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181 Firetower Rd
D+ Composite 48.4
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$144,500

181 Firetower Rd · Tylertown, MS 39667
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,112 sqft · Manufactured public records · 27 Days on market
Built 2012 1.00 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This spacious 2012 double-wide mobile home offers 2,112 square feet of comfortable living space, perfectly situated on a full 1-acre lot in Tylertown, MS, within the desirable Salem School District of Walthall County. Tucked away with a long private driveway, this property provides both privacy and peaceful surroundings, complemented by beautiful views. Inside, you'll find a thoughtfully designed layout featuring a large kitchen with an oversized island and abundant cabinet space--ideal for cooking, entertaining, and everyday living. The home has brand new carpet in bedrooms, adding a fresh and cozy touch. The main bedroom suite is a true retreat, boasting a very large soaking bathtub, a separate shower, and a spacious walk-in closet conveniently located just off the bathroom. Step outside to enjoy the expansive back deck, perfect for relaxing, hosting gatherings, or simply taking in the surroundings full of wildlife. With its generous space, modern features, and tranquil setting, this property offers the perfect blend of comfort and country living.

Key facts

  • Private driveway
  • Main bedroom suite
  • Large kitchen

Tags

1-ACRE LOTPRIVATE DRIVEWAYLARGE KITCHENOVERSIZED ISLANDABUNDANT CABINET SPACEMAIN BEDROOM SUITE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $144k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $178 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $134k (7.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $134k (7.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.1% in Tylertown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#46 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Walthall County School District (rural): math 22% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #86 of 130 in MS (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 93 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $999 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Walthall County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($142k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $133,551 (7.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
7.77%
Cash-on-cash
5.28%
DSCR
1.23
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.1%
Equity multiple
0.70×
Total profit
$-12,131
Equity at exit
$21,545
10-year hold
IRR
1.3%
Equity multiple
1.09×
Total profit
$3,815
Equity at exit
$12,494

Cash invested: $40,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39667

Home prices YoY
-18.4%
Active inventory
93
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,336 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$758
Tax from tax record
$59 /mo · $708/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$280
Net cashflow
$178

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,110
Max offer price $144,500
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $260 -5% $219 +0% $178 +5% $137 +10% $96
Rent -10% $73 -5% $125 +0% $178 +5% $231 +10% $284
Rate -1.0pp $251 -0.5pp $215 base $178 +0.5pp $141 +1.0pp $102

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,125
Closing costs
$4,335
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    status Pending 1066-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1066 chars)

    This spacious 2012 double-wide mobile home offers 2,112 square feet of comfortable living space, perfectly situated on a full 1-acre lot in Tylertown, MS, within the desirable Salem School District of Walthall County. Tucked away with a long private driveway, this property provides both privacy and peaceful surroundings, complemented by beautiful views. Inside, you'll find a thoughtfully designed layout featuring a large kitchen with an oversized island and abundant cabinet space--ideal for cooking, entertaining, and everyday living. The home has brand new carpet in bedrooms, adding a fresh and cozy touch. The main bedroom suite is a true retreat, boasting a very large soaking bathtub, a separate shower, and a spacious walk-in closet conveniently located just off the bathroom. Step outside to enjoy the expansive back deck, perfect for relaxing, hosting gatherings, or simply taking in the surroundings full of wildlife. With its generous space, modern features, and tranquil setting, this property offers the perfect blend of comfort and country living.

  2. 2026-04-21
    listed $144,500 Active 1066-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1066 chars)

    This spacious 2012 double-wide mobile home offers 2,112 square feet of comfortable living space, perfectly situated on a full 1-acre lot in Tylertown, MS, within the desirable Salem School District of Walthall County. Tucked away with a long private driveway, this property provides both privacy and peaceful surroundings, complemented by beautiful views. Inside, you'll find a thoughtfully designed layout featuring a large kitchen with an oversized island and abundant cabinet space--ideal for cooking, entertaining, and everyday living. The home has brand new carpet in bedrooms, adding a fresh and cozy touch. The main bedroom suite is a true retreat, boasting a very large soaking bathtub, a separate shower, and a spacious walk-in closet conveniently located just off the bathroom. Step outside to enjoy the expansive back deck, perfect for relaxing, hosting gatherings, or simply taking in the surroundings full of wildlife. With its generous space, modern features, and tranquil setting, this property offers the perfect blend of comfort and country living.

  3. 2026-01-28
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$708 · $59/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,142 · $95/mo
Expected delta
+$433/yr (+$36/mo · 61.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,026
− Mortgage interest
−$8,094
− Property taxes
−$708
− Insurance
−$722
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,282
− Management
−$1,282
− Depreciation
−$4,204
Taxable loss
−$267
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$64
After-tax cash flow
$2,200/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Walthall County School District
NCES district ID
2804440
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$31,939
Composite
18.26/100
National rank
#8959
State rank
#86 of 130 in MS

Livability — Tylertown

Score
69/100
State rank
#46
US rank
#8187

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
10,138

Population outlook (Walthall County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
13,180 people
By 2030
12,361 · -6.2%
By 2040
10,728 · -18.6%
By 2050
9,233 · -29.9%
By 2075
6,445 · -51.1%
By 2100
4,955 · -62.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 43% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Walthall

2024 margin
Strong R (+26.9) · D 36.1% · R 63.0%
2008→2024 swing
-16.7pp toward R · 2008: -10.2pp · 2024: -26.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+26.9 2020: R+19.4 2016: R+15.2 2012: R+8.4 2008: R+10.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -33.26%
Current HPI
147.5232
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Pending MLSU
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $144,500 MLSU
  • 2026-01-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $708 · +43.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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