303 E 57th St Unit 11E · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +7.5/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.7/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Cash flow +0.0/30.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$399,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to your new home at The Excelsior, an iconic building on Billionaire's Row. Residence 11E offers approximately 1,100 square feet of well-planned living space in a full-service cooperative. This oversized one-bedroom, one-and-a-half-bath home features a large living and dining area with excellent natural light and open city views. A private balcony extends the living space outdoors, providing a comfortable setting for relaxing or entertaining while taking in the skyline. The layout includes a generously scaled bedroom that easily accommodates a king-size bed and additional furniture. There is extensive closet space throughout the apartment, including multiple deep closets that su
Key facts
- $4,126 HOA
- Garage
- Built 1968
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Has land lease (expires 2064-01-01); Pets allowed (small pets up to 15 lbs upon approval)
- Financial info:
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Building amenities include bike storage, concierge, elevators, sauna and spa/hot tub; Community features include sauna
Exterior
- Parking: Has garage
- Security: Concierge
- Utilities:
- Home design: Condominium unit in The Excelsior; Located on entry level 11; 47-story building
- Construction:
- Exterior features: Private balcony; Building roof deck; Private outdoor space under 60 sqft; West exposure; Has view
Interior
- Kitchen:
- Bedrooms:
- Flooring:
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling:
- Interior features: Total of 4 rooms; Basement: Other; Building allows washer/dryer (in-unit washer/dryer allowed)
- Laundry & utility: Building laundry features; Washer/dryer allowed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $399k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-23k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $117k (70.8% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $399k).
- Recommended offer: $117k (70.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 0.4% vs local median 2.6% in New York — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Mark Twain Is 239 For The Gifted And Talented (math 90% / reading 96%, grade A+, #6 of 729 statewide, top 1%, 1,207 students, 44% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.7%/yr); 715 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 9d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 4,467 units permitted in New York County in 2024 (4,463 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($172k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $23k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (5.0% local appreciation)).
- New York County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($375k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 66% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 71% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 0.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- -20.96%
- DSCR
- 0.07
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.97% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $2,575
- Equity at exit
- $225,311
- IRR
- 8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.79×
- Total profit
- $199,840
- Equity at exit
- $388,198
Cash invested: $111,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10022
- Home prices YoY
- 2.4%
- Rents YoY
- 8.7%
- Active inventory
- 715
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,243 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,092
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$499 /mo · $5,985/yr
- Insurance
- −$166
- HOA
- −$4,126
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,311
- Net cashflow
- $-1,951
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-1,675 | -5% $-1,813 | +0% $-1,951 | +5% $-2,089 | +10% $-2,227 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-2,444 | -5% $-2,198 | +0% $-1,951 | +5% $-1,704 | +10% $-1,458 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-1,750 | -0.5pp $-1,850 | base $-1,951 | +0.5pp $-2,054 | +1.0pp $-2,160 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $99,750
- Closing costs
- $11,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 227 E 57th St Unit 14C New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $4,750 | $6.09 | 26d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 300 E 57th St #1714 New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $5,800 | $7.07 | 22d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 252 E 61st St #638 New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 666 | $5,530 | $8.30 | 3d | 2 | 0.14mi |
| 400 E 57th St #2106 New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 903 | $6,610 | $7.32 | 5d | 3 | 0.18mi |
| 400 E 57th St New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1436 | $4,950 | $3.45 | 26d | 3 | 0.18mi |
| 150 E 57th St New York, NY | 5.0 | 1.0–7.5 | 2750 | $10,504 | $3.82 | 3d | 5 | 0.19mi |
| 220 E 63rd St #567 New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $6,460 | $8.07 | 22d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 250 E 53rd St #403 New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 823 | $5,850 | $7.11 | 26d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 301 E 63rd St New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $6,650 | $6.82 | 6d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 412 E 55th St New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 767 | $5,250 | $6.84 | 26d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 420 E 61st St Unit 1330815P New York, NY | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1490 | $11,424 | $7.67 | 0d | 2 | 0.27mi |
| 117 E 57th St New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 732 | $5,975 | $8.16 | 6d | 2 | 0.27mi |
| 225 E 63rd St #1675 New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 627 | $5,230 | $8.34 | 26d | 2 | 0.27mi |
| 959 1st Ave Unit 6X New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 739 | $6,000 | $8.12 | 26d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 420 E 54th St New York, NY | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1018 | $7,261 | $7.13 | 0d | 12 | 0.31mi |
