5246 Outlaw Rd · Prichard, AL 36613

$49,900

5 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,616 sqft · SingleFamily · 21 Days on market

Built 1989 Poor condition 1.10 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +2.7/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.3/10.0
• Condition / age +1.0/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Investor special in Eight Mile - two homes, two parcels on 1.1 acres total, sold as-is. This property features two homes on crawl space sitting on a 1.1-acre parcel. House 1 has 2 bedr / 1 bath at 704 sq ft, while House 2 has 3 bed / 1 bath at 912 sq ft, for a total of 1,616 sq ft under roof across both buildings. The 1.1-acre parcel opens up real flexibility for the right investor - a duplex rent-and-hold strategy, demo-and-rebuild new construction, or work with one structure and reimagine the other. Plenty of lot to work with.

Key facts

• Two parcels
• 1.1 acres
• Crawl space

Tags

• TWO HOMES
• TWO PARCELS
• 1.1 ACRES
• CRAWL SPACE
• NEW CONSTRUCTION

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Driving directions available
• Financial info: No financial details provided
• HOA & community: No association fee

Exterior

• Parking: Unassigned parking
• Security: No security features listed
• Utilities: Well water; Septic sewer; Electric water heater; Internet availability unknown
• Home design: Wood and stucco construction; Existing year built description; Foundation supported on pillars; Sits on approximately 1.1 acres
• Construction: Wood and stucco exterior; Pillars/support foundation; Open deck
• Exterior features: Open deck; Porch; Storage building; No pool; No patio; No garden view; Not waterfront

Interior

• Kitchen: Laminate countertops
• Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level; Four additional bedrooms on main level
• Flooring: Hardwood floors
• Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Tub/shower combo
• Heating & cooling: No heating; No air conditioning
• Interior features: Smooth ceilings; No additional interior features listed
• Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $50k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
• Recommended offer: $49k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 30.4% vs local median 11.4% in Prichard — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 54/100 on livability (#472 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Indian Springs Elementary School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #467 of 627 statewide, top 76%, 368 students, 75% FRL); Mattie T Blount High School (math 2% / reading 3%, grade F, #291 of 305 statewide, top 100%, 1,176 students, 86% FRL).
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 11% at this address vs 27% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Mobile County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $49,151 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 3.42% ✓
• Cap rate: 30.43%
• Cash-on-cash: 86.21%
• DSCR: 4.84
• GRM: 2.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $213,312
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
4803 Outlaw Rd	0.16mi	4/2.0 (-1)	1,815 (+12%)	7mo	$240,000	$132	61

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 86.7%
• Equity multiple: 5.00×
• Total profit: $55,867
• Equity at exit: $7,440

10-year hold

• IRR: 89.8%
• Equity multiple: 10.38×
• Total profit: $131,070
• Equity at exit: $4,314

Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Alabama: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 36613

• Home prices YoY: -23.9%
• Active inventory: 92
• Price-to-rent: 2.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,707 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$262
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$62 /mo · $748/yr
• Insurance: −$21
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$358
• Net cashflow: $1,004

Break-even live

Break-even rent $437

Max offer price $49,900

Occupancy floor 36%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $12,475
• Closing costs: $1,497
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 19 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $49,900 Active 21 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   price $49,900 Active 20 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $59,900 Active 20 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $59,900 Active 19 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $59,900 Active 18 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $59,900 Active 16 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $59,900 Active 15 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   days on market $59,900 Active 13 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   pricedays on market $59,900 Active 12 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,900 Active 11 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,900 Active 10 DOM
12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $69,900 Active 7 DOM
13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $69,900 Active 6 DOM
14. 2026-06-03
    price $69,900 Active 5 DOM
15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,900 Active 5 DOM
16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,900 Active 4 DOM
17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,900 Active 3 DOM
18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $79,900 Active 2 DOM
19. 2026-05-28
    listed $79,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $20,485
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,795
• − Property taxes: −$748
• − Insurance: −$250
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,639
• − Management: −$1,639
• − Depreciation: −$1,452
• Taxable income: $11,962
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,871
• After-tax cash flow: $9,174/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This property requires extensive rehabilitation, including structural repairs, plumbing, electrical, and interior work. Immediate attention to these issues is necessary to improve the property's value and safety.

Repairs flagged

• Major Exposed plumbing — Needs full replacement
• Major Exposed water heater — Needs full replacement
• Major Exposed electrical wiring — Needs full replacement
• Major Exposed subflooring — Needs full replacement
• Major Siding — Needs full replacement

Value-add opportunities

• Both Landscaping and vegetation control — Improves curb appeal and safety
• Both Full replacement of plumbing, electrical, and water heater — Essential for functionality and safety
• Both Rehabilitation of siding and exterior — Enhances curb appeal and structural integrity
• Both Rehabilitation of interior walls and paint — Enhances interior aesthetics and safety

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair item	Severity	Est. cost
Exposed plumbing · Needs full replacement	Major	$15,000–50,000
Exposed water heater · Needs full replacement	Major	$15,000–50,000
Exposed electrical wiring · Needs full replacement	Major	$15,000–50,000
Exposed subflooring · Needs full replacement	Major	$15,000–50,000
Siding · Needs full replacement	Major	$15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 5 items		$75,000–250,000

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Landscaping and vegetation control — Improves curb appeal and safety ↑
• Both Full replacement of plumbing, electrical, and water heater — Essential for functionality and safety ↑
• Both Rehabilitation of siding and exterior — Enhances curb appeal and structural integrity ↑
• Both Rehabilitation of interior walls and paint — Enhances interior aesthetics and safety ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Mobile County
• NCES district ID: 0102370
• Math proficiency: 15% ▼ -28.00%
• Reading proficiency: 39% ▬ 0.00%
• Median HH income: $42,455
• Composite: 22.9/100
• National rank: #8002
• State rank: #81 of 129 in AL

Livability — Prichard

• Score: 54/100
• State rank: #472
• US rank: #24080

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Prichard, AL
• City population: 13,402
• Population (ZIP): 12,082

Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 415,303 people
• By 2030: 411,755 · -0.9%
• By 2040: 399,670 · -3.8%
• By 2050: 382,616 · -7.9%
• By 2075: 337,353 · -18.8%
• By 2100: 283,391 · -31.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority Black (52%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 52% White 44% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 0%
• Languages at home: 99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mobile

• 2024 margin: R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -65.49%
• Current HPI: 208.8677
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.94%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	1	$8B
▸Healthcare	1	$5B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-05-28 Listed $79,900 Greater Alabama MLS