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1941 N Golden State Blvd #33
B- Composite 68.31
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Manufactured-home adj. -5.9

$28,000

1941 N Golden State Blvd #33 · Fresno, CA 93705
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 500 sqft · Manufactured · 128 Days on market
Manufactured home Built 1965 Fair condition $56/sqft · 66% below area ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Community pool
  • Built 1965
  • Listed 127 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $28k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $566 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($961 rent vs $28k).
  • Recommended offer: $25k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 30.5% vs local median 3.7% in Fresno — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#469 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D+, employment D+, crime F.
  • Fresno Unified (urban): math 18% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #327 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Addams Elementary (800 students, 97% FRL); Rutherford B. Gaston Sr. Middle (821 students, 98% FRL); Edison High (math 35% / reading 67%, grade D+, #319 of 1,170 statewide, top 28%, 2,466 students, 81% FRL) — zoned schools average 92% FRL vs 77% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 51% at this address vs 32% district-wide (+18 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Fresno Unified average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 131 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,426 units permitted in Fresno County in 2024 (296 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $194 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $840 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fresno County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 128 days — a 12% lower offer ($25k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $24,640 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 128 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.43%
Cap rate
30.53%
Cash-on-cash
86.57%
DSCR
4.85
GRM
2.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$81,180
List price
$28,000
Delta
-65.51%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1941 N Golden State Blvd #50 0.07mi 1/1.0 500 (0%) 28mo $57,500 $115 77
1520 N Delno Ave 0.92mi 1/1.0 576 (+15%) 8mo $234,000 $406 33
1719 W Olive Ave W #31 0.75mi 2/1.0 (+1) 607 (+21%) 12mo $82,000 $135 25
1529 N Palm Ave 1.48mi 1/1.0 611 (+22%) 27mo $235,000 $385 20
1529 N Palm Ave 1.48mi 1/1.0 611 (+22%) 27mo $235,000 $385 20

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.19% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
89.6%
Equity multiple
5.29×
Total profit
$33,663
Equity at exit
$4,175
10-year hold
IRR
93.0%
Equity multiple
11.85×
Total profit
$85,041
Equity at exit
$2,421

Cash invested: $7,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
1 active
Median asking
$44,999 ($90/sqft)
Median days on market
88 d
This list price
lowest-priced of the active set
ARV vs active asking
+80.4% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 93705

Rents YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
131
Price-to-rent
2.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$961 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$147
Tax est. 1.5%
$35 /mo · $420/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$0
Lot rent leased land?
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$202
Net cashflow
$566

Break-even live

Break-even rent $245
Max offer price $28,000
Occupancy floor 36%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $585 -5% $575 +0% $566 +5% $556 +10% $546
Rent -10% $490 -5% $528 +0% $566 +5% $604 +10% $641
Rate -1.0pp $580 -0.5pp $573 base $566 +0.5pp $558 +1.0pp $551

