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1208 Hicks Ave
C- Composite 50.63
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.1/30.0
  • Appreciation +9.2/10.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$105,000

1208 Hicks Ave · Golden City, MO 64748
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,101 sqft · Other public records · 43 Days on market
Built 1930 0.44 ac lot $95/sqft · 37% above area Est $76k · 37% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This charming home on a large lot with mature trees is looking for its next people. Gorgeous wood doors and trim frame the updates and maintain the charm of the home's past. Schedule a showing, fall in love, and make this home! https://instashowing.com/showings/1208-hicks-avenue-224667

Key facts

  • 0.44 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1930

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 1-car garage; Driveway parking; Additional parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Residential construction
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Chain link fencing; Shed(s) and other outbuildings; Public maintained road access; City street frontage; Lot roughly 100 x 188 (0.44 acre)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven; Free-standing gas oven; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Gas oven; Free-standing gas oven; Refrigerator
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $131 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $96k (8.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $96k (8.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#696 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Golden City R-III (rural): math 30% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #435 of 535 in MO (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Golden City Elem. (math 24% / reading 44%, grade F, #676 of 1,115 statewide, top 66%, 71 students, 75% FRL); Golden City High (math 24% / reading 44%, grade F, #321 of 521 statewide, top 67%, 84 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 54% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Barton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($726 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (8.4% local appreciation)).
  • Barton County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (8.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,251 (8.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
7.79%
Cash-on-cash
5.35%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$76,461
List price
$105,000
Delta
37.33%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

8.37% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.9%
Equity multiple
2.84×
Total profit
$54,081
Equity at exit
$82,450
10-year hold
IRR
22.4%
Equity multiple
6.13×
Total profit
$150,769
Equity at exit
$166,286

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 64748

Home prices YoY
5.7%
Active inventory
23
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$963 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax from tax record
$35 /mo · $418/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$202
Net cashflow
$131

Break-even live

Break-even rent $796
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $105,000 Active 43 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $105,000 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $105,000 Active 41 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $105,000 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $105,000 Active 38 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $105,000 Active 37 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $105,000 Active 34 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $105,000 Active 33 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $105,000 Active 32 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $115,000 Active 30 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $115,000 Active 28 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $115,000 Active 27 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $115,000 Active 26 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $115,000 Active 25 DOM
  15. 2026-05-06
    listed $115,000 Active 970-char remark
  16. 2026-02-25
    soldstatus
  17. 2022-12-09
    status Pending 286-char remark
    Show marketing remark (286 chars)

    This charming home on a large lot with mature trees is looking for its next people. Gorgeous wood doors and trim frame the updates and maintain the charm of the home's past. Schedule a showing, fall in love, and make this home! https://instashowing.com/showings/1208-hicks-avenue-224667

  18. 2022-12-09
    soldstatus Closed 286-char remark
    Show marketing remark (286 chars)

    This charming home on a large lot with mature trees is looking for its next people. Gorgeous wood doors and trim frame the updates and maintain the charm of the home's past. Schedule a showing, fall in love, and make this home! https://instashowing.com/showings/1208-hicks-avenue-224667

  19. 2022-12-09
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (286 chars)

    This charming home on a large lot with mature trees is looking for its next people. Gorgeous wood doors and trim frame the updates and maintain the charm of the home's past. Schedule a showing, fall in love, and make this home! https://instashowing.com/showings/1208-hicks-avenue-224667

  20. 2022-11-01
    price $69,990 286-char remark
    Show marketing remark (286 chars)

    This charming home on a large lot with mature trees is looking for its next people. Gorgeous wood doors and trim frame the updates and maintain the charm of the home's past. Schedule a showing, fall in love, and make this home! https://instashowing.com/showings/1208-hicks-avenue-224667

  21. 2022-09-16
    price $76,575 286-char remark
    Show marketing remark (286 chars)

    This charming home on a large lot with mature trees is looking for its next people. Gorgeous wood doors and trim frame the updates and maintain the charm of the home's past. Schedule a showing, fall in love, and make this home! https://instashowing.com/showings/1208-hicks-avenue-224667

  22. 2022-09-01
    listed $82,575 Active 286-char remark
    Show marketing remark (286 chars)

    This charming home on a large lot with mature trees is looking for its next people. Gorgeous wood doors and trim frame the updates and maintain the charm of the home's past. Schedule a showing, fall in love, and make this home! https://instashowing.com/showings/1208-hicks-avenue-224667

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$418 · $35/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,018 · $85/mo
Expected delta
+$600/yr (+$50/mo · 143.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,550
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$418
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$924
− Management
−$924
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable loss
−$177
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$43
After-tax cash flow
$1,616/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Golden City R-III
NCES district ID
2912930
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$36,261
Composite
29.69/100
National rank
#11740
State rank
#435 of 535 in MO

Livability — Golden City

Score
56/100
State rank
#696
US rank
#22723

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing B+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Golden City, MO
Population (ZIP)
1,270

Population outlook (Barton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,977 people
By 2030
10,496 · -4.4%
By 2040
9,537 · -13.1%
By 2050
8,668 · -21.0%
By 2075
7,557 · -31.2%
By 2100
6,921 · -36.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3% Scottish 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Barton

2024 margin
Solid R (+72.2) · D 13.6% · R 85.8%
2008→2024 swing
-22.4pp toward R · 2008: -49.8pp · 2024: -72.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+72.2 2020: R+71.2 2016: R+70.2 2012: R+55.4 2008: R+49.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.37%
Current HPI
154.6946
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+27.2% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-06 Price Changed $105,000 SOMO
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $115,000 SOMO
  • 2026-02-25 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-12-09 Pending OGAR
  • 2022-12-09 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-12-09 Sold (MLS) OGAR
  • 2022-11-01 Price Changed $69,990 OGAR
  • 2022-09-16 Price Changed $76,575 OGAR
  • 2022-09-01 Listed $82,575 OGAR

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $418 · +44.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…