707 Swanson St · Gardendale, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$230,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Gardendale. Sold as is where is. Cash only. No creative financing offers will be presented.
Key facts
- 0.55 acre lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1955
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size about 0.55 acres; Located in Gardendale subdivision
- Financial info: Down payment assistance available; Monthly garbage fee
Exterior
- Parking: Attached parking; 2 covered carport spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Septic system; Gas water heater; Internet availability unknown
- Home design: Single-family property (existing); Crawl space foundation
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Covered and open decks; Porch; Storage building; Private storm shelter
Interior
- Kitchen: Eating area; Laminate countertops; Convection oven; Self-cleaning oven; Refrigerator; Some stainless appliances
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on main level)
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Separate shower and garden tub in bath; Tub/shower combos
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
- Interior features: Cathedral/vaulted ceilings; Handyman special
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room on main level; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Attic access
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $230k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $321 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $222k (3.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $222k (3.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 5.5% in Gardendale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#113 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Gardendale Elementary School (math 20% / reading 56%, grade F, #263 of 627 statewide, top 42%, 677 students, 48% FRL); Gardendale High School (math 21% / reading 28%, grade F, #118 of 305 statewide, top 45%, 1,047 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 48% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 97 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($223k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 4% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.98%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $355,972
- List price
- $230,000
- Delta
- -35.39%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 459 Gowins Dr | 0.48mi | 3/2.5 | 2,356 (-1%) | 11mo | $375,000 | $159 | 66 |
| 648 Wisteria Way | 0.46mi | 3/2.5 | 2,414 (+1%) | 12mo | $400,000 | $166 | 66 |
| 787 Cluster Springs Rd | 0.74mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,305 (-3%) | 1mo | $389,000 | $169 | 54 |
| 570 Magnolia Crest Cir | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 2,491 (+4%) | 12mo | $312,000 | $125 | 53 |
| 4302 Foxglove Trl | 0.50mi | 3/2.5 | 2,555 (+7%) | 17mo | $350,000 | $137 | 51 |
| 632 Wisteria Way | 0.51mi | 3/2.5 | 2,484 (+4%) | 24mo | $389,900 | $157 | 49 |
| 528 Magnolia Crest Cir | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 2,040 (-14%) | 1mo | $310,000 | $152 | 46 |
| 511 Virginia St | 0.70mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,444 (+2%) | 18mo | $294,900 | $121 | 44 |
| 242 Odum Rd | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 2,180 (-9%) | 12mo | $296,000 | $136 | 42 |
| 508 Virginia St | 0.67mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,543 (+7%) | 16mo | $283,000 | $111 | 37 |
| 118 Cluster Springs Cir | 0.69mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,623 (+10%) | 11mo | $349,900 | $133 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-16,897
- Equity at exit
- $34,294
- IRR
- 2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.18×
- Total profit
- $11,340
- Equity at exit
- $19,886
Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35071
- Home prices YoY
- -21.1%
- Active inventory
- 97
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,216 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax from tax record
- −$128 /mo · $1,534/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$465
- Net cashflow
- $321
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,500
- Closing costs
- $6,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 236 Garrison Rd Gardendale, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $1,900 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3186 Sayers Rd Fultondale, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $2,000 | $1.18 | 19d | 1 | 1.09mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-19status $230,000 Pending 52 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $230,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $230,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $230,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $230,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $230,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $230,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $230,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $230,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $230,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $230,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $230,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $230,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $230,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-04-27$230,000 Active 91-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,534 · $128/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,534 · $128/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,593
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,884
- − Property taxes
- −$1,534
- − Insurance
- −$1,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,127
- − Management
- −$2,127
- − Depreciation
- −$6,691
- Taxable income
- $80
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$19
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,832/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 0101920
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,712
- Composite
- 18.4/100
- National rank
- #8937
- State rank
- #104 of 129 in AL
Livability — Gardendale
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #113
- US rank
- #12225
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gardendale, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 17,288
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,288
- Household income
- $82,074
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 151.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 21% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -55.29%
- Current HPI
- 206.7447
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-04-27 Listed $230,000 Greater Alabama MLS
Property tax history
+7.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,534 · +14.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…