🏷️ Likely Rental
306 Cabot St · Inverness, FL
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Tenant purchased property
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Abundance of light
- 9,907 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: No HOA association indicated
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; One story; Faces south; Homesteaded
- Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as part of a structure with 1 story
- Exterior features: Other exterior features; Asphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Range hood; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in garage
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $246 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
- Recommended offer: $159k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 4.9% in Inverness — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#564 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Citrus (rural): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #44 of 73 in FL (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 260 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,443 units permitted in Citrus County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Citrus County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($159k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.91%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $226,610
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 317 Blanche St | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+1%) | 8mo | $236,500 | $176 | 77 |
| 102 Edison St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (-3%) | 1mo | $190,000 | $147 | 77 |
| 111 Clark St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,387 (+4%) | 6mo | $199,000 | $143 | 68 |
| 409 S Apopka Ave | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,458 (+9%) | 6mo | $218,000 | $150 | 64 |
| 507 Pineaire St | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (+1%) | 3mo | $190,000 | $141 | 60 |
| 1006 Leroy Bellamy Rd | 0.58mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,316 (-1%) | 6mo | $181,500 | $138 | 58 |
| 719 S Apopka Ave | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,176 (-12%) | 9mo | $199,900 | $170 | 53 |
| 800 Southerly Ave | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,409 (+6%) | 8mo | $255,000 | $181 | 48 |
| 810 Windy Ave | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,157 (-13%) | 1mo | $265,000 | $229 | 47 |
| 729 Desota Ave | 0.45mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,134 (-15%) | 6mo | $255,500 | $225 | 43 |
| 300 Daffodil St | 0.59mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,135 (-15%) | 6mo | $143,400 | $126 | 36 |
| 101 E Inverness Blvd | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,138 (-15%) | 7mo | $205,000 | $180 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-11,717
- Equity at exit
- $25,273
- IRR
- 3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $10,254
- Equity at exit
- $14,655
Cash invested: $47,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34452
- Home prices YoY
- -25.2%
- Active inventory
- 260
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,869 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$889
- Tax from tax record
- −$204 /mo · $2,447/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$392
- Net cashflow
- $246
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,375
- Closing costs
- $5,085
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 415 W Circlewood St Inverness, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1621 | $1,850 | $1.14 | 20d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 608 Whitney Ave Inverness, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $1,660 | $1.29 | 20d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 1112 Eden Dr Inverness, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1334 | $1,750 | $1.31 | 20d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 210 Talmage Ave Inverness, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 20d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 419 N Apopka Ave Inverness, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1503 | $3,500 | $2.33 | 20d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 908 Columbia Ln Inverness, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1334 | $1,800 | $1.35 | 20d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 3367 S Dalton Ter Inverness, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1357 | $1,795 | $1.32 | 20d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 876 Pritchard Island Rd Inverness, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $2,200 | $1.92 | 20d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 908 Pritchard Island Rd Inverness, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $2,200 | $1.92 | 20d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 6106 E Calico Ln Inverness, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1126 | $1,500 | $1.33 | 20d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 6874 E Culpepper Ct Inverness, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1233 | $1,600 | $1.30 | 20d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 732 Sinclair Ter Inverness, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1347 | $1,700 | $1.26 | 20d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 426 Ella Ave Inverness, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1304 | $2,100 | $1.61 | 20d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3521 S Belgrave Dr Inverness, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1554 | $2,250 | $1.45 | 20d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1017 Carnegie Dr Inverness, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1334 | $1,800 | $1.35 | 20d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 15 events
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2026-05-19status Pending
-
2026-05-08price $169,500
-
2026-03-15$180,500 Active
-
2023-10-31$220,000 25-char remark
Show marketing remark (25 chars)
Tenant purchased property
-
2023-10-31historical 25-char remark
Show marketing remark (25 chars)
Tenant purchased property
-
2023-10-31soldstatus $217,000 Closed 25-char remark
Show marketing remark (25 chars)
Tenant purchased property
-
2023-10-31soldstatus $217,000
Show marketing remark (25 chars)
Tenant purchased property
-
2017-11-02soldstatus $125,500
-
2017-10-30soldstatus $125,500 386-char remark
Show marketing remark (386 chars)
LOCATION, LOCATION, LOCATION! Great 3/2/2/ home within walking distance to downtown Inverness & Citrus Memorial Hospital. Freshly painted, brand new Hi-e A/C, fenced yard for the kids and pets! Terrific family friendly neighborhood. Big eat-in kitchen with tiled counter tops and back splash, covered patio, washer, dryer, big 2 car garage plumbed for a 3rd bathroom. Call today!
-
2017-10-12$129,900 386-char remark
Show marketing remark (386 chars)
LOCATION, LOCATION, LOCATION! Great 3/2/2/ home within walking distance to downtown Inverness & Citrus Memorial Hospital. Freshly painted, brand new Hi-e A/C, fenced yard for the kids and pets! Terrific family friendly neighborhood. Big eat-in kitchen with tiled counter tops and back splash, covered patio, washer, dryer, big 2 car garage plumbed for a 3rd bathroom. Call today!
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2014-11-25soldstatus $82,500
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2014-11-25soldstatus $82,500
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2014-11-19$89,900
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1998-11-03soldstatus $64,000
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1995-08-01soldstatus $57,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,447 · $204/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,447 · $204/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,423
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,495
- − Property taxes
- −$2,447
- − Insurance
- −$1,645
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,794
- − Management
- −$1,794
- − Depreciation
- −$4,931
- Taxable income
- $317
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$76
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,879/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Citrus
- NCES district ID
- 1200270
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,618
- Composite
- 41.28/100
- National rank
- #3519
- State rank
- #44 of 73 in FL
Livability — Inverness
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #564
- US rank
- #10791
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Inverness, FL
- City population
- 10,621
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,729
Population outlook (Citrus County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 138,622 people
- By 2030
- 136,886 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 132,009 · -4.8%
- By 2050
- 125,196 · -9.7%
- By 2075
- 108,570 · -21.7%
- By 2100
- 84,454 · -39.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Citrus
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.9) · D 26.8% · R 72.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.8pp toward R · 2008: -16.1pp · 2024: -45.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.9 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+21.9 2008: R+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -105.43%
- Current HPI
- 312.8871
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+192.7% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $169,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-15 Listed $180,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $217,000 Public Records
- 2023-10-31 Sold (MLS) $217,000 RACC
- 2023-10-31 Delisted — RACC
- 2023-10-31 Listed $220,000 RACC
- 2017-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $125,500 Public Records
- 2017-10-30 Sold (MLS) $125,500 RACC
- 2017-10-12 Listed $129,900 RACC
- 2014-11-25 Sold (Public Records) $82,500 Public Records
- 2014-11-25 Sold (MLS) $82,500 RACC
- 2014-11-19 Listed $89,900 RACC
- 1998-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $64,000 Public Records
- 1995-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $57,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,447 · -5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…