327 2nd St NE · Barnesville, MN
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.6/30.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 2 Story on 2 lots with tons of space located in Barnesville! The main floor features living room with a lot of windows, generous dinning room, kitchen with island, and an updated bathroom! Upstairs you will find two good sized bedrooms, lots of storage and a full bath overlooking the backyard with a spacious deck, lots of trees! Extra storage/ 1-stall metal garage! Basement features two bedrooms, laundry/ utility room with extra storage!
Key facts
- Two-story home
- Large double lot
- Overlooking a creek
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage (dimensions about 27.3 x 23.11)
- Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas
- Home design: Residential property; Two levels
- Construction: Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Foundation area approximately 736
- Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Deck; Storage shed on property; Lot approximately 0.63 acres (lot dimensions note: 50x200 & 80x213)
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen with center island; Kitchen size approximately 11.4 x 10.6
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (bedrooms located on upper and main levels as noted); Primary/large bedroom approximately 15.1 x 20.11 (upper); Additional bedrooms approximately 12.1 x 9.4, 11.8 x 10.3, and 8.9 x 9.10
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (upper level); One three-quarter bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Window coverings; Main floor 3/4 bathroom and upper-level full bathroom; Block foundation basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in basement; Utility room in lower level approximately 14.5 x 10.3
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $282 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#93 in MN, #2,108 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Barnesville Public School District (rural): math 63% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #20 of 301 in MN (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Barnesville Secondary (math 62% / reading 67%, grade B-, #29 of 471 statewide, top 6%, 408 students, 22% FRL).
- Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 269 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clay County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.49%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $988
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- 10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.82×
- Total profit
- $24,228
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56514
- Home prices YoY
- -20.5%
- Active inventory
- 42
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,370 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$207 /mo · $2,480/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$288
- Net cashflow
- $282
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $341 | -5% $311 | +0% $282 | +5% $252 | +10% $222 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $173 | -5% $227 | +0% $282 | +5% $336 | +10% $390 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $334 | -0.5pp $308 | base $282 | +0.5pp $254 | +1.0pp $227 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
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2026-05-09status Pending 462-char remark
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2026-05-07historical Contingent - Third Party Approval 462-char remark
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2026-05-01$105,000 Active 462-char remark
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2023-08-21soldstatus $211,000
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2023-08-18soldstatus $211,000 451-char remark
Show marketing remark (451 chars)
Charming 2 Story on 2 lots with tons of space located in Barnesville! The main floor features living room with a lot of windows, generous dinning room, kitchen with island, and an updated bathroom! Upstairs you will find two good sized bedrooms, lots of storage and a full bath overlooking the backyard with a spacious deck, lots of trees! Extra storage/ 1-stall metal garage! Basement features two bedrooms, laundry/ utility room with extra storage!
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2023-04-05$213,900 451-char remark
Show marketing remark (451 chars)
Charming 2 Story on 2 lots with tons of space located in Barnesville! The main floor features living room with a lot of windows, generous dinning room, kitchen with island, and an updated bathroom! Upstairs you will find two good sized bedrooms, lots of storage and a full bath overlooking the backyard with a spacious deck, lots of trees! Extra storage/ 1-stall metal garage! Basement features two bedrooms, laundry/ utility room with extra storage!
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2017-11-02soldstatus $103,425
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2016-12-23soldstatus $108,293
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2016-01-15historical
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2015-07-25$145,000
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2008-06-04soldstatus $138,900
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2008-05-28soldstatus $138,900
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2008-03-27$138,900
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2006-02-28soldstatus $128,100
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2005-12-07historical
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2005-09-25$128,100
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,480 · $207/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,480 · $207/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,445
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$2,480
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,316
- − Management
- −$1,316
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $1,873
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$450
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,930/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Barnesville Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2703660
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 67% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,748
- Composite
- 56.62/100
- National rank
- #1141
- State rank
- #20 of 301 in MN
Livability — Barnesville
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #93
- US rank
- #2108
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Barnesville, MN
- City population
- 4,055
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,055
Population outlook (Clay County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 67,880 people
- By 2030
- 70,881 · +4.4%
- By 2040
- 76,865 · +13.2%
- By 2050
- 83,205 · +22.6%
- By 2075
- 98,719 · +45.4%
- By 2100
- 111,657 · +64.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 37% Romanian 4% Scottish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clay
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.2% · R 48.8% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.5pp toward R · 2008: 16.0pp · 2024: 0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+4.1 2016: R+2.0 2012: D+8.0 2008: D+16.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.41%
- Current HPI
- 195.1396
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
-18.0% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-07 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-01 Listed $105,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-08-21 Sold (Public Records) $211,000 Public Records
- 2023-08-18 Sold (MLS) $211,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-04-05 Listed $213,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $103,425 Public Records
- 2016-12-23 Sold (Public Records) $108,293 Public Records
- 2016-01-15 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-07-25 Listed $145,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-06-04 Sold (Public Records) $138,900 Public Records
- 2008-05-28 Sold (MLS) $138,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-03-27 Listed $138,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-02-28 Sold (MLS) $128,100 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-12-07 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-09-25 Listed $128,100 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+5.9%/yrLatest (2026): $2,480 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…