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A Composite 86.88
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.8/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$99,500

213 Wisconsin Ave W · Gilbert, MN 55741
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,704 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 187 Days on market
Built 1910 3,485 sqft lot Est $143k · 30% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home in Gilbert, MN has solid bones and great character. It’s on a quiet street with friendly neighbors and close to local parks. Inside, you’ll find original woodwork, high ceilings, and large rooms. Fresh paint gives the home a clean feel, and there are hardwood floors in many areas. The roof is about 7 years old, the water heater is around 3 years old, and the furnace fan and tubing were recently replaced. This home is sturdy, comfortable, and ready for its next owner.

Key facts

  • Quiet street
  • Original woodwork
  • High ceilings

Tags

ORIGINAL WOODWORKHIGH CEILINGSHARDWOOD FLOORSQUIET STREETCLOSE TO LOCAL PARKS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No on-site parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; 2 stories
  • Construction: Frame construction; Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof
  • Exterior features: No patio or porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Gas range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
  • Heating & cooling: Has heating
  • Interior features: Natural gas heating; Electric water heater
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $482 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#704 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D, schools D-.
  • Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($688 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 187 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $60k; list at $100k implies a 66% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $87,560 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 187 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.38%
Cap rate
12.11%
Cash-on-cash
20.78%
DSCR
1.92
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$143,136
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
320 S Summit St 0.20mi 3/1.8 (-1) 1,958 (+15%) 14mo $165,000 $84 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
39.8%
Equity multiple
4.05×
Total profit
$84,880
Equity at exit
$89,637
10-year hold
IRR
34.3%
Equity multiple
9.10×
Total profit
$225,734
Equity at exit
$193,307

Cash invested: $27,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55741

Home prices YoY
23.4%
Active inventory
26
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,371 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$522
Tax from tax record
$38 /mo · $452/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$288
Net cashflow
$482

Break-even live

Break-even rent $761
Max offer price $99,500
Occupancy floor 60%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $539 -5% $511 +0% $482 +5% $454 +10% $426
Rent -10% $374 -5% $428 +0% $482 +5% $537 +10% $591
Rate -1.0pp $532 -0.5pp $508 base $482 +0.5pp $457 +1.0pp $430

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,875
Closing costs
$2,985
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,500 Active 187 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,500 Active 186 DOM
  3. 2026-06-14
    days on market $99,500 Active 184 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,500 Active 183 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    days on market $99,500 Active 181 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,500 Active 180 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,500 Active 179 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,500 Active 178 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $99,500 Active 175 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,500 Active 174 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,500 Active 173 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,500 Active 172 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,500 Active 171 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,500 Active 170 DOM
  15. 2026-04-16
    price $99,500
  16. 2026-02-11
    price $104,900
  17. 2025-12-11
    listed $109,900 Active
  18. 2022-02-10
    soldstatus $60,000
  19. 2018-12-04
    soldstatus $60,000
  20. 2009-01-16
    listed $86,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$452 · $38/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$783 · $65/mo
Expected delta
+$331/yr (+$28/mo · 73.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,455
− Mortgage interest
−$5,574
− Property taxes
−$452
− Insurance
−$498
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,316
− Management
−$1,316
− Depreciation
−$2,895
Taxable income
$4,405
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,057
After-tax cash flow
$4,731/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Gilbert

Score
62/100
State rank
#704
US rank
#16952

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gilbert, MN
Population (ZIP)
2,933

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
202,411 people
By 2030
203,234 · +0.4%
By 2040
202,520 · +0.1%
By 2050
200,853 · -0.8%
By 2075
200,943 · -0.7%
By 2100
192,058 · -5.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 11% Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
D (+13.7) · D 55.9% · R 42.2% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-18.8pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 13.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.7 2020: D+15.6 2016: D+11.8 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 58.57%
Current HPI
308.63
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+15.7% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $99,500 RAOR
  • 2026-02-11 Price Changed $104,900 RAOR
  • 2025-12-11 Listed $109,900 RAOR
  • 2022-02-10 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
  • 2018-12-04 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
  • 2009-01-16 Listed $86,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-7.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $452 · -5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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