3412 Creole St · Lake Charles, LA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$154,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 2-bedroom, 2-bath home with a flexible floor plan in a convenient location near the interstate, shopping, restaurants, and McNeese State University. The home features include eat-in kitchen and a versatile den or formal living area that could serve as a home office, additional living space, or potential third bedroom. The property offers a fenced yard with a covered patio, mature shade tree, and additional outbuildings for storage. Property being sold as-is. Set up your showing today!
Key facts
- Versatile den
- Mature shade tree
- Fenced yard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $375 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
- Recommended offer: $153k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 4.3% in Lake Charles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#95 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment D-.
- Calcasieu Parish (other): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #29 of 98 in LA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+15.1%/yr); 456 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,298 units permitted in Calcasieu Parish in 2024 (526 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Calcasieu County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($153k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.21%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $243,009
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3412 Creole St | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 2,077 (0%) | 1mo | $154,900 | $75 | 99 |
| 612 Blackman St | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 2,151 (+4%) | 8mo | $320,000 | $149 | 74 |
| 613 W Lagrange St W | 0.08mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,812 (-13%) | 1mo | $187,000 | $103 | 67 |
| 514 Julius St | 0.11mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 2,201 (+6%) | 13mo | $305,000 | $139 | 66 |
| 400 W Claude St St W | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 2,095 (+1%) | 3mo | $267,000 | $127 | 66 |
| 901 Fair Oaks Ln | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 2,293 (+10%) | 7mo | $180,000 | $78 | 54 |
| 1201 Belle Alee Ln | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 2,218 (+7%) | 10mo | $980,000 | $442 | 45 |
| 217 W School St W | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,781 (-14%) | 8mo | $202,000 | $113 | 43 |
| 3725 Lake St | 0.48mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 2,356 (+13%) | 11mo | $257,000 | $109 | 39 |
| 602 W Oak Ln W | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,785 (-14%) | 18mo | $208,000 | $117 | 38 |
| 821 Terry Ln | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,844 (-11%) | 17mo | $310,000 | $168 | 35 |
| 829 Idlewilde Ln | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 2,377 (+14%) | 14mo | $220,000 | $93 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.18×
- Total profit
- $8,003
- Equity at exit
- $23,096
- IRR
- 18.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.84×
- Total profit
- $79,750
- Equity at exit
- $13,393
Cash invested: $43,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70605
- Rents YoY
- 15.1%
- Active inventory
- 456
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,750 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$812
- Tax from tax record
- −$65 /mo · $776/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$368
- Net cashflow
- $375
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,725
- Closing costs
- $4,647
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2700 Ernest St Lake Charles, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1054 | $1,333 | $1.26 | 13d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3206 Hodges St Lake Charles, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1497 | $1,200 | $0.80 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 617 E School St Unit A Lake Charles, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,500 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 3708 Nelson Rd Lake Charles, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2020 | $1,400 | $0.69 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 3535 Knight Ln Unit 14 Lake Charles, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1450 | $2,150 | $1.48 | 13d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1812 Ethel St Lake Charles, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1589 | $3,850 | $2.42 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 4326 Christina St Lake Charles, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,770 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-07status Pending
-
2026-03-12$154,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $776 · $65/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $852 · $71/mo
- Expected delta
- +$76/yr (+$6/mo · 9.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,003
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,677
- − Property taxes
- −$776
- − Insurance
- −$1,572
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,680
- − Management
- −$1,680
- − Depreciation
- −$4,506
- Taxable income
- $2,111
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$507
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,990/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Calcasieu Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200330
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -39.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -33.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,700
- Composite
- 31.45/100
- National rank
- #5979
- State rank
- #29 of 98 in LA
Livability — Lake Charles
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #95
- US rank
- #9820
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lake Charles, LA
- County
- Calcasieu Parish · 170,889 people
- City population
- 133,538
- Metro
- Lake Charles, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,482
- Household income
- $86,015
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1328.0
Population outlook (Calcasieu County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 212,179 people
- By 2030
- 218,199 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 228,486 · +7.7%
- By 2050
- 236,208 · +11.3%
- By 2075
- 251,696 · +18.6%
- By 2100
- 247,848 · +16.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 12% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Calcasieu
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.6) · D 29.5% · R 69.0% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.0pp toward R · 2008: -24.6pp · 2024: -39.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.6 2020: R+35.2 2016: R+33.3 2012: R+28.7 2008: R+24.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -102.68%
- Current HPI
- 105.1903
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 15.10%
- Metro
- Lake Charles, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Pending — SWLAR
- 2026-03-12 Listed $154,900 SWLAR
Property tax history
+0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $776 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…