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1501 Lark Ct
D- Composite 38.6
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +5.6/15.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,999

1501 Lark Ct · Pelican Bay, TX 76020
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · Manufactured public records · 25 Days on market
Built 2015 9,670 sqft lot Est $173k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Move-In Ready Describes This 3 Bed, 2 Bath Singlewide Mobile Home on .22 Acre in Pelican Bay. Large Open Living Area with Beautiful Vinyl Plank Flooring Throughout. Kitchen Features Rich Dark Wood Cabinets, Island, Breakfast Bar and Electric Appliances. Good Sized Bedrooms and Utility Room with Full Size Washer and Dryer Hook ups. Corner Lot!! Free Amenities Nearby - Boat Launch, Fishing Pier, Park with Swimming and Playground!

Key facts

  • Breakfast bar
  • Updated faucet
  • Open-concept layout

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTCUSTOM PAINTED CABINETRYBREAKFAST BARNEW STAINLESS STEEL SINKUPDATED FAUCETFRESH UPDATED INTERIOR PAINT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Washer/dryer and refrigerator are excluded and treated as non-realty items
  • Financial info: Listing accepts Cash, Conventional, FHA, and VA loan
  • HOA & community: No HOA / association

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport (covered, 1 space); Driveway parking
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Electricity available
  • Home design: Mobile home (residential); One story; Accessible approach with ramp; Accessible bedroom
  • Construction: Built in 2015; Preowned
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch with awning(s); Wood fencing; Landscaped yard; Corner lot with some trees

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Eat-in kitchen with island and built-in cabinets; Granite countertops
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level); Primary bedroom on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Electric cooling; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Open floorplan; Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen island; Granite counters; Cable TV available; High speed internet available; Built-in cabinets
  • Laundry & utility: Utility room with full-size washer/dryer area

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $11 ($131/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $144k (20.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $144k (20.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#917 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Azle ISD (suburban): math 37% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #351 of 826 in TX (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Liberty El (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,769 of 4,322 statewide, top 44%, 466 students, 64% FRL); Santo Forte J H (math 28% / reading 41%, grade F, #858 of 1,662 statewide, top 54%, 514 students, 55% FRL); Azle H S (math 41% / reading 50%, grade D-, #634 of 1,632 statewide, top 39%, 2,054 students, 44% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 594 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $143,930 (20.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
6.37%
Cash-on-cash
0.26%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$172,800
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1413 Whippoorwill Way 0.16mi 2/2.0 1,144 (-1%) 8mo $115,000 $101 85
1521 Lark Ct 0.06mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,216 (+6%) 2mo $185,000 $152 81
1413 Dawn Dr N 0.16mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,216 (+6%) 3mo $150,000 $123 76
1405 Cardinal Ter 0.22mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,216 (+6%) 6mo $125,000 $103 71
1609 Quail Run 0.43mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,152 (0%) 15mo $174,900 $152 63
1552 Chaparral Ln 0.49mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,216 (+6%) 1mo $185,000 $152 62
1605 Sheri Ct 0.43mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,216 (+6%) 5mo $185,000 $152 61
1404 Dawn Dr N 0.17mi 2/1.5 980 (-15%) 7mo $70,000 $71 59
1704 Coral Rd 0.46mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,178 (+2%) 15mo $180,950 $154 57
1505 Mockingbird Ln 0.32mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,232 (+7%) 14mo $159,500 $129 57
1821 Gale Dr 0.70mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,216 (+6%) 1mo $183,000 $150 52
1609 Mockingbird Ln 0.44mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,216 (+6%) 16mo $150,000 $123 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.31% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.6%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-29,516
Equity at exit
$26,838
10-year hold
IRR
-9.7%
Equity multiple
0.42×
Total profit
$-29,029
Equity at exit
$15,563

Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76020

Home prices YoY
-20.6%
Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
594
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,439 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$944
Tax from tax record
$107 /mo · $1,286/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$302
Net cashflow
$11

