551 Summit Trail #131 Plan · Granby, CO 80446

$248,995

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,664 sqft · Manufactured · 64 Days on market

Good condition

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +21.8/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +7.0/10.0
• 1% rule +5.7/10.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Large 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is now available. With a bright open floorplan this home features a large living space with two dining areas and a breakfast bar. The kitchen comes equipped with energy-star efficient appliances and multiple cabinet space. The primary bedroom is off the kitchen where there is a large closet and attached bathroom with a double sink vanity and large shower with glass doors. The two spare bedrooms are off the livingroom with the laundry room and spare bathroom between them. Contact us today for a tour. We offer 3rd party financing, conditions and restrictions may apply and we offer equal housing opportunities. Note: exterior paint will be completed this spring

Key facts

• Large closet
• Open floorplan
• Large living space

Tags

• OPEN FLOORPLAN
• LARGE LIVING SPACE
• MULTIPLE CABINET SPACE
• LARGE CLOSET
• DOUBLE SINK VANITY
• LARGE SHOWER WITH GLASS DOORS

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Address: 551 Summit Trail #131, Granby, CO 80446; Status: Active
• Financial info: List price $254,995

Exterior

• Home design: Plan home (551 Summit Trail #131); Single-level entry implied
• Construction: New construction plan
• Exterior features: Living area approximately 1664 (listed)

Interior

• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms (full)
• Interior features: Open plan living space

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $249k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $386 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $249k).
• Recommended offer: $234k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 1.4% in Granby — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 70/100 on livability (#85 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: commute D+, amenities F, health & safety F.
• East Grand School District No. 2 (rural): math 36% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #17 of 86 in CO (top 20%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 424 active listings in the ZIP; 294 units permitted in Grand County in 2024 (82 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Grand County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($234k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $234,055 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.07% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.16%
• Cash-on-cash: 6.65%
• DSCR: 1.30
• GRM: 7.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -6.1%
• Equity multiple: 0.77×
• Total profit: $-15,692
• Equity at exit: $37,126

10-year hold

• IRR: 3.6%
• Equity multiple: 1.26×
• Total profit: $18,196
• Equity at exit: $21,529

Cash invested: $69,719 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 38 Tenant-Leaning
• State Colorado: 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

2023 reforms: 10-day cure, mandated notice, source-of-income protected. Courts backlogged in Denver.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 80446

• Home prices YoY: -23.1%
• Active inventory: 424
• Price-to-rent: 7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,667 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,306
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$311 /mo · $3,735/yr
• Insurance: −$104
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$560
• Net cashflow: $386

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,178

Max offer price $248,995

Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $62,249
• Closing costs: $7,470
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 15 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $248,995 Active 64 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $248,995 Active 63 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $248,995 Active 62 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $248,995 Active 61 DOM
5. 2026-06-14
   days on market $248,995 Active 59 DOM
6. 2026-06-10
   days on market $248,995 Active 56 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $248,995 Active 55 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $248,995 Active 54 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $248,995 Active 53 DOM
10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $248,995 Active 50 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $248,995 Active 49 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $248,995 Active 48 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $248,995 Active 47 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $248,995 Active 46 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $248,995 Active 45 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone D · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $32,009
• − Mortgage interest: −$13,948
• − Property taxes: −$3,735
• − Insurance: −$1,245
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,561
• − Management: −$2,561
• − Depreciation: −$7,243
• Taxable income: $716
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$172
• After-tax cash flow: $4,466/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained, modern manufactured home with a good condition score and fresh paint is ready for immediate occupancy. Minor updates can further enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Paint exterior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
• Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can improve convenience and energy efficiency, attracting more buyers and renters.
• Both Add outdoor lighting — Well-lit exterior can make the home more inviting and safer at night, boosting both resale and rental appeal.
• Resale Upgrade countertops — Modern countertops can significantly enhance the kitchen's aesthetic and functionality, increasing its resale value.
• Rental Install a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can help reduce energy costs and attract eco-conscious renters, boosting rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Paint exterior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
• Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can improve convenience and energy efficiency, attracting more buyers and renters. ↑
• Both Add outdoor lighting — Well-lit exterior can make the home more inviting and safer at night, boosting both resale and rental appeal. ↑
• Resale Upgrade countertops — Modern countertops can significantly enhance the kitchen's aesthetic and functionality, increasing its resale value. ↑
• Rental Install a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can help reduce energy costs and attract eco-conscious renters, boosting rental value. ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: East Grand School District No. 2
• NCES district ID: 0804320
• Math proficiency: 36% ▼ -2.00%
• Reading proficiency: 58% ▲ 4.00%
• Median HH income: $64,903
• Composite: 41.64/100
• National rank: #3424
• State rank: #17 of 86 in CO

Livability — Granby

• Score: 70/100
• State rank: #85
• US rank: #7574

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D+ Cost of living C+ Crime A+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Grand County · 5,874 people
• City population: 4,017
• Metro: nan
• Population (ZIP): 4,017
• Household income: $74,973
• Rent vs Own: 33.1% rent · 66.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 105.0

Population outlook (Grand County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 14,498 people
• By 2030: 14,215 · -2.0%
• By 2040: 13,225 · -8.8%
• By 2050: 12,186 · -15.9%
• By 2075: 10,196 · -29.7%
• By 2100: 8,326 · -42.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (79%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 79% Two or more races 19% Hispanic / Latino 6%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 8% Portuguese 6% Romanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Grand

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 48.8% · Other 3.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: +0.3pp no change · 2008: -1.1pp · 2024: -0.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+0.8 2020: R+1.8 2016: R+13.5 2012: R+7.2 2008: R+1.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -104.78%
• Current HPI: 347.8691
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: nan
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.95%
• F500 in state: 14

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology Distribution	1	$31B
▸Food / Agriculture	1	$18B
▸Packaging	1	$14B
▸Healthcare	1	$13B
▸Energy	1	$10B
▸Technology	1	$4B