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,000
Closing costs
$840
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2130 N Marks Ave Fresno, CA 2.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 900 $1,595 $1.77 15d 6 0.43mi
2212 N Marks Ave Fresno, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 671 $1,265 $1.89 15d 2 0.46mi
2087 N Marks Ave Fresno, CA 1.0 1.0 700 $1,295 $1.85 17d 1 0.55mi
849 W Cambridge Ave Fresno, CA 1.0 1.0 700 $1,150 $1.64 73d 1 0.75mi
3166 W Princeton Ave Fresno, CA 2.0 1.0 565 $1,148 $2.03 15d 3 0.94mi
1584 N Carruth Ave Unit B Fresno, CA 1.0 1.0 520 $1,250 $2.40 93d 1 0.95mi
3165 W Shields Ave Fresno, CA 2.0 1.0 565 $1,175 $2.08 15d 1 1.01mi
3207 W Shields Ave Fresno, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 959 $1,210 $1.26 15d 2 1.07mi
610 W Hammond Ave Unit 612 Fresno, CA 1.0 1.0 700 $1,250 $1.79 15d 1 1.09mi
610 W Hammond Ave Unit 614 Fresno, CA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,295 $1.73 38d 1 1.09mi
534 W Hedges Ave Unit 534 Fresno, CA 1.0 1.0 660 $1,200 $1.82 51d 1 1.09mi
1324 N Farris Ave Unit C Fresno, CA 1.0 500 $895 $1.79 41d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-07-31
    days on market $28,000 Active 128 DOM
  2. 2026-07-30
    days on market $28,000 Active 127 DOM
  3. 2026-07-30
    days on market $28,000 Active 126 DOM
  4. 2026-07-28
    days on market $28,000 Active 125 DOM
  5. 2026-07-26
    days on market $28,000 Active 123 DOM
  6. 2026-07-24
    days on market $28,000 Active 121 DOM
  7. 2026-07-23
    days on market $28,000 Active 120 DOM
  8. 2026-07-22
    days on market $28,000 Active 119 DOM
  9. 2026-07-21
    days on market $28,000 Active 118 DOM
  10. 2026-07-20
    days on market $28,000 Active 117 DOM
  11. 2026-07-18
    days on market $28,000 Active 115 DOM
  12. 2026-07-18
    days on market $28,000 Active 114 DOM
  13. 2026-07-16
    days on market $28,000 Active 113 DOM
  14. 2026-07-15
    days on market $28,000 Active 112 DOM
  15. 2026-07-14
    days on market $28,000 Active 111 DOM
  16. 2026-07-13
    days on market $28,000 Active 110 DOM
  17. 2026-07-13
    days on market $28,000 Active 109 DOM
  18. 2026-07-11
    days on market $28,000 Active 108 DOM
  19. 2026-07-10
    days on market $28,000 Active 107 DOM
  20. 2026-07-09
    days on market $28,000 Active 106 DOM
  21. 2026-07-07
    days on market $28,000 Active 104 DOM
  22. 2026-07-06
    days on market $28,000 Active 103 DOM
  23. 2026-07-05
    days on market $28,000 Active 102 DOM
  24. 2026-07-03
    days on market $28,000 Active 100 DOM
  25. 2026-07-02
    days on market $28,000 Active 99 DOM
  26. 2026-07-01
    days on market $28,000 Active 98 DOM
  27. 2026-06-30
    days on market $28,000 Active 97 DOM
  28. 2026-06-29
    days on market $28,000 Active 96 DOM
  29. 2026-06-28
    days on market $28,000 Active 95 DOM
  30. 2026-06-27
    days on market $28,000 Active 94 DOM
  31. 2026-06-27
    days on market $28,000 Active 93 DOM
  32. 2026-06-25
    days on market $28,000 Active 91 DOM
  33. 2026-06-22
    days on market $28,000 Active 89 DOM
  34. 2026-06-21
    days on market $28,000 Active 88 DOM
  35. 2026-06-18
    days on market $28,000 Active 85 DOM
  36. 2026-06-17
    days on market $28,000 Active 84 DOM
  37. 2026-06-16
    days on market $28,000 Active 83 DOM
  38. 2026-06-15
    days on market $28,000 Active 82 DOM
  39. 2026-06-13
    days on market $28,000 Active 80 DOM
  40. 2026-06-10
    days on market $28,000 Active 77 DOM
  41. 2026-06-09
    days on market $28,000 Active 76 DOM
  42. 2026-06-08
    days on market $28,000 Active 75 DOM
  43. 2026-06-07
    days on market $28,000 Active 74 DOM
  44. 2026-06-05
    days on market $28,000 Active 71 DOM
  45. 2026-06-03
    days on market $28,000 Active 70 DOM
  46. 2026-06-02
    days on market $28,000 Active 69 DOM
  47. 2026-06-01
    days on market $28,000 Active 68 DOM
  48. 2026-05-31
    days on market $28,000 Active 67 DOM
  49. 2026-04-16
    price $30,000
  50. 2026-03-24
    listed $35,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 48 unhealthy d/yr today · 50 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,530
− Mortgage interest
−$1,568
− Property taxes
−$420
− Insurance
−$140
− Repairs & maintenance
−$922
− Management
−$922
− Depreciation
−$815
Taxable income
$6,742
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,618
After-tax cash flow
$5,169/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 7 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab Est. rehab $12,500–$22,500 screening

This manufactured home requires moderate renovations to improve its exterior, interior, and curb appeal, significantly increasing its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major exterior siding — Severe weathering and peeling
  • Major kitchen cabinets — Outdated and small
  • Major bathroom fixtures — Outdated and small

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace carpet — Improves comfort and value
  • Both Paint interior walls — Freshens the space and adds value

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

D Composite school gradezoned avg 51/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Addams Elementary Middle Rutherford B. Gaston Sr. Middle High Edison High D+ CA #319/1,170 Nat'l #5,320/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fresno Unified
NCES district ID
0614550
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▲ 9.00%
Median HH income
$36,095
Composite
26.83/100
National rank
#7111
State rank
#327 of 517 in CA
C Composite livability gradescore 62/100

Livability — Fresno

Score
62/100
State rank
#469
US rank
#15907

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fresno, CA
County
Fresno County · 1,042,971 people
City population
593,114
Metro
Fresno, CA
Population (ZIP)
38,888
Household income
$57,003
Rent vs Own
52.6% rent · 47.4% own
Severe rent burden
10% of renters

Population outlook (Fresno County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,042,971 people
By 2030
1,072,198 · +2.8%
By 2040
1,122,408 · +7.6%
By 2050
1,157,251 · +11.0%
By 2075
1,182,575 · +13.4%
By 2100
1,105,899 · +6.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 62% Two or more races 34% White 22% Black 6% Asian 6% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 60%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1% Russian 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, China
Languages at home
61% English-only · Spanish 34% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fresno

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 46.5% · R 50.9% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-6.5pp toward R · 2008: 2.1pp · 2024: -4.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+4.4 2020: D+7.8 2016: D+3.9 2012: R+2.9 2008: D+2.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-14.3% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $30,000 FRESNOMLS
  • 2026-03-24 Listed $35,000 FRESNOMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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