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2054 Sandy Ridge Rd 🔨 Auction
B- Composite 65.64
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$5,000

2054 Sandy Ridge Rd · Cahokia Heights, IL 62206
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 904 sqft · Manufactured public records · 42 Days on market
Built 1950 6,098 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Price listed is Starting Bid Only. Bidding starts closing 6/16/2026 @ 5 p. m. Great opportunity as an addition to any real estate investor’s portfolio or fist time home buyer! This 2BR/1BA home offers approx. 904 sq. ft. of living space and has a newer roof and gutter system, a newer furnace, and newer laminate flooring. The home is situated on a spacious corner lot just minutes from I-255 and all the amenities of the Metro East as well as an easy commute into St. Louis from either direction. Property will transfer with a quit claim deed. Property will sell under auction terms and be sold AS- IS, WHERE-IS. Seller, will not make any repairs as a result of any building, occupancy, or e

Key facts

  • 6,098 sq ft lot
  • Built 1950
  • Listed 42 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 0.14 acre
  • Financial info: Property is not available for lease; Being offered via auction

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service available; Natural gas available; Cable available
  • Home design: Single-family house; One story; Private ownership; Property listed as a fixer
  • Construction: Construction materials: Other; Above-grade living area recorded as 904; Living area reported as 904
  • Exterior features: Corner lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement; No fireplace; Six total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🔨 Auction listing. The $5,000 list price is a nominal opening bid, not a real ask — every metric below is computed on the estimated value $76,149 (ARV from comps), not the list price.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $5k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $478 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $5k).
  • Recommended offer: $5k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Cahokia CUSD 187 (suburban): math 3% / reading 5% proficiency, ranked #864 of 919 in IL (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Cahokia High School (math 8% / reading 2%, grade F, #614 of 693 statewide, top 95%, 845 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 85% district-wide (85 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 153 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,271/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 729% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $526 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($5k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 22.8% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $4,850 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.67%
Cap rate
13.83%
Cash-on-cash
26.90%
DSCR
2.20
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$76,149
List price
$5,000
Delta
-93.43%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.8%
Equity multiple
1.85×
Total profit
$18,126
Equity at exit
$11,354
10-year hold
IRR
29.0%
Equity multiple
3.58×
Total profit
$55,066
Equity at exit
$6,584

Cash invested: $21,322 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62206

Home prices YoY
-20.2%
Active inventory
153
Price-to-rent
0.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,271 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$399
Tax est. 1.5%
$95 /mo · $1,142/yr
Insurance
$32
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$267
Net cashflow
$478

Break-even live

Break-even rent $666
Max offer price $76,149
Occupancy floor 57%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,037
Closing costs
$2,284
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2116 Doris Ave Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 880 $1,400 $1.59 22d 1 0.15mi
2008 Delores St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $1,250 $1.35 4d 1 0.19mi
1808 Mullens Ave Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 992 $1,500 $1.51 2d 1 0.48mi
2 E Adams Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $885 $0.96 43d 1 0.59mi
1421 Richard Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 936 $1,100 $1.18 2d 1 0.64mi
1716 # E Unit Loretta Ave unit East St Louis, IL 2.0 1.0 720 $1,000 $1.39 43d 1 0.66mi
1417 Richard Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 936 $1,400 $1.50 22d 1 0.66mi
13 Drexel Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $995 $1.08 12d 1 0.67mi
1713 Loretta Ave East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 944 $1,095 $1.16 43d 1 0.67mi
1405 Williams St Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 900 $1,500 $1.67 43d 1 0.72mi
70 W Adams Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $1,200 $1.30 43d 1 0.79mi
2231 Loren St Cahokia Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,195 $1.20 44d 1 0.81mi
1308 Saint Stephens Dr Cahokia Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 864 $875 $1.01 14d 1 0.88mi
1308 Saint Stephens Dr Cahokia Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 864 $875 $1.01 16d 1 0.88mi
13 Marilyn Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 995 $1,150 $1.16 43d 1 0.94mi
1220 Williams St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 876 $1,500 $1.71 14d 1 0.98mi
6 Delores Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,300 $1.50 23d 1 1.14mi
6 Delores Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,300 $1.50 12d 1 1.14mi
21 Agnes Dr Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,050 $1.22 22d 1 1.18mi
818 La Salle Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1106 $1,300 $1.18 23d 1 1.20mi
1109 Saint Helena Dr Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 825 $1,400 $1.70 3d 1 1.26mi
850 Saint Bartholomew Dr Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,285 $1.22 16d 1 1.27mi
819 Mildred Ave East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 936 $1,250 $1.34 22d 1 1.33mi
1162 Smith St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 988 $1,295 $1.31 22d 1 1.35mi
1150 Price St Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,400 $1.62 3d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $5,000 Pending 42 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $5,000 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $5,000 Active 41 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $5,000 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $5,000 Active 38 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $5,000 Active 37 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $5,000 Active 34 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $5,000 Active 33 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $5,000 Active 32 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $5,000 Active 29 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $5,000 Active 28 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $5,000 Active 27 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $5,000 Active 26 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $5,000 Active 25 DOM
  15. 2026-05-07
    listed $5,000 Active 834-char remark
  16. 2026-05-05
    historical $5,000 834-char remark
  17. 2024-04-23
    historical $1,000
  18. 2024-04-05
    listed $1,000
  19. 2023-08-10
    historical
  20. 2023-08-09
    status Active
  21. 2023-07-22
    status Pending
  22. 2023-07-22
    status Active
  23. 2023-07-22
    historical
  24. 2023-06-23
    listed $30,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,255
− Mortgage interest
−$4,266
− Property taxes
−$1,142
− Insurance
−$381
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,220
− Management
−$1,220
− Depreciation
−$2,215
Taxable income
$4,810
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,154
After-tax cash flow
$4,582/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cahokia CUSD 187
NCES district ID
1708040
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
5% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$28,028
Composite
6.44/100
National rank
#14827
State rank
#864 of 919 in IL

Livability — Cahokia Heights

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Cahokia Heights, IL
County
Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
City population
19,956
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
12,959
Household income
$33,838
Rent vs Own
44.5% rent · 55.5% own
Severe rent burden
729.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
250,366 people
By 2030
240,511 · -3.9%
By 2040
217,391 · -13.2%
By 2050
192,699 · -23.0%
By 2075
140,637 · -43.8%
By 2100
100,499 · -59.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -33.26%
Current HPI
131.5144
Rent YoY
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-83.3% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $5,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-05 Coming Soon $5,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-04-23 Rental Removed $1,000 MARIS
  • 2024-04-05 Listed for Rent $1,000 MARIS
  • 2023-08-10 Delisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-08-09 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-07-22 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-07-22 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-07-22 Delisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-06-23 Listed $30,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+10.1%/yr

Latest (2017): $1,746 · +12.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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