26555 Elm Rd · Cole, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.6/30.0
- DSCR +9.7/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.7/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Tucked at the end of a quiet road, this 3.16-acre property offers the perfect blend of privacy and convenience—just minutes from the city, yet it feels like a world away. Whether you're ready to build your dream home or embrace simple country living, this fully fenced homestead is ready to go. The 56' x 14' single-wide mobile home has been freshly repainted inside, with updated electrical and plumbing, vinyl laminate flooring throughout, and a remodeled bathroom featuring a full-size shower. Heating is provided by a wall-mounted propane unit, with cooling via window units and a portable AC. Washer/dryer hookups, electric stove, and fridge are included. The property features a recently
Key facts
- Remodeled bathroom
- 3.16 acre property
- Septic system
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $298 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 2.8% in Cole — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#439 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Washington (rural): math 38% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #20 of 270 in OK (top 7%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Washington Es (math 43% / reading 43%, grade F, #80 of 845 statewide, top 10%, 565 students, 0% FRL); Washington Ms (math 36% / reading 30%, grade F, #35 of 345 statewide, top 10%, 279 students, 0% FRL); Washington Hs (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #48 of 447 statewide, top 14%, 353 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 23% district-wide (23 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 516 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 334 units permitted in McClain County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($90k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
- McClain County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 168 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 168 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.78%
- DSCR
- 1.57
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.45% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.82×
- Total profit
- $23,061
- Equity at exit
- $36,440
- IRR
- 18.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.36×
- Total profit
- $66,111
- Equity at exit
- $50,287
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73010
- Home prices YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 516
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,251 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$125 /mo · $1,498/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$263
- Net cashflow
- $298
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $367 | -5% $332 | +0% $298 | +5% $263 | +10% $229 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $199 | -5% $249 | +0% $298 | +5% $347 | +10% $397 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $348 | -0.5pp $323 | base $298 | +0.5pp $272 | +1.0pp $246 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-03-12status Pending
-
2025-10-31price $99,900
-
2025-09-25$100,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,013
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$1,498
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,201
- − Management
- −$1,201
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $2,111
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$507
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,069/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Washington
- NCES district ID
- 4031710
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,564
- Composite
- 33.73/100
- National rank
- #5375
- State rank
- #20 of 270 in OK
Livability — Cole
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #439
- US rank
- #21241
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cole, OK
- County
- McClain County · 33,206 people
- Metro
- Oklahoma City, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,521
- Household income
- $90,110
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 239.0
Population outlook (McClain County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 46,053 people
- By 2030
- 50,081 · +8.7%
- By 2040
- 58,231 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 66,276 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 86,558 · +88.0%
- By 2100
- 100,421 · +118.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Native American 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · McClain
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+60.6) · D 18.8% · R 79.5% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.8pp toward R · 2008: -51.8pp · 2024: -60.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+60.6 2020: R+60.9 2016: R+60.9 2012: R+55.4 2008: R+51.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.45%
- Current HPI
- 285.8653
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Oklahoma City, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
-0.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-12 Pending — MLSOK
- 2025-10-31 Price Changed $99,900 MLSOK
- 2025-09-25 Listed $100,000 MLSOK
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…