607 Forsythe St · Grandview, IN
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.35%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +8.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$59,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 0.25 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1866
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual tax amount listed (excluded from detailed financial section per instructions)
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Two garage spaces; Gravel parking surfaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family, site-built residential home; One story (above-grade finished area present)
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 100 x 114
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric water heater (appliances listed include water heater)
- Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); One fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup on the main level; Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $22 ($264/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#512 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- South Spencer County School Corporation (rural): math 46% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #58 of 301 in IN (top 19%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Rockport-Ohio Elementary School (math 52% / reading 52%, grade C-, #237 of 994 statewide, top 26%, 318 students, 61% FRL); South Spencer Middle School (math 39% / reading 52%, grade D+, #79 of 330 statewide, top 24%, 228 students, 56% FRL); South Spencer High School (math 47% / reading 67%, grade C, #64 of 369 statewide, top 18%, 357 students, 44% FRL).
- Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 78 units permitted in Spencer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($414 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (7.5% local appreciation)).
- Spencer County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (7.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1866 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1866 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.85% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.09%
- DSCR
- 2.43
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.51% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.46×
- Total profit
- $24,485
- Equity at exit
- $43,510
- IRR
- 19.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.21×
- Total profit
- $70,575
- Equity at exit
- $84,529
Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47615
- Home prices YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 11
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,110 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$314
- Tax from tax record
- −$89 /mo · $1,068/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$233
- Net cashflow
- $22
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,975
- Closing costs
- $1,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-16$59,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,068 · $89/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,068 · $89/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 35% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,315
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,355
- − Property taxes
- −$1,068
- − Insurance
- −$5,418
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,065
- − Management
- −$1,065
- − Depreciation
- −$1,743
- Taxable loss
- −$399
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$96
- After-tax cash flow
- $359/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- South Spencer County School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1810560
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,220
- Composite
- 42.49/100
- National rank
- #3208
- State rank
- #58 of 301 in IN
Livability — Grandview
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #512
- US rank
- #18203
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Grandview, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,683
Population outlook (Spencer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 20,394 people
- By 2030
- 19,912 · -2.4%
- By 2040
- 18,592 · -8.8%
- By 2050
- 17,051 · -16.4%
- By 2075
- 14,010 · -31.3%
- By 2100
- 10,869 · -46.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Spencer
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.3) · D 27.4% · R 70.6% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -43.6pp toward R · 2008: 0.4pp · 2024: -43.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.3 2020: R+38.5 2016: R+37.3 2012: R+15.3 2008: D+0.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.51%
- Current HPI
- 208.3355
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $59,900 IRMLS
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2024): $1,068 · +9.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…