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1209 Jefferson Ave
C+ Composite 61.01
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.7/15.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$170,000

1209 Jefferson Ave · Kalamazoo, MI 49006
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,885 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 115 Days on market
Built 1875 3,485 sqft lot Est $192k · 12% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Excellent addition to any rental portfolio! This duplex is ideally located near downtown and has large units with great character and charm. The lower unit is bedrooms and one bathroom and has access to the basement for additional storage along with washer and dryer. The upper unit has 3 bedrooms, one bathroom, and a bonus space in the attic. This duplex is currently bringing in $1,995 a month in rent offering day one returns. Do not miss out on this deal!

Key facts

  • 3,485 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1875

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 unpaved parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Cable connected; Sewer available
  • Home design: Residential income property (multi-family)
  • Construction: Wood siding; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Publicly maintained road access; Lot approximately 60 x 59 (0.08 acres)

Interior

  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Basement present
  • Laundry & utility: Shared laundry in common area; Laundry located in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $239 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
  • Recommended offer: $155k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.1% in Kalamazoo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#141 in MI, #3,492 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Kalamazoo Public Schools (urban): math 43% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #71 of 540 in MI (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 105 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 339 units permitted in Kalamazoo County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,910/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($44k/yr) (locally 2581% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kalamazoo County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 115 days — a 9% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 35y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $170k implies a 240% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1875 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $154,700 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 115 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1875 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
7.98%
Cash-on-cash
6.03%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$192,270
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1338 Summit Ave 0.27mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,859 (-1%) 8mo $199,900 $108 73
1121 Douglas Ave 0.41mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,992 (+6%) 8mo $105,000 $53 60
629 Jefferson Pl 0.12mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,620 (-14%) 8mo $165,000 $102 59
725 Academy St 0.55mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,009 (+7%) 9mo $246,650 $123 51
424 Oak St 0.70mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,706 (-10%) 2mo $160,000 $94 45
414 Davis St 0.60mi 5/1.5 (-1) 1,724 (-8%) 12mo $164,000 $95 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.39% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.5%
Equity multiple
0.76×
Total profit
$-11,479
Equity at exit
$25,348
10-year hold
IRR
3.7%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$13,079
Equity at exit
$14,698

Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49006

Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
105
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,910 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$307 /mo · $3,689/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$401
Net cashflow
$239

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,607
Max offer price $170,000
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $335 -5% $287 +0% $239 +5% $191 +10% $143
Rent -10% $88 -5% $164 +0% $239 +5% $315 +10% $390
Rate -1.0pp $325 -0.5pp $282 base $239 +0.5pp $195 +1.0pp $150

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,500
Closing costs
$5,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-05-21
    status Pending 460-char remark
    Show marketing remark (460 chars)

    Excellent addition to any rental portfolio! This duplex is ideally located near downtown and has large units with great character and charm. The lower unit is bedrooms and one bathroom and has access to the basement for additional storage along with washer and dryer. The upper unit has 3 bedrooms, one bathroom, and a bonus space in the attic. This duplex is currently bringing in $1,995 a month in rent offering day one returns. Do not miss out on this deal!

  2. 2026-05-21
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (460 chars)

    Excellent addition to any rental portfolio! This duplex is ideally located near downtown and has large units with great character and charm. The lower unit is bedrooms and one bathroom and has access to the basement for additional storage along with washer and dryer. The upper unit has 3 bedrooms, one bathroom, and a bonus space in the attic. This duplex is currently bringing in $1,995 a month in rent offering day one returns. Do not miss out on this deal!

  3. 2026-02-28
    price $170,000 460-char remark
    Show marketing remark (460 chars)

    Excellent addition to any rental portfolio! This duplex is ideally located near downtown and has large units with great character and charm. The lower unit is bedrooms and one bathroom and has access to the basement for additional storage along with washer and dryer. The upper unit has 3 bedrooms, one bathroom, and a bonus space in the attic. This duplex is currently bringing in $1,995 a month in rent offering day one returns. Do not miss out on this deal!

  4. 2026-02-27
    price $170,000
  5. 2026-01-26
    listed $175,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (460 chars)

    Excellent addition to any rental portfolio! This duplex is ideally located near downtown and has large units with great character and charm. The lower unit is bedrooms and one bathroom and has access to the basement for additional storage along with washer and dryer. The upper unit has 3 bedrooms, one bathroom, and a bonus space in the attic. This duplex is currently bringing in $1,995 a month in rent offering day one returns. Do not miss out on this deal!

  6. 2026-01-26
    listed $175,000 Active 460-char remark
    Show marketing remark (460 chars)

    Excellent addition to any rental portfolio! This duplex is ideally located near downtown and has large units with great character and charm. The lower unit is bedrooms and one bathroom and has access to the basement for additional storage along with washer and dryer. The upper unit has 3 bedrooms, one bathroom, and a bonus space in the attic. This duplex is currently bringing in $1,995 a month in rent offering day one returns. Do not miss out on this deal!

  7. 2021-11-04
    soldstatus $50,000
  8. 2014-10-17
    historical
  9. 1999-09-07
    soldstatus $48,000
  10. 1999-05-27
    listed $52,000
  11. 1991-11-01
    listed $48,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,689 · $307/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,689 · $307/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,920
− Mortgage interest
−$9,523
− Property taxes
−$3,689
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,834
− Management
−$1,834
− Depreciation
−$4,945
Taxable income
$245
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$59
After-tax cash flow
$2,810/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kalamazoo Public Schools
NCES district ID
2619950
Math proficiency
43% ▲ 13.00%
Reading proficiency
72% ▲ 33.00%
Median HH income
$35,291
Composite
47.48/100
National rank
#2275
State rank
#71 of 540 in MI

Livability — Kalamazoo

Score
76/100
State rank
#141
US rank
#3492

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kalamazoo, MI
County
Kalamazoo County · 224,317 people
City population
121,397
Metro
Kalamazoo-Portage, MI
Population (ZIP)
26,507
Household income
$43,639
Rent vs Own
65.0% rent · 35.0% own
Severe rent burden
2581.0

Population outlook (Kalamazoo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
280,982 people
By 2030
292,068 · +3.9%
By 2040
312,191 · +11.1%
By 2050
331,196 · +17.9%
By 2075
379,021 · +34.9%
By 2100
396,579 · +41.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Black 14% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Iranian 6% Romanian 4% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Kalamazoo

2024 margin
D (+17.7) · D 58.0% · R 40.3% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-1.8pp toward R · 2008: 19.5pp · 2024: 17.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.7 2020: D+18.7 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+13.3 2008: D+19.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -235.52%
Current HPI
243.4367
Rent YoY
▲ 3.39%
Metro
Kalamazoo-Portage, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+247.6% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-21 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-28 Price Changed $170,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-27 Price Changed $170,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-26 Listed $175,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-26 Listed $175,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-11-04 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2014-10-17 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 1999-09-07 Sold (MLS) $48,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 1999-05-27 Listed $52,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 1991-11-01 Listed $48,900 SW Michigan MLS

Property tax history

+15.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,689 · -3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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