverness, FL 3.0 2.0 1288 $1,660 $1.29 20d 1 0.20mi
1112 Eden Dr Inverness, FL 3.0 2.0 1334 $1,750 $1.31 20d 1 0.76mi
210 Talmage Ave Inverness, FL 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,600 $1.14 20d 1 1.00mi
419 N Apopka Ave Inverness, FL 2.0 2.0 1503 $3,500 $2.33 20d 1 1.02mi
908 Columbia Ln Inverness, FL 3.0 2.0 1334 $1,800 $1.35 20d 1 1.04mi
3367 S Dalton Ter Inverness, FL 3.0 2.0 1357 $1,795 $1.32 20d 1 1.10mi
876 Pritchard Island Rd Inverness, FL 2.0 2.0 1148 $2,200 $1.92 20d 1 1.16mi
908 Pritchard Island Rd Inverness, FL 2.0 2.0 1148 $2,200 $1.92 20d 1 1.19mi
6106 E Calico Ln Inverness, FL 2.0 1.0 1126 $1,500 $1.33 20d 1 1.23mi
6874 E Culpepper Ct Inverness, FL 2.0 2.0 1233 $1,600 $1.30 20d 1 1.23mi
732 Sinclair Ter Inverness, FL 3.0 2.0 1347 $1,700 $1.26 20d 1 1.24mi
426 Ella Ave Inverness, FL 2.0 2.0 1304 $2,100 $1.61 20d 1 1.26mi
3521 S Belgrave Dr Inverness, FL 2.0 2.0 1554 $2,250 $1.45 20d 1 1.32mi
1017 Carnegie Dr Inverness, FL 3.0 2.0 1334 $1,800 $1.35 20d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-05-19
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-08
    price $169,500
  3. 2026-03-15
    listed $180,500 Active
  4. 2023-10-31
    listed $220,000 25-char remark
    Show marketing remark (25 chars)

    Tenant purchased property

  5. 2023-10-31
    historical 25-char remark
    Show marketing remark (25 chars)

    Tenant purchased property

  6. 2023-10-31
    soldstatus $217,000 Closed 25-char remark
    Show marketing remark (25 chars)

    Tenant purchased property

  7. 2023-10-31
    soldstatus $217,000
    Show marketing remark (25 chars)

    Tenant purchased property

  8. 2017-11-02
    soldstatus $125,500
  9. 2017-10-30
    soldstatus $125,500 386-char remark
    Show marketing remark (386 chars)

    LOCATION, LOCATION, LOCATION! Great 3/2/2/ home within walking distance to downtown Inverness & Citrus Memorial Hospital. Freshly painted, brand new Hi-e A/C, fenced yard for the kids and pets! Terrific family friendly neighborhood. Big eat-in kitchen with tiled counter tops and back splash, covered patio, washer, dryer, big 2 car garage plumbed for a 3rd bathroom. Call today!

  10. 2017-10-12
    listed $129,900 386-char remark
    Show marketing remark (386 chars)

    LOCATION, LOCATION, LOCATION! Great 3/2/2/ home within walking distance to downtown Inverness & Citrus Memorial Hospital. Freshly painted, brand new Hi-e A/C, fenced yard for the kids and pets! Terrific family friendly neighborhood. Big eat-in kitchen with tiled counter tops and back splash, covered patio, washer, dryer, big 2 car garage plumbed for a 3rd bathroom. Call today!

  11. 2014-11-25
    soldstatus $82,500
  12. 2014-11-25
    soldstatus $82,500
  13. 2014-11-19
    listed $89,900
  14. 1998-11-03
    soldstatus $64,000
  15. 1995-08-01
    soldstatus $57,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,447 · $204/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,447 · $204/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,423
− Mortgage interest
−$9,495
− Property taxes
−$2,447
− Insurance
−$1,645
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,794
− Management
−$1,794
− Depreciation
−$4,931
Taxable income
$317
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$76
After-tax cash flow
$2,879/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Citrus
NCES district ID
1200270
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$38,618
Composite
41.28/100
National rank
#3519
State rank
#44 of 73 in FL

Livability — Inverness

Score
67/100
State rank
#564
US rank
#10791

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment F Housing A- Health & safety C- User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Inverness, FL
City population
10,621
Population (ZIP)
13,729

Population outlook (Citrus County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
138,622 people
By 2030
136,886 · -1.3%
By 2040
132,009 · -4.8%
By 2050
125,196 · -9.7%
By 2075
108,570 · -21.7%
By 2100
84,454 · -39.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Citrus

2024 margin
Solid R (+45.9) · D 26.8% · R 72.6%
2008→2024 swing
-29.8pp toward R · 2008: -16.1pp · 2024: -45.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+45.9 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+21.9 2008: R+16.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -105.43%
Current HPI
312.8871
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+192.7% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $169,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-15 Listed $180,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $217,000 Public Records
  • 2023-10-31 Sold (MLS) $217,000 RACC
  • 2023-10-31 Delisted RACC
  • 2023-10-31 Listed $220,000 RACC
  • 2017-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $125,500 Public Records
  • 2017-10-30 Sold (MLS) $125,500 RACC
  • 2017-10-12 Listed $129,900 RACC
  • 2014-11-25 Sold (Public Records) $82,500 Public Records
  • 2014-11-25 Sold (MLS) $82,500 RACC
  • 2014-11-19 Listed $89,900 RACC
  • 1998-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $64,000 Public Records
  • 1995-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $57,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,447 · -5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…