| 220 E 65th St New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $5,950 | $8.50 | 3d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 304 E 65th St Unit 11C New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $5,450 | $7.08 | 16d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 323 E 51st St Unit 1024750P New York, NY | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0–3.5 | 2093 | $21,945 | $10.48 | 0d | 3 | 0.34mi |
| 300 E 51st St New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 875 | $6,365 | $7.27 | 4d | 3 | 0.36mi |
| 360 E 65th St #1283 New York, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1059 | $4,840 | $4.57 | 5d | 3 | 0.37mi |
| 340 E 51st St New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 791 | $6,250 | $7.90 | 5d | 3 | 0.37mi |
| 40-44 E 61st St Unit 15B New York, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $15,000 | $12.50 | 16d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 400 E 66th St Unit 1016404P New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 791 | $10,597 | $13.40 | 5d | 2 | 0.42mi |
| 138 E 50th St New York, NY | 2.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1432 | $13,650 | $9.53 | 26d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 250 E 49th St Unit 4A New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 802 | $6,400 | $7.98 | 26d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 220 E 49th St Unit 1021974P New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $5,190 | $6.99 | 16d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 303 Park Ave #2203 New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.5 | 796 | $13,500 | $16.96 | 9d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 303 Park Ave #2321 New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.5 | 808 | $14,500 | $17.95 | 9d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 160 E 48th St New York, NY | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 878 | $6,993 | $7.96 | 5d | 9 | 0.53mi |
| 1310 2nd Ave Unit 1224958P New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 699 | $5,450 | $7.80 | 3d | 2 | 0.54mi |
| 300 E 69th St Unit 1294661P New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 839 | $6,870 | $8.19 | 21d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 885 Main St #705 New York, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $4,800 | $4.36 | 0d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 885 Main St Unit 6B New York, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $5,300 | $5.58 | 0d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 411 E 68th St Unit 1021976P New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 893 | $6,792 | $7.61 | 23d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 135 E 47th St Unit 22F New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $7,500 | $10.71 | 23d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 15 W 55th St #736 New York, NY | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1250 | $8,210 | $6.57 | 0d | 2 | 0.58mi |
| 1290 1st Ave #1499 New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 671 | $6,100 | $9.09 | 4d | 2 | 0.59mi |
| 403 E 69th St #1518 New York, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 745 | $3,990 | $5.36 | 26d | 3 | 0.59mi |
| 300 E 46th St New York, NY | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 716 | $4,300 | $6.00 | 26d | 2 | 0.61mi |
| 40 W 55th St Unit 5D New York, NY | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1070 | $6,500 | $6.07 | 26d | 1 | 0.63mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $4,126 · $49,512/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $399,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $399,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $399,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $399,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $399,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $399,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $399,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $399,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $399,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $399,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $399,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $399,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-04-08$399,000 Active
-
2016-02-23$555,000
-
2016-02-23$555,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $74,922
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,350
- − Property taxes
- −$5,985
- − Insurance
- −$1,995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,994
- − Management
- −$5,994
- − HOA
- −$49,512
- − Depreciation
- −$11,607
- Taxable loss
- −$28,515
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$6,844
- After-tax cash flow
- $-16,569/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- New York County · 1,599,927 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,049
- Household income
- $172,026
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2256.0
Population outlook (New York County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,825,725 people
- By 2030
- 1,904,611 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 2,052,719 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 2,206,601 · +20.9%
- By 2075
- 2,509,427 · +37.4%
- By 2100
- 2,702,933 · +48.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Asian 12% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 1% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Scotch-Irish 5% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 24% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 6% Chinese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · New York
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 82.4% · R 17.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 72.2pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+74.5 2016: D+77.2 2012: D+69.6 2008: D+72.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.97%
- Current HPI
- 215.7225
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.69%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
-28.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Listed $399,000 RLS at REBNY
- 2016-02-23 Listed $555,000 RLS at REBNY
- 2016-02-23 Listed $555,000 RLS at REBNY
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…