3977 S 150th Plz #254 · Omaha, NE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $508 – $851
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$112,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this 2019 modern double wide home found in the Meadowbrook Estates community. Updated and move in ready, this home offers neutral colors throughout and a kitchen island with plenty of storage. The primary bathroom features a large soaking tub, lots of storage and a large shower. In the primary bedroom enjoy a walk in closet. With quick access to Zorinsky Lake, lots of trails and recreational facilities and I80. The monthly lot rent includes access to a clubhouse with a pool. Application to Meadowbrook Estates and approval is required for residence.
Key facts
- 1,456 sq ft lot
- Community pool
- Built 2019
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $112k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $649 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $112k).
- Recommended offer: $106k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.2% vs local median 3.6% in Omaha — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#7 in NE, #663 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- Millard Public Schools (urban): math 58% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #13 of 111 in NE (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 110 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,539 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (2,583 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $778 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Douglas County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.72%
- DSCR
- 2.10
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $53,781
- List price
- $112,500
- Delta
- 109.18%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15162 D Plz #38 | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (-4%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $46 | 83 |
| 15053 Howe Plz | 0.11mi | 3/2.5 | 1,586 (+9%) | 20mo | $55,000 | $35 | 61 |
| 15107 Atlas Plz #15 | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (-14%) | 13mo | $60,000 | $48 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.95% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.67×
- Total profit
- $21,245
- Equity at exit
- $16,774
- IRR
- 24.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.04×
- Total profit
- $64,279
- Equity at exit
- $9,727
Cash invested: $31,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68144
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 110
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,787 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$590
- Tax from tax record
- −$126 /mo · $1,510/yr
- Insurance
- −$47
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$375
- Net cashflow
- $649
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,125
- Closing costs
- $3,375
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3820 S 148th Ave Omaha, NE | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1029 | $2,195 | $2.13 | 3d | 20 | 1.00mi |
| 15950 Wright Plz Omaha, NE | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1032 | $1,725 | $1.67 | 2d | 13 | 1.08mi |
| 13615 Spring St Omaha, NE | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,050 | $1.37 | 19d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 5380 S 156th Ct Omaha, NE | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1088 | $1,815 | $1.67 | 3d | 10 | 1.36mi |
| 2222 S 142nd Ct Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 772 | $1,320 | $1.71 | 3d | 20 | 1.39mi |
| 5723 S 152nd Avenue Cir Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1866 | $2,100 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 14735 W Plz Omaha, NE | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1469 | $1,680 | $1.14 | 3d | 12 | 1.48mi |
| 14010 Dorcas Plz Omaha, NE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 720 | $1,771 | $2.46 | 2d | 25 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-03days on market $112,500 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $112,500 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $112,500 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-04-11status Back On Market 572-char remark
Show marketing remark (572 chars)
Welcome to this 2019 modern double wide home found in the Meadowbrook Estates community. Updated and move in ready, this home offers neutral colors throughout and a kitchen island with plenty of storage. The primary bathroom features a large soaking tub, lots of storage and a large shower. In the primary bedroom enjoy a walk in closet. With quick access to Zorinsky Lake, lots of trails and recreational facilities and I80. The monthly lot rent includes access to a clubhouse with a pool. Application to Meadowbrook Estates and approval is required for residence.
-
2026-02-26status Pending 572-char remark
Show marketing remark (572 chars)
Welcome to this 2019 modern double wide home found in the Meadowbrook Estates community. Updated and move in ready, this home offers neutral colors throughout and a kitchen island with plenty of storage. The primary bathroom features a large soaking tub, lots of storage and a large shower. In the primary bedroom enjoy a walk in closet. With quick access to Zorinsky Lake, lots of trails and recreational facilities and I80. The monthly lot rent includes access to a clubhouse with a pool. Application to Meadowbrook Estates and approval is required for residence.
-
2026-01-28$112,500 New 572-char remark
Show marketing remark (572 chars)
Welcome to this 2019 modern double wide home found in the Meadowbrook Estates community. Updated and move in ready, this home offers neutral colors throughout and a kitchen island with plenty of storage. The primary bathroom features a large soaking tub, lots of storage and a large shower. In the primary bedroom enjoy a walk in closet. With quick access to Zorinsky Lake, lots of trails and recreational facilities and I80. The monthly lot rent includes access to a clubhouse with a pool. Application to Meadowbrook Estates and approval is required for residence.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,510 · $126/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,946 · $162/mo
- Expected delta
- +$436/yr (+$36/mo · 28.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,441
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,302
- − Property taxes
- −$1,510
- − Insurance
- −$562
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,715
- − Management
- −$1,715
- − Depreciation
- −$3,273
- Taxable income
- $6,363
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,527
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,259/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 2019 modern double-wide home is move-in ready and offers neutral colors throughout. It has a good condition score and requires minimal cosmetic updates to enhance its resale and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Landscaping improvements — Well-maintained landscaping can increase curb appeal and property value
- Both Replace worn-out flooring — New flooring can improve the overall look and feel of the home
- Both Update kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more functional and appealing
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Well-maintained landscaping can increase curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both Replace worn-out flooring — New flooring can improve the overall look and feel of the home ↑
- Both Update kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more functional and appealing ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Millard Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3173740
- Math proficiency
- 58% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $81,146
- Composite
- 53.23/100
- National rank
- #1500
- State rank
- #13 of 111 in NE
Livability — Omaha
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #7
- US rank
- #663
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Omaha, NE
- County
- Douglas County · 538,646 people
- City population
- 552,986
- Metro
- Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,732
- Household income
- $83,576
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1113.0
Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 625,245 people
- By 2030
- 661,613 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 732,395 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 801,988 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 968,637 · +54.9%
- By 2100
- 1,101,871 · +76.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 4% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, United Kingdom, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 3% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Douglas
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.2) · D 54.4% · R 44.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.5pp toward D · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: 10.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.2 2020: D+11.3 2016: D+1.4 2012: R+4.3 2008: D+4.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -228.19%
- Current HPI
- 249.064
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- Metro
- Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-11 Relisted — GPRMLS
- 2026-02-26 Pending — GPRMLS
- 2026-01-28 Listed $112,500 GPRMLS
Property tax history
-1.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,510 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…