18 W Washington Ave #142 · Yakima, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 16 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$144,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Located in a desirable 55+ community, this home offers comfort and peace of mind with a backup generator that automatically activates when the power goes out. The exterior has been freshly painted, giving the home great curb appeal. Inside, you'll find quartz countertops in the kitchen and both bathrooms, adding a modern and durable touch. The home also features the same flooring throughout this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath layout. The primary bedroom suite features a brand-new tiled walk-in shower and a spacious walk-in closet, creating a relaxing and functional retreat.
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Tiled walk-in shower
- Walk-in closet
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $144k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $551 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $144k).
- Recommended offer: $140k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 3.4% in Yakima — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#98 in WA, #1,912 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
- Yakima School District (urban): math 34% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #238 of 291 in WA (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 172 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 468 units permitted in Yakima County in 2024 (23 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $996 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Yakima County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $40k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($140k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.41%
- DSCR
- 1.73
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $267,214
- List price
- $144,000
- Delta
- -46.11%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 Landon Ave | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,574 (+4%) | 12mo | $260,000 | $165 | 59 |
| 2020 S 1st Ave | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (-4%) | 19mo | $285,000 | $196 | 58 |
| 104 Whitman St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,395 (-8%) | 12mo | $325,000 | $233 | 52 |
| 2203 S 5th Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,424 (-6%) | 8mo | $250,000 | $176 | 47 |
| 28 W Logan Ave | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,383 (-8%) | 21mo | $305,000 | $221 | 36 |
| 2106 S 5th Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,334 (-12%) | 21mo | $256,000 | $192 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.29×
- Total profit
- $11,730
- Equity at exit
- $21,471
- IRR
- 16.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.37×
- Total profit
- $55,195
- Equity at exit
- $12,450
Cash invested: $40,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98903
- Home prices YoY
- -21.8%
- Active inventory
- 172
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,777 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$755
- Tax from tax record
- −$37 /mo · $442/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$373
- Net cashflow
- $551
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,000
- Closing costs
- $4,320
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1917 Landon Ave Union Gap, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,100 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| Samantha Ct Union Gap, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1437 | $1,900 | $1.32 | 21d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2212 S 1st Ave Unit 1-3 Union Gap, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,900 | $1.58 | 13d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1512 Landon Ave Unit 1 Yakima, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1401 S 4th Ave Unit 1 Yakima, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $1,495 | $1.13 | 21d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 809 W Washington Ave Yakima, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1264 | $1,595 | $1.26 | 13d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1121 E Viola Ave Yakima, WA | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1168 | $1,200 | $1.03 | 13d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1106 Spokane St Yakima, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,795 | $1.28 | 21d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 808 S 2nd Ave Unit A Yakima, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1133 | $1,495 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-07status Pending 576-char remark
Show marketing remark (576 chars)
Located in a desirable 55+ community, this home offers comfort and peace of mind with a backup generator that automatically activates when the power goes out. The exterior has been freshly painted, giving the home great curb appeal. Inside, you'll find quartz countertops in the kitchen and both bathrooms, adding a modern and durable touch. The home also features the same flooring throughout this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath layout. The primary bedroom suite features a brand-new tiled walk-in shower and a spacious walk-in closet, creating a relaxing and functional retreat.
-
2026-05-01price $144,000 576-char remark
Show marketing remark (576 chars)
Located in a desirable 55+ community, this home offers comfort and peace of mind with a backup generator that automatically activates when the power goes out. The exterior has been freshly painted, giving the home great curb appeal. Inside, you'll find quartz countertops in the kitchen and both bathrooms, adding a modern and durable touch. The home also features the same flooring throughout this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath layout. The primary bedroom suite features a brand-new tiled walk-in shower and a spacious walk-in closet, creating a relaxing and functional retreat.
-
2026-03-12$145,000 Active 576-char remark
Show marketing remark (576 chars)
Located in a desirable 55+ community, this home offers comfort and peace of mind with a backup generator that automatically activates when the power goes out. The exterior has been freshly painted, giving the home great curb appeal. Inside, you'll find quartz countertops in the kitchen and both bathrooms, adding a modern and durable touch. The home also features the same flooring throughout this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath layout. The primary bedroom suite features a brand-new tiled walk-in shower and a spacious walk-in closet, creating a relaxing and functional retreat.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $442 · $37/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,411 · $118/mo
- Expected delta
- +$969/yr (+$81/mo · 219.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 16 unhealthy d/yr today · 19 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,319
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,066
- − Property taxes
- −$442
- − Insurance
- −$720
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,706
- − Management
- −$1,706
- − Depreciation
- −$4,189
- Taxable income
- $4,490
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,078
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,540/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Yakima School District
- NCES district ID
- 5310110
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,538
- Composite
- 34.04/100
- National rank
- #10305
- State rank
- #238 of 291 in WA
Livability — Yakima
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #98
- US rank
- #1912
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Yakima, WA
- City population
- 115,918
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,010
Population outlook (Yakima County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 256,514 people
- By 2030
- 259,403 · +1.1%
- By 2040
- 265,677 · +3.6%
- By 2050
- 273,061 · +6.5%
- By 2075
- 296,991 · +15.8%
- By 2100
- 315,291 · +22.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Hispanic / Latino 42% Two or more races 19% Asian 3% Native American 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 38%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Portuguese 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 63% English-only · Spanish 33% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Yakima
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.3) · D 41.6% · R 55.9% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.8pp toward R · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -14.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.3 2020: R+7.7 2016: R+15.4 2012: R+15.1 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -83.90%
- Current HPI
- 300.5753
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
||
| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
|
||
Price history
-0.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Pending — YAMLS
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $144,000 YAMLS
- 2026-03-12 Listed $145,000 YAMLS
Property tax history
-1.7%/yrLatest (2026): $442 · -7.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…