1708 Gardenridge Rd · Gardendale, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.9/30.0
- ARV discount +12.1/15.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$177,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Here's a great opportunity to buy and renovate a 3 Bedroom, 2 Full Bathroom, Full Basement Home! This home offers One Level Living over a Full Unfinished Basement with 2 Car Garage. The lot is large and the backyard is fenced. The home is in need of a full renovation so it's a great opportunity for investors or homebuyers looking to grab a deal and do the renovations before moving in. Bring your offers TODAY!
Key facts
- 0.39 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1976
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $178k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $344 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $178k).
- Recommended offer: $156k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 5.5% in Gardendale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#113 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Snow Rogers Elementary School (math 22% / reading 57%, grade F, #243 of 627 statewide, top 41%, 386 students, 52% FRL); Gardendale High School (math 21% / reading 28%, grade F, #118 of 305 statewide, top 45%, 1,047 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 97 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 135 days — a 12% lower offer ($156k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $42k; list at $178k implies a 325% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 135 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.31%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $197,663
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1704 Gardenridge Rd | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 | 1,440 (+14%) | 4mo | $185,000 | $128 | 66 |
| 5602 Hunter Brook Ct | 0.74mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,150 (-9%) | 3mo | $180,000 | $157 | 44 |
| 1647 Moncrief Rd | 0.67mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,377 (+9%) | 12mo | $204,900 | $149 | 38 |
| 2045 Moncrief Rd | 0.71mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,134 (-10%) | 20mo | $190,000 | $168 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-6,824
- Equity at exit
- $26,466
- IRR
- 6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $22,390
- Equity at exit
- $15,347
Cash invested: $49,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35071
- Home prices YoY
- -21.1%
- Active inventory
- 97
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,988 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$931
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$222 /mo · $2,662/yr
- Insurance
- −$74
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$418
- Net cashflow
- $344
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $467 | -5% $405 | +0% $344 | +5% $283 | +10% $221 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $187 | -5% $265 | +0% $344 | +5% $423 | +10% $501 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $433 | -0.5pp $389 | base $344 | +0.5pp $298 | +1.0pp $251 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,375
- Closing costs
- $5,325
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2050 Pinehurst Dr Gardendale, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1514 | $1,595 | $1.05 | 4d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2549 Ferguson Rd Gardendale, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1092 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-09status Pending
-
2026-01-06price $177,500
-
2025-11-25$197,200 Active
-
1977-01-06soldstatus $41,800
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,858
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,943
- − Property taxes
- −$2,662
- − Insurance
- −$888
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,909
- − Management
- −$1,909
- − Depreciation
- −$5,164
- Taxable income
- $1,384
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$332
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,796/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 0101920
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,712
- Composite
- 18.4/100
- National rank
- #8937
- State rank
- #104 of 129 in AL
Livability — Gardendale
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #113
- US rank
- #12225
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gardendale, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 17,288
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,288
- Household income
- $82,074
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 151.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 21% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -55.29%
- Current HPI
- 206.7447
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+324.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-01-06 Price Changed $177,500 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-11-25 Listed $197,200 Greater Alabama MLS
- 1977-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $41,800 Public Records
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…