36950 Beach Plum Row · Long Neck, DE
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $2,026 – $9,024
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $476 – $884
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.6/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$174,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Lot rent is paid through the end of the year for added buyer peace of mind. Coastal luxury meets everyday ease in this pristine, beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom home nestled in the highly sought-after, water-privileged community of Pot-Nets Seaside. Offering the perfect blend of casual beach vibes and high-end modern design, this property stands out from the moment you pull up the custom paved driveway. Step inside to an airy, light-filled open-concept floor plan designed for effortless entertaining and comfortable coastal living. The true showstopper is the chef-inspired kitchen, featuring upgraded countertops, an abundance of generous cabinetry, and a center island that ser
Key facts
- Private bay beaches
- Outdoor pools
- 3 parking spots
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Ownership is land lease
- Financial info: Monthly land lease payment (amount provided separately); Land lease years remaining (short term remaining)
- HOA & community: Community amenities include boat ramp, boat slip, community center, playground, outdoor pool, and water/lake privileges; Land lease with a monthly fee
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking on driveway for three vehicles (total of 3 parking spaces)
- Security: Storm and screen windows
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric hot water
- Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; Entry level living areas; Estimated year built (model year 1969 indicated)
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle/asphalt roof; Pilings and crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Outbuilding(s) and shed; Wire fencing; Community pool; Water access to a river; Multiple-slip docks (2 docks); Navigable water nearby
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range/oven; Refrigerator; Extra refrigerator/freezer; Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Kitchen island
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level; At least one entry-level bedroom
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Heat pump(s); Electric heating fuel; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Open floor plan with combination kitchen/dining and combination dining/living areas; Breakfast area; Kitchen island; Crown molding; Recessed lighting; Ceiling fans; Walk-in shower in bathroom; Master bath
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath manufactured listed at $174k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $115 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $174k).
- Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 3.3% in Long Neck — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#30 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Indian River School District (rural): math 25% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #14 of 26 in DE (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Long Neck Elementary School (math 22% / reading 35%, grade F, #57 of 105 statewide, top 55%, 693 students, 0% FRL); Millsboro Middle School (math 24% / reading 42%, grade F, #14 of 36 statewide, top 37%, 771 students, 0% FRL); Sussex Central High School (math 23% / reading 42%, grade F, #24 of 40 statewide, top 59%, 2,039 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 49% district-wide (49 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 870 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 4,354 units permitted in Sussex County in 2024 (344 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sussex County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.18%
- DSCR
- 1.63
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $101,752
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26849 Blue Heron Way #1317 | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 1,134 (-12%) | 9mo | $90,000 | $79 | 50 |
| 26590 Hermit Ln #1930 | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,140 (-12%) | 15mo | $45,000 | $39 | 47 |
| 26869 Diver Duck Dr #6052 | 0.40mi | 3/1.5 | 1,100 (-15%) | 13mo | $126,900 | $115 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-20,543
- Equity at exit
- $25,944
- IRR
- -2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-7,155
- Equity at exit
- $15,044
Cash invested: $48,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 70 Landlord-Friendly
- State Delaware
- 70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19966
- Home prices YoY
- -6.4%
- Active inventory
- 870
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,251 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$912
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$218 /mo · $2,610/yr
- Insurance
- −$72
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$473
- Net cashflow
- $115
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $235 | -5% $175 | +0% $115 | +5% $55 | +10% $-5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-63 | -5% $26 | +0% $115 | +5% $204 | +10% $293 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $203 | -0.5pp $159 | base $115 | +0.5pp $70 | +1.0pp $24 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,500
- Closing costs
- $5,220
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35829 S Gloucester Cir Unit 35829 Long Neck, DE | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,995 | $1.33 | 15d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-15status $174,000 Pending 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $174,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $174,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-13$174,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,009
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,747
- − Property taxes
- −$2,610
- − Insurance
- −$6,395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,161
- − Management
- −$2,161
- − Depreciation
- −$5,062
- Taxable loss
- −$1,126
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$270
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,652/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indian River School District
- NCES district ID
- 1000680
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -17.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,838
- Composite
- 28.99/100
- National rank
- #6620
- State rank
- #14 of 26 in DE
Livability — Long Neck
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #30
- US rank
- #8720
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Sussex County · 82,708 people
- Metro
- Salisbury, MD-DE
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,884
- Household income
- $78,305
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 464.0
Population outlook (Sussex County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,853 people
- By 2030
- 264,464 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 290,980 · +16.9%
- By 2050
- 311,259 · +25.1%
- By 2075
- 352,488 · +41.6%
- By 2100
- 367,406 · +47.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 8% Two or more races 7% Native American 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sussex
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.0) · D 43.9% · R 54.9% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.6pp · 2024: -11.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.0 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+22.0 2012: R+13.0 2008: R+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -18.26%
- Current HPI
- 268.5609
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Salisbury, MD-DE
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $174,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+0.0%/yrLatest (2025): $247 · -15.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…