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5764 Hartford Ave
A- Composite 81.53
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +8.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0

$89,780

5764 Hartford Ave · Merrydale, LA 70812
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,039 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 96 Days on market
Built 1980 7,840 sqft lot $86/sqft · 10% below area Est $123k · 27% under ↓ 33% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 bed, 1.5 bath solid equity opportunity with rehab potential. Prune needed cosmetic/systems updates, then profit as a completed rental or flip. Won't stay on the market long! New kitchen cabinets, stove, dishwasher, refrigerator, and microwave have all been installed. Bonus shed in the backyard. NO utilities!

Key facts

  • New kitchen cabinets
  • Bonus shed
  • 7,840 sq ft lot

Tags

NEW KITCHEN CABINETSBONUS SHED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $352 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $82k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 7.8% in Merrydale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#301 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • East Baton Rouge Parish (urban): math 22% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #47 of 98 in LA (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,252 units permitted in East Baton Rouge Parish in 2024 (440 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($621 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
  • East Baton Rouge County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (5.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (33%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $81,699 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.32%
Cap rate
11.00%
Cash-on-cash
16.81%
DSCR
1.75
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$122,827
List price
$89,780
Delta
-26.91%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5656 Atlanta Ave 0.11mi 3/1.5 1,038 (-0%) 10mo $92,900 $89 86
5912 Atlanta Ave 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,064 (+2%) 6mo $139,700 $131 83
7884 Grayson Ave 0.35mi 3/1.5 1,023 (-2%) 9mo $98,500 $96 73
5911 Benson Dr 0.20mi 3/1.5 1,133 (+9%) 5mo $99,900 $88 71
5621 Lanier Dr 0.36mi 3/1.5 1,081 (+4%) 11mo $160,000 $148 68
5837 Denova St 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,150 (+11%) 6mo $139,000 $121 66
7672 Sumrall Dr 0.71mi 3/1.5 1,008 (-3%) 3mo $155,000 $154 59
7751 Bringhurst Ave 0.28mi 3/1.5 1,180 (+14%) 13mo $134,900 $114 54
6134 Silverleaf Ave 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,065 (+2%) 14mo $129,900 $122 52
6197 Flag St 0.31mi 3/1.0 1,150 (+11%) 18mo $120,000 $104 51
6734 Autumn Ave 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,062 (+2%) 12mo $127,600 $120 50
5907 Silverleaf Ave 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,118 (+8%) 18mo $139,900 $125 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.93% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
29.3%
Equity multiple
2.91×
Total profit
$47,977
Equity at exit
$56,042
10-year hold
IRR
27.3%
Equity multiple
5.92×
Total profit
$123,651
Equity at exit
$101,289

Cash invested: $25,138 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70812

Home prices YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
39
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,189 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$79 /mo · $949/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$250
Net cashflow
$352

Break-even live

Break-even rent $743
Max offer price $89,780
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $403 -5% $378 +0% $352 +5% $327 +10% $301
Rent -10% $258 -5% $305 +0% $352 +5% $399 +10% $446
Rate -1.0pp $397 -0.5pp $375 base $352 +0.5pp $329 +1.0pp $305

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,445
Closing costs
$2,693
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5255 Astoria Dr Baton Rouge, LA 3.0 2.0 1463 $1,295 $0.89 44d 1 0.45mi
8614 Forestwood Ave Baton Rouge, LA 3.0 2.0 1313 $1,700 $1.29 15d 1 0.92mi
9173 Cedar Ct Baton Rouge, LA 4.0 2.0 1405 $1,596 $1.14 15d 1 1.17mi
9062 Cedar Ct Baton Rouge, LA 3.0 2.0 1350 $1,158 $0.86 24d 1 1.23mi
5665 McClelland Dr Apt 220 Baton Rouge, LA 3.0 1.5 870 $950 $1.09 15d 1 1.31mi
5665 McClelland Dr Apt 201 Baton Rouge, LA 3.0 1.5 870 $1,050 $1.21 44d 1 1.31mi
5665 McClelland Dr Apt 133 Baton Rouge, LA 2.0 1.0 775 $825 $1.06 44d 1 1.31mi
5665 McClelland Dr Unit 245 Baton Rouge, LA 2.0 1.5 765 $800 $1.05 44d 1 1.31mi
5665 McClelland Dr Baton Rouge, LA 2.0 1.0 775 $825 $1.06 24d 1 1.33mi
5315 McClelland Dr Baton Rouge, LA 3.0 2.0 1369 $1,000 $0.73 24d 1 1.34mi
5423 Banyan Trace Dr Baton Rouge, LA 4.0 2.0 1469 $1,300 $0.88 24d 1 1.39mi
5553 Banyan Ct Baton Rouge, LA 4.0 2.0 1459 $1,350 $0.93 24d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,780 Active 96 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,780 Active 95 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,780 Active 94 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,780 Active 93 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $89,780 Active 91 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $89,780 Active 88 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,780 Active 87 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,780 Active 86 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,780 Active 85 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $89,780 Active 82 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $89,780 Active 81 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,780 Active 80 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,780 Active 79 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,780 Active 78 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,780 Active 77 DOM
  16. 2026-03-31
    price $89,780 311-char remark
    Show marketing remark (317 chars)

    3 bed, 1.5 bath solid equity opportunity with rehab potential. Prune needed cosmetic/systems updates, then profit as a completed rental or flip. Won’t stay on the market long! New kitchen cabinets, stove, dishwasher, refrigerator, and microwave have all been installed. Bonus shed in the backyard. NO utilities!

