🏗️ New Construction
Cognac V G Plan · Carlyss, LA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +8.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$266,990
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Introducing the Cognac V G floor plan by DSLD Homes, an energy-efficient home designed to offer the perfect blend of style, functionality, and sustainability. With 2,171 square feet of living space and a total area of 2,922 square feet, this home provides ample space for families who seek modern comfort and energy savings. The open floor plan creates an expansive and inviting atmosphere that connects the kitchen, living room, and dining areas, ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. Featuring four bedrooms and two bathrooms, the Cognac V G offers generous space to accommodate growing families, while ensuring privacy and comfort for everyone. The kitchen is thoughtfully designed wit
Key facts
- Double vanity
- Open floor plan
- Boot bench
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Listing status: Active
- Financial info: List price $265,990
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage / 2 total parking spaces
- Home design: Plan: Cognac V G; New construction plan
- Exterior features: Located on Garren Ln, Sulphur, LA 70665
Interior
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Open living area (2171 living area)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $267k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-291 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $258k (3.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $258k (3.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 8.3% in Carlyss — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#237 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
- Calcasieu Parish (other): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #29 of 98 in LA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 236 active listings in the ZIP; 1,298 units permitted in Calcasieu Parish in 2024 (526 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Calcasieu County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($259k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 4% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.70%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 10.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $336,510
- List price
- $266,990
- Delta
- -20.66%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4514 Wilshire Ln | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 | 2,271 (+5%) | 11mo | $345,000 | $152 | 54 |
| 4506 Wilshire Ln | 0.63mi | 4/3.0 | 2,339 (+8%) | 3mo | $370,000 | $158 | 51 |
| 4530 Wilshire Ln | 0.57mi | 4/2.5 | 2,278 (+5%) | 17mo | $347,243 | $152 | 49 |
| 4536 Sterlington Blvd | 0.61mi | 4/3.0 | 2,212 (+2%) | 24mo | $339,000 | $153 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.23×
- Total profit
- $-72,994
- Equity at exit
- $50,175
- IRR
- -16.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.07×
- Total profit
- $-87,230
- Equity at exit
- $29,095
Cash invested: $94,223 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70665
- Active inventory
- 236
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,576 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,765
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$421 /mo · $5,048/yr
- Insurance
- −$140
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$541
- Net cashflow
- $-291
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $84,128
- Closing costs
- $10,095
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
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2026-06-19days on market $266,990 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $266,990 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $266,990 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $266,990 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $266,990 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $266,990 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $266,990 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $266,990 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $266,990 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $266,990 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $266,990 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $266,990 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $266,990 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $266,990 Active 18 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $266,990 Active 17 DOM
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2026-05-30pricedays on market $266,990 Active 16 DOM
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2026-05-14$265,990 Active 1496-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,912
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,850
- − Property taxes
- −$5,048
- − Insurance
- −$1,683
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,473
- − Management
- −$2,473
- − Depreciation
- −$9,789
- Taxable loss
- −$9,404
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,257
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,229/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 4 photos
The home is in poor condition with extensive repairs and maintenance needed, including a new roof, siding, and interior updates. Significant value can be added through these improvements, making it a good investment opportunity.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — The roof appears to be in poor condition, with visible wear and tear.
- Major siding — The siding is in poor condition, with peeling paint and possible damage.
- Major interior walls — Based on the exterior, it is likely that the interior walls are in poor condition as well.
- Major flooring — Based on the exterior, it is likely that the flooring is in poor condition as well.
- Major systems — Based on the exterior, it is likely that the systems are in poor condition as well.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale New roof — A new roof would significantly improve the home's appearance and increase its resale value.
- Resale New siding and paint — New siding and paint would improve the home's appearance and increase its resale value.
- Resale Interior updates — Interior updates would improve the home's appearance and increase its resale value.
- Resale Flooring replacement — Flooring replacement would improve the home's appearance and increase its resale value.
- Resale System upgrades — System upgrades would improve the home's functionality and increase its resale value.
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Landscaping and curb appeal would improve the home's appearance and increase its resale and rental value.
- Both New HVAC system — A new HVAC system would improve the home's functionality and increase its resale and rental value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| roof · The roof appears to be in poor condition, with visible wear and tear. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| siding · The siding is in poor condition, with peeling paint and possible damage. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| interior walls · Based on the exterior, it is likely that the interior walls are in poor condition as well. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| flooring · Based on the exterior, it is likely that the flooring is in poor condition as well. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| systems · Based on the exterior, it is likely that the systems are in poor condition as well. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 5 items | $75,000–250,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale New roof — A new roof would significantly improve the home's appearance and increase its resale value. ↑
- Resale New siding and paint — New siding and paint would improve the home's appearance and increase its resale value. ↑
- Resale Interior updates — Interior updates would improve the home's appearance and increase its resale value. ↑
- Resale Flooring replacement — Flooring replacement would improve the home's appearance and increase its resale value. ↑
- Resale System upgrades — System upgrades would improve the home's functionality and increase its resale value. ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Landscaping and curb appeal would improve the home's appearance and increase its resale and rental value. ↑
- Both New HVAC system — A new HVAC system would improve the home's functionality and increase its resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Calcasieu Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200330
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -39.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -33.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,700
- Composite
- 31.45/100
- National rank
- #5979
- State rank
- #29 of 98 in LA
Livability — Carlyss
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #237
- US rank
- #18031
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Carlyss, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,891
Population outlook (Calcasieu County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 212,179 people
- By 2030
- 218,199 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 228,486 · +7.7%
- By 2050
- 236,208 · +11.3%
- By 2075
- 251,696 · +18.6%
- By 2100
- 247,848 · +16.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 8% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Calcasieu
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.6) · D 29.5% · R 69.0% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.0pp toward R · 2008: -24.6pp · 2024: -39.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.6 2020: R+35.2 2016: R+33.3 2012: R+28.7 2008: R+24.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -91.65%
- Current HPI
- 99.2379
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…