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,425
Max offer price $179,999
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $113 -5% $62 +0% $11 +5% $-40 +10% $-91
Rent -10% $-103 -5% $-46 +0% $11 +5% $68 +10% $125
Rate -1.0pp $102 -0.5pp $57 base $11 +0.5pp $-36 +1.0pp $-83

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$45,000
Closing costs
$5,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1329 Fox Hollow Ct Azle, TX 2.0 1.0 924 $900 $0.97 8d 1 0.14mi
1620 Mockingbird Ln Azle, TX 3.0 2.0 1090 $1,499 $1.38 22d 1 0.51mi
1844 Sheila Dr Azle, TX 3.0 2.0 1319 $1,645 $1.25 0d 1 0.54mi
1920 Reef Ct Azle, TX 3.0 2.0 1090 $1,449 $1.33 45d 1 0.73mi
11124 Liberty School Rd Unit 24B Azle, TX 2.0 2.0 700 $999 $1.43 24d 1 0.76mi
11128 Liberty School Rd Unit 28A Azle, TX 2.0 2.0 700 $1,050 $1.50 26d 1 0.77mi
1324 White Sand Dr Azle, TX 3.0 2.0 1149 $1,650 $1.44 7d 1 0.79mi
1300 White Sand Dr Unit 1304 Azle, TX 3.0 2.0 1149 $1,695 $1.48 45d 1 0.79mi
1304 White Sand Dr Azle, TX 3.0 2.0 1149 $1,695 $1.48 45d 1 0.83mi
1408 Yachtclub Dr Azle, TX 3.0 2.0 1302 $2,000 $1.54 14d 1 0.86mi
700 Stribling Cir Azle, TX 3.0 2.0 1311 $1,659 $1.27 18d 1 1.10mi
424 Lochridge Dr Unit 424 Azle, TX 3.0 2.0 1182 $1,575 $1.33 14d 1 1.12mi
1021 Timberoaks Dr Azle, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 792 $1,250 $1.58 0d 16 1.22mi
244 Marina Dr Azle, TX 1.0 1.0 725 $1,215 $1.68 45d 1 1.39mi
745 Timberoaks Dr Azle, TX 3.0 2.0 1304 $1,865 $1.43 5d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $179,999 Active 25 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $179,999 Active 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $179,999 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $179,999 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $179,999 Active 19 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $179,999 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $179,999 Active 16 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $179,999 Active 13 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $179,999 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $179,999 Active 11 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $179,999 Active 8 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $179,999 Active 7 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $179,999 Active 6 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $179,999 Active 5 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $179,999 Active 4 DOM
  16. 2026-05-27
    listed $179,999 Active
  17. 2026-03-23
    historical
  18. 2026-03-15
    price $199,000
  19. 2026-03-09
    listed $210,000 Active
  20. 2022-01-19
    soldstatus Sold 431-char remark
    Show marketing remark (431 chars)

    Move-In Ready Describes This 3 Bed, 2 Bath Singlewide Mobile Home on .22 Acre in Pelican Bay. Large Open Living Area with Beautiful Vinyl Plank Flooring Throughout. Kitchen Features Rich Dark Wood Cabinets, Island, Breakfast Bar and Electric Appliances. Good Sized Bedrooms and Utility Room with Full Size Washer and Dryer Hook ups. Corner Lot!! Free Amenities Nearby - Boat Launch, Fishing Pier, Park with Swimming and Playground!

  21. 2022-01-19
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (431 chars)

    Move-In Ready Describes This 3 Bed, 2 Bath Singlewide Mobile Home on .22 Acre in Pelican Bay. Large Open Living Area with Beautiful Vinyl Plank Flooring Throughout. Kitchen Features Rich Dark Wood Cabinets, Island, Breakfast Bar and Electric Appliances. Good Sized Bedrooms and Utility Room with Full Size Washer and Dryer Hook ups. Corner Lot!! Free Amenities Nearby - Boat Launch, Fishing Pier, Park with Swimming and Playground!

