9404 NW 59th Ter · Parkville, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.1/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.0/15.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$265,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Sold on Private Office Exclusive
Key facts
- Finished basement
- Cul-de-sac living
- Granite countertops
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Association fee charged annually
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener (garage faces front); 2 garage spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Split entry (multi-level); Above-grade and below-grade finished living areas
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Cul-de-sac lot; Paved road with public maintenance; Metal and wood fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Laminate counters; Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric range
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the first level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bath with shower over tub; 1 half bath
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Painted cabinets; Thermal windows; Finished basement with egress window(s); Split entry floor plan
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in the basement / lower level; Humidifier
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $265k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-108 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $246k (7.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $206k (22.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $206k (22.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 1.7% in Parkville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#51 in MO, #3,695 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Park Hill (urban): math 47% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #26 of 324 in MO (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Graden Elem. (math 56% / reading 64%, grade B-, #120 of 1,115 statewide, top 11%, 475 students, 22% FRL); Park Hill South High (math 67% / reading 69%, grade B, #13 of 521 statewide, top 2%, 1,860 students, 25% FRL) — zoned schools at 24% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 64% at this address vs 50% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Park Hill average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 264 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 234 units permitted in Platte County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $28k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Platte County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.74%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 10.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $262,074
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1348 Main St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,397 (-1%) | 2mo | $250,000 | $179 | 72 |
| 9505 NW 59th Ter | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,610 (+14%) | 22mo | $299,000 | $186 | 50 |
| 10230 NW 57th St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,586 (+13%) | 2mo | $314,900 | $199 | 47 |
| 10503 NW Crooked Rd | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,608 (+14%) | 22mo | $309,000 | $192 | 24 |
| 10409 NW 58th St | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,607 (+14%) | 24mo | $285,000 | $177 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 7.03% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.97×
- Total profit
- $146,122
- Equity at exit
- $238,733
- IRR
- 22.5%
- Equity multiple
- 7.15×
- Total profit
- $456,341
- Equity at exit
- $514,837
Cash invested: $74,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64152
- Home prices YoY
- 4.7%
- Rents YoY
- 7.0%
- Active inventory
- 264
- Price-to-rent
- 10.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,057 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,390
- Tax from tax record
- −$233 /mo · $2,793/yr
- Insurance
- −$110
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$432
- Net cashflow
- $-108
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $66,250
- Closing costs
- $7,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16349 Round Tripper ST Weatherby Lake, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 964 | $2,050 | $2.13 | 11d | 87 | 0.93mi |
| 16349 Round Tripper ST Weatherby Lake, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 964 | $2,025 | $2.10 | 2d | 83 | 0.93mi |
| 10009 NW Jones Dr Unit A Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 957 | $1,100 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 5906 NW Harris Dr Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1648 | $2,321 | $1.41 | 4d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 8418 NW 68th St Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1714 | $2,141 | $1.25 | 11d | 1 | 1.19mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-15statusdays on market $265,000 Pending 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $265,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-13$265,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,793 · $233/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,793 · $233/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,687
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,844
- − Property taxes
- −$2,793
- − Insurance
- −$1,325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,975
- − Management
- −$1,975
- − Depreciation
- −$7,709
- Taxable loss
- −$5,934
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,424
- After-tax cash flow
- $133/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Park Hill
- NCES district ID
- 2923550
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,616
- Composite
- 44.86/100
- National rank
- #2723
- State rank
- #26 of 324 in MO
Livability — Parkville
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #51
- US rank
- #3695
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Parkville, MO
- County
- Platte County · 100,198 people
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,545
- Household income
- $114,688
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 234.0
Population outlook (Platte County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 111,772 people
- By 2030
- 119,173 · +6.6%
- By 2040
- 133,326 · +19.3%
- By 2050
- 146,617 · +31.2%
- By 2075
- 178,626 · +59.8%
- By 2100
- 195,638 · +75.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Italian 4% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Platte
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 50.8% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.2pp toward D · 2008: -6.4pp · 2024: -3.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.1 2020: R+3.0 2016: R+13.0 2012: R+14.2 2008: R+6.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 33.10%
- Current HPI
- 739.89
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.03%
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+179.2% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $265,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-10-26 Listing Removed — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-10-26 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-10-25 Listed $219,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-10-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2020-05-29 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2020-05-29 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-05-06 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-05-04 Listed $168,500 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-02-28 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-02-15 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-01-28 Contingent — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-01-23 Listed $150,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-01-15 Listing Removed — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-01-14 Price Changed $149,999 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-01-02 Price Changed $155,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-12-18 Price Changed $160,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-12-11 Price Changed $165,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-12-03 Listed $170,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2000-12-07 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2000-12-06 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2000-07-31 Listed $94,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,793 · +9.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…