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11106 Patterson Lake Dr
B- Composite 68.92
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,900

11106 Patterson Lake Dr · Putnam, MI 48169
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 560 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1969 3,485 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Looking for a property with access to the Patterson Lake Chain? Then this listing is for you! Just in time for enjoying everything lake living has to offer-all summer long. This home is located on a beautiful corner lot and is steps away from the water. Perfect for those who are looking for a home that they can bring back to its glory or property for their custom build. Enjoy lake views from property and the convenience of having two private boat launches at both ends of the streets. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Lake views
  • Corner lot
  • 3,485 sq ft lot

Tags

CORNER LOTSTEPS AWAY FROM THE WATERLAKE VIEWSTWO PRIVATE BOAT LAUNCHES

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Association with boat launch

Exterior

  • Utilities: Well water
  • Home design: Ranch-style single family residence; Built in 1969
  • Construction: Block and wood siding construction; Shingle roof; Crawl space basement
  • Exterior features: Corner lot; Shed on property

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Accessible entrance; 6 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Natural gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $670 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Pinckney Community Schools (suburban): math 34% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #135 of 540 in MI (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 127 active listings in the ZIP; 488 units permitted in Livingston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Livingston County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $89,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.74%
Cap rate
15.23%
Cash-on-cash
31.94%
DSCR
2.42
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$58,240
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11317 Patterson Lake Dr 0.28mi 2/1.0 (-1) 624 (+11%) 8mo $65,000 $104 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.9%
Equity multiple
2.12×
Total profit
$28,087
Equity at exit
$13,404
10-year hold
IRR
34.5%
Equity multiple
4.15×
Total profit
$79,349
Equity at exit
$7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48169

Active inventory
127
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,562 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$55 /mo · $659/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$328
Net cashflow
$670

Break-even live

Break-even rent $714
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 52%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $721 -5% $695 +0% $670 +5% $644 +10% $619
Rent -10% $547 -5% $608 +0% $670 +5% $732 +10% $793
Rate -1.0pp $715 -0.5pp $693 base $670 +0.5pp $647 +1.0pp $623

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,900 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,900 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,900 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,900 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,900 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,900 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    remarks 517-char remark
  8. 2026-06-09
    listed $89,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$659 · $55/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,022 · $85/mo
Expected delta
+$363/yr (+$30/mo · 55.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,740
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$659
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,499
− Management
−$1,499
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$6,982
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,676
After-tax cash flow
$6,363/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pinckney Community Schools
NCES district ID
2628140
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$74,072
Composite
39.21/100
National rank
#4016
State rank
#135 of 540 in MI

Livability — Putnam

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
21,080

Population outlook (Livingston County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
202,920 people
By 2030
209,173 · +3.1%
By 2040
216,878 · +6.9%
By 2050
217,485 · +7.2%
By 2075
217,590 · +7.2%
By 2100
197,095 · -2.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Italian 5% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Livingston

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.9) · D 37.4% · R 61.3% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-10.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.3pp · 2024: -23.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.9 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+29.6 2012: R+23.3 2008: R+13.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -285.03%
Current HPI
184.9602
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $89,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $89,900 SW Michigan MLS

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $659 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…