  22. 2022-01-11
    status Pending 431-char remark
    Show marketing remark (431 chars)

    Move-In Ready Describes This 3 Bed, 2 Bath Singlewide Mobile Home on .22 Acre in Pelican Bay. Large Open Living Area with Beautiful Vinyl Plank Flooring Throughout. Kitchen Features Rich Dark Wood Cabinets, Island, Breakfast Bar and Electric Appliances. Good Sized Bedrooms and Utility Room with Full Size Washer and Dryer Hook ups. Corner Lot!! Free Amenities Nearby - Boat Launch, Fishing Pier, Park with Swimming and Playground!

  23. 2022-01-04
    price $114,000 431-char remark
    Show marketing remark (431 chars)

    Move-In Ready Describes This 3 Bed, 2 Bath Singlewide Mobile Home on .22 Acre in Pelican Bay. Large Open Living Area with Beautiful Vinyl Plank Flooring Throughout. Kitchen Features Rich Dark Wood Cabinets, Island, Breakfast Bar and Electric Appliances. Good Sized Bedrooms and Utility Room with Full Size Washer and Dryer Hook ups. Corner Lot!! Free Amenities Nearby - Boat Launch, Fishing Pier, Park with Swimming and Playground!

  24. 2021-12-16
    listed $119,000 Active 431-char remark
    Show marketing remark (431 chars)

    Move-In Ready Describes This 3 Bed, 2 Bath Singlewide Mobile Home on .22 Acre in Pelican Bay. Large Open Living Area with Beautiful Vinyl Plank Flooring Throughout. Kitchen Features Rich Dark Wood Cabinets, Island, Breakfast Bar and Electric Appliances. Good Sized Bedrooms and Utility Room with Full Size Washer and Dryer Hook ups. Corner Lot!! Free Amenities Nearby - Boat Launch, Fishing Pier, Park with Swimming and Playground!

  25. 2012-05-15
    soldstatus Closed
  26. 2012-04-24
    status Pending
  27. 2012-04-11
    listed $19,000 Active
  28. 2009-06-23
    soldstatus
  29. 2005-09-02
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,286 · $107/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,294 · $274/mo
Expected delta
+$2,008/yr (+$167/mo · 156.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,272
− Mortgage interest
−$10,083
− Property taxes
−$1,286
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,382
− Management
−$1,382
− Depreciation
−$5,236
Taxable loss
−$2,997
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$719
After-tax cash flow
$850/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Azle ISD
NCES district ID
4809200
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$61,473
Composite
35.57/100
National rank
#4900
State rank
#351 of 826 in TX

Livability — Pelican Bay

Score
62/100
State rank
#917
US rank
#16376

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pelican Bay, TX
County
Parker County · 144,797 people
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
34,602
Household income
$87,298
Rent vs Own
22.3% rent · 77.7% own
Severe rent burden
433.0

Population outlook (Tarrant County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,380,417 people
By 2030
2,578,900 · +8.3%
By 2040
2,974,995 · +25.0%
By 2050
3,350,489 · +40.8%
By 2075
4,216,909 · +77.2%
By 2100
4,741,527 · +99.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 9% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 11%

Political lean MEDSL · Tarrant

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.7% · R 51.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+6.6pp toward D · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -5.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.1 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+8.7 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+11.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -74.72%
Current HPI
287.155
Rent YoY
▲ 2.31%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+847.4% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $179,999 NTREIS
  • 2026-03-23 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2026-03-15 Price Changed $199,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-03-09 Listed $210,000 NTREIS
  • 2022-01-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-01-19 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2022-01-11 Pending NTREIS
  • 2022-01-04 Price Changed $114,000 NTREIS
  • 2021-12-16 Listed $119,000 NTREIS
  • 2012-05-15 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2012-04-24 Pending NTREIS
  • 2012-04-11 Listed $19,000 NTREIS
  • 2009-06-23 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2005-09-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,286 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…