93 Clearwater Dr · Brookland, AR
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +6.9/30.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- ARV discount +2.5/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.9/10.0
- DSCR +1.1/10.0
$283,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
November closing! Bristol Floor Plan.
Key facts
- 9,583 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2025
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $284k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-434 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $221k (22.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $195k (31.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $195k (31.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#57 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
- Brookland School District (suburban): math 45% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #47 of 238 in AR (top 20%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Brookland Elementary School (875 students, 32% FRL); Brookland Junior High School (math 36% / reading 46%, grade F, #83 of 201 statewide, top 44%, 718 students, 26% FRL); Brookland High School (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #142 of 292 statewide, top 53%, 589 students, 27% FRL) — zoned schools at 28% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 118 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 926 units permitted in Craighead County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $30k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Craighead County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$49k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 156 days — a 12% lower offer ($250k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 156 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.69% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.55%
- DSCR
- 0.71
- GRM
- 12.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $255,816
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 93 Clearwater Dr | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,672 (0%) | 2mo | $283,990 | $170 | 98 |
| 74 Clearwater Dr | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,672 (0%) | 2mo | $286,990 | $172 | 93 |
| 97 Ellis Dr | 0.05mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,652 (-1%) | 0mo | $207,000 | $125 | 90 |
| 74 Clearwater Dr | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,672 (0%) | 2mo | $286,990 | $172 | 90 |
| 91 Clearwater Dr | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,796 (+7%) | 3mo | $283,990 | $158 | 85 |
| 91 Clearwater Dr | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,796 (+7%) | 3mo | $283,990 | $158 | 85 |
| 237 Cole Dr | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,485 (-11%) | 1mo | $214,900 | $145 | 78 |
| 104 Janis Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,665 (-0%) | 3mo | $210,000 | $126 | 76 |
| 357 Emma Dr | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (-6%) | 4mo | $165,000 | $105 | 73 |
| 307 Harper Dr | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,566 (-6%) | 4mo | $205,000 | $131 | 70 |
| 107 Ellis Dr | 0.10mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,470 (-12%) | 3mo | $212,500 | $145 | 68 |
| 101 Ellis Dr | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,436 (-14%) | 2mo | $220,000 | $153 | 66 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.60×
- Total profit
- $127,053
- Equity at exit
- $255,841
- IRR
- 18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.98×
- Total profit
- $395,970
- Equity at exit
- $551,730
Cash invested: $79,517 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72417
- Home prices YoY
- 20.6%
- Active inventory
- 118
- Price-to-rent
- 12.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,951 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,489
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$355 /mo · $4,260/yr
- Insurance
- −$118
- HOA
- −$13
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$410
- Net cashflow
- $-434
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-238 | -5% $-336 | +0% $-434 | +5% $-532 | +10% $-630 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-588 | -5% $-511 | +0% $-434 | +5% $-357 | +10% $-280 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-291 | -0.5pp $-362 | base $-434 | +0.5pp $-508 | +1.0pp $-583 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $70,998
- Closing costs
- $8,520
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 123 Hidden Creek Dr Brookland, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1970 | $2,550 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 315 Story St Brookland, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,270 | $1.02 | 45d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 300 Story St Brookland, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,270 | $1.06 | 45d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 338 Story St Brookland, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,270 | $1.02 | 45d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 105 Cherry St Brookland, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,575 | $1.35 | 45d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 203 N Bernis St Brookland, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1328 | $1,550 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 0.92mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $13 · $156/yr
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-03-21status Under Contract
-
2026-03-17price $283,990
-
2026-02-19price $283,990
-
2025-12-21price $268,990
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2025-12-19price $268,990
-
2025-10-17price $288,990
-
2025-10-16$278,990 New Listing
-
2025-10-15price $273,990
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,414
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,908
- − Property taxes
- −$4,260
- − Insurance
- −$1,420
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,873
- − Management
- −$1,873
- − HOA
- −$156
- − Depreciation
- −$8,262
- Taxable loss
- −$10,338
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,481
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,729/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brookland School District
- NCES district ID
- 0503640
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,226
- Composite
- 36.4/100
- National rank
- #4678
- State rank
- #47 of 238 in AR
Livability — Brookland
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #57
- US rank
- #7817
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brookland, AR
- County
- Craighead County · 97,185 people
- City population
- 5,940
- Metro
- Jonesboro, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,940
- Household income
- $61,964
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 152.0
Population outlook (Craighead County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 122,235 people
- By 2030
- 131,338 · +7.4%
- By 2040
- 149,862 · +22.6%
- By 2050
- 168,034 · +37.5%
- By 2075
- 208,094 · +70.2%
- By 2100
- 233,251 · +90.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 5% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, South Korea
Political lean MEDSL · Craighead
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.4) · D 30.1% · R 67.5% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.9pp toward R · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -37.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.4 2020: R+35.4 2016: R+35.2 2012: R+31.1 2008: R+24.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 56.75%
- Current HPI
- 331.5025
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Jonesboro, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+3.6% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-21 Pending — CARMLS
- 2026-03-17 Price Changed $283,990 CARMLS
- 2026-02-19 Price Changed $283,990 NEABOR MLS
- 2025-12-21 Price Changed $268,990 CARMLS
- 2025-12-19 Price Changed $268,990 NEABOR MLS
- 2025-10-17 Price Changed $288,990 CARMLS
- 2025-10-16 Listed $278,990 CARMLS
- 2025-10-15 Price Changed $273,990 NEABOR MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…