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26555 Elm Rd
B- Composite 69.29
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.6/30.0
  • DSCR +9.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$99,900

26555 Elm Rd · Cole, OK 73010
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 784 sqft · SingleFamily · 168 Days on market
Built 1980 3.16 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Tucked at the end of a quiet road, this 3.16-acre property offers the perfect blend of privacy and convenience—just minutes from the city, yet it feels like a world away. Whether you're ready to build your dream home or embrace simple country living, this fully fenced homestead is ready to go. The 56' x 14' single-wide mobile home has been freshly repainted inside, with updated electrical and plumbing, vinyl laminate flooring throughout, and a remodeled bathroom featuring a full-size shower. Heating is provided by a wall-mounted propane unit, with cooling via window units and a portable AC. Washer/dryer hookups, electric stove, and fridge are included. The property features a recently

Key facts

  • Remodeled bathroom
  • 3.16 acre property
  • Septic system

Tags

3.16 ACRE PROPERTYFULLY FENCED HOMESTEADREMODELED BATHROOMRECENTLY SERVICED WELLSEPTIC SYSTEM400 AMP ELECTRIC SERVICE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $298 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 2.8% in Cole — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#439 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Washington (rural): math 38% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #20 of 270 in OK (top 7%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Washington Es (math 43% / reading 43%, grade F, #80 of 845 statewide, top 10%, 565 students, 0% FRL); Washington Ms (math 36% / reading 30%, grade F, #35 of 345 statewide, top 10%, 279 students, 0% FRL); Washington Hs (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #48 of 447 statewide, top 14%, 353 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 23% district-wide (23 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 516 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 334 units permitted in McClain County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($90k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
  • McClain County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 168 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $87,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 168 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
9.87%
Cash-on-cash
12.78%
DSCR
1.57
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.45% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.8%
Equity multiple
1.82×
Total profit
$23,061
Equity at exit
$36,440
10-year hold
IRR
18.7%
Equity multiple
3.36×
Total profit
$66,111
Equity at exit
$50,287

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73010

Home prices YoY
0.5%
Active inventory
516
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,251 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax est. 1.5%
$125 /mo · $1,498/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$263
Net cashflow
$298

Break-even live

Break-even rent $874
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $367 -5% $332 +0% $298 +5% $263 +10% $229
Rent -10% $199 -5% $249 +0% $298 +5% $347 +10% $397
Rate -1.0pp $348 -0.5pp $323 base $298 +0.5pp $272 +1.0pp $246

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-03-12
    status Pending
  2. 2025-10-31
    price $99,900
  3. 2025-09-25
    listed $100,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,013
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$1,498
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,201
− Management
−$1,201
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$2,111
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$507
After-tax cash flow
$3,069/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Washington
NCES district ID
4031710
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$63,564
Composite
33.73/100
National rank
#5375
State rank
#20 of 270 in OK

Livability — Cole

Score
58/100
State rank
#439
US rank
#21241

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cole, OK
County
McClain County · 33,206 people
Metro
Oklahoma City, OK
Population (ZIP)
21,521
Household income
$90,110
Rent vs Own
15.2% rent · 84.8% own
Severe rent burden
239.0

Population outlook (McClain County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
46,053 people
By 2030
50,081 · +8.7%
By 2040
58,231 · +26.4%
By 2050
66,276 · +43.9%
By 2075
86,558 · +88.0%
By 2100
100,421 · +118.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Native American 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · McClain

2024 margin
Solid R (+60.6) · D 18.8% · R 79.5% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-8.8pp toward R · 2008: -51.8pp · 2024: -60.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+60.6 2020: R+60.9 2016: R+60.9 2012: R+55.4 2008: R+51.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.45%
Current HPI
285.8653
Rent YoY
Metro
Oklahoma City, OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-0.1% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-12 Pending MLSOK
  • 2025-10-31 Price Changed $99,900 MLSOK
  • 2025-09-25 Listed $100,000 MLSOK

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…