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F Composite 34.5
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +6.9/30.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.9/10.0
  • DSCR +1.1/10.0

$283,990

93 Clearwater Dr · Brookland, AR 72417
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,672 sqft · SingleFamily · 156 Days on market
Built 2025 9,583 sqft lot Est $256k · 11% over $13/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

November closing! Bristol Floor Plan.

Key facts

  • 9,583 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2025

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $284k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-434 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $221k (22.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $195k (31.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $195k (31.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#57 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Brookland School District (suburban): math 45% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #47 of 238 in AR (top 20%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Brookland Elementary School (875 students, 32% FRL); Brookland Junior High School (math 36% / reading 46%, grade F, #83 of 201 statewide, top 44%, 718 students, 26% FRL); Brookland High School (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #142 of 292 statewide, top 53%, 589 students, 27% FRL) — zoned schools at 28% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 118 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 926 units permitted in Craighead County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $30k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Craighead County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$49k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 156 days — a 12% lower offer ($250k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $195,115 (31.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 156 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.69%
Cap rate
4.46%
Cash-on-cash
-6.55%
DSCR
0.71
GRM
12.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$255,816
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
93 Clearwater Dr 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,672 (0%) 2mo $283,990 $170 98
74 Clearwater Dr 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,672 (0%) 2mo $286,990 $172 93
97 Ellis Dr 0.05mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,652 (-1%) 0mo $207,000 $125 90
74 Clearwater Dr 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,672 (0%) 2mo $286,990 $172 90
91 Clearwater Dr 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,796 (+7%) 3mo $283,990 $158 85
91 Clearwater Dr 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,796 (+7%) 3mo $283,990 $158 85
237 Cole Dr 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,485 (-11%) 1mo $214,900 $145 78
104 Janis Dr 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,665 (-0%) 3mo $210,000 $126 76
357 Emma Dr 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,568 (-6%) 4mo $165,000 $105 73
307 Harper Dr 0.25mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,566 (-6%) 4mo $205,000 $131 70
107 Ellis Dr 0.10mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,470 (-12%) 3mo $212,500 $145 68
101 Ellis Dr 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,436 (-14%) 2mo $220,000 $153 66

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.7%
Equity multiple
2.60×
Total profit
$127,053
Equity at exit
$255,841
10-year hold
IRR
18.0%
Equity multiple
5.98×
Total profit
$395,970
Equity at exit
$551,730

Cash invested: $79,517 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72417

Home prices YoY
20.6%
Active inventory
118
Price-to-rent
12.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,951 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,489
Tax est. 1.5%
$355 /mo · $4,260/yr
Insurance
$118
HOA
$13
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$410
Net cashflow
$-434

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,501
Max offer price $221,163
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-238 -5% $-336 +0% $-434 +5% $-532 +10% $-630
Rent -10% $-588 -5% $-511 +0% $-434 +5% $-357 +10% $-280
Rate -1.0pp $-291 -0.5pp $-362 base $-434 +0.5pp $-508 +1.0pp $-583

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$70,998
Closing costs
$8,520
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
123 Hidden Creek Dr Brookland, AR 3.0 2.0 1970 $2,550 $1.29 45d 1 0.08mi
315 Story St Brookland, AR 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,270 $1.02 45d 1 0.57mi
300 Story St Brookland, AR 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,270 $1.06 45d 1 0.63mi
338 Story St Brookland, AR 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,270 $1.02 45d 1 0.63mi
105 Cherry St Brookland, AR 3.0 2.0 1170 $1,575 $1.35 45d 1 0.82mi
203 N Bernis St Brookland, AR 3.0 2.0 1328 $1,550 $1.17 45d 1 0.92mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$13 · $156/yr

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-03-21
    status Under Contract
  2. 2026-03-17
    price $283,990
  3. 2026-02-19
    price $283,990
  4. 2025-12-21
    price $268,990
  5. 2025-12-19
    price $268,990
  6. 2025-10-17
    price $288,990
  7. 2025-10-16
    listed $278,990 New Listing
  8. 2025-10-15
    price $273,990

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,414
− Mortgage interest
−$15,908
− Property taxes
−$4,260
− Insurance
−$1,420
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,873
− Management
−$1,873
− HOA
−$156
− Depreciation
−$8,262
Taxable loss
−$10,338
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,481
After-tax cash flow
$-2,729/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Brookland School District
NCES district ID
0503640
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$52,226
Composite
36.4/100
National rank
#4678
State rank
#47 of 238 in AR

Livability — Brookland

Score
70/100
State rank
#57
US rank
#7817

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Brookland, AR
County
Craighead County · 97,185 people
City population
5,940
Metro
Jonesboro, AR
Population (ZIP)
5,940
Household income
$61,964
Rent vs Own
37.6% rent · 62.4% own
Severe rent burden
152.0

Population outlook (Craighead County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
122,235 people
By 2030
131,338 · +7.4%
By 2040
149,862 · +22.6%
By 2050
168,034 · +37.5%
By 2075
208,094 · +70.2%
By 2100
233,251 · +90.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 5% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada, South Korea

Political lean MEDSL · Craighead

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.4) · D 30.1% · R 67.5% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-12.9pp toward R · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -37.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.4 2020: R+35.4 2016: R+35.2 2012: R+31.1 2008: R+24.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 56.75%
Current HPI
331.5025
Rent YoY
Metro
Jonesboro, AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+3.6% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-21 Pending CARMLS
  • 2026-03-17 Price Changed $283,990 CARMLS
  • 2026-02-19 Price Changed $283,990 NEABOR MLS
  • 2025-12-21 Price Changed $268,990 CARMLS
  • 2025-12-19 Price Changed $268,990 NEABOR MLS
  • 2025-10-17 Price Changed $288,990 CARMLS
  • 2025-10-16 Listed $278,990 CARMLS
  • 2025-10-15 Price Changed $273,990 NEABOR MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…