  17. 2026-03-31
    price $89,780 317-char remark
    Show marketing remark (317 chars)

    3 bed, 1.5 bath solid equity opportunity with rehab potential. Prune needed cosmetic/systems updates, then profit as a completed rental or flip. Won’t stay on the market long! New kitchen cabinets, stove, dishwasher, refrigerator, and microwave have all been installed. Bonus shed in the backyard. NO utilities!

  18. 2026-03-25
    price $104,780 311-char remark
    Show marketing remark (317 chars)

    3 bed, 1.5 bath solid equity opportunity with rehab potential. Prune needed cosmetic/systems updates, then profit as a completed rental or flip. Won’t stay on the market long! New kitchen cabinets, stove, dishwasher, refrigerator, and microwave have all been installed. Bonus shed in the backyard. NO utilities!

  19. 2026-03-25
    price $104,780 317-char remark
    Show marketing remark (317 chars)

    3 bed, 1.5 bath solid equity opportunity with rehab potential. Prune needed cosmetic/systems updates, then profit as a completed rental or flip. Won’t stay on the market long! New kitchen cabinets, stove, dishwasher, refrigerator, and microwave have all been installed. Bonus shed in the backyard. NO utilities!

  20. 2026-03-17
    price $119,780 311-char remark
    Show marketing remark (317 chars)

    3 bed, 1.5 bath solid equity opportunity with rehab potential. Prune needed cosmetic/systems updates, then profit as a completed rental or flip. Won’t stay on the market long! New kitchen cabinets, stove, dishwasher, refrigerator, and microwave have all been installed. Bonus shed in the backyard. NO utilities!

  21. 2026-03-17
    price $119,780 317-char remark
    Show marketing remark (317 chars)

    3 bed, 1.5 bath solid equity opportunity with rehab potential. Prune needed cosmetic/systems updates, then profit as a completed rental or flip. Won’t stay on the market long! New kitchen cabinets, stove, dishwasher, refrigerator, and microwave have all been installed. Bonus shed in the backyard. NO utilities!

  22. 2026-03-13
    listed $134,780 Active 311-char remark
    Show marketing remark (317 chars)

    3 bed, 1.5 bath solid equity opportunity with rehab potential. Prune needed cosmetic/systems updates, then profit as a completed rental or flip. Won’t stay on the market long! New kitchen cabinets, stove, dishwasher, refrigerator, and microwave have all been installed. Bonus shed in the backyard. NO utilities!

  23. 2026-03-13
    listed $134,780 Active 317-char remark
    Show marketing remark (317 chars)

    3 bed, 1.5 bath solid equity opportunity with rehab potential. Prune needed cosmetic/systems updates, then profit as a completed rental or flip. Won’t stay on the market long! New kitchen cabinets, stove, dishwasher, refrigerator, and microwave have all been installed. Bonus shed in the backyard. NO utilities!

  24. 1991-07-22
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$949 · $79/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$949 · $79/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,271
− Mortgage interest
−$5,029
− Property taxes
−$949
− Insurance
−$449
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,142
− Management
−$1,142
− Depreciation
−$2,612
Taxable income
$2,949
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$708
After-tax cash flow
$3,519/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Baton Rouge Parish
NCES district ID
2200540
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -36.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -31.00%
Median HH income
$46,263
Composite
24.14/100
National rank
#7745
State rank
#47 of 98 in LA

Livability — Merrydale

Score
58/100
State rank
#301
US rank
#21115

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Merrydale, LA
City population
11,124
Population (ZIP)
11,124

Population outlook (East Baton Rouge County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
464,810 people
By 2030
472,137 · +1.6%
By 2040
480,243 · +3.3%
By 2050
484,422 · +4.2%
By 2075
492,069 · +5.9%
By 2100
476,347 · +2.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (97%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 97% Hispanic / Latino 2% White 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · East Baton Rouge

2024 margin
D (+11.1) · D 54.5% · R 43.4% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
+8.9pp toward D · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: 11.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+11.1 2020: D+13.1 2016: D+9.2 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+2.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.93%
Current HPI
174.6882
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-33.4% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-31 Price Changed $89,780 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-03-31 Price Changed $89,780 GBRMLS
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $104,780 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $104,780 GBRMLS
  • 2026-03-17 Price Changed $119,780 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-03-17 Price Changed $119,780 GBRMLS
  • 2026-03-13 Listed $134,780 GBRMLS
  • 2026-03-13 Listed $134,780 AcadianaMLS
  • 1991-07-22 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+32.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $949 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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