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635 Witsell Rd
C+ Composite 60.2
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$80,000

635 Witsell Rd · Jackson, MS 39206
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,118 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1957 0.26 ac lot Est $64k · 26% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investment Opportunity! Add this income-producing rental property to your portfolio with a tenant already in place, providing immediate rental income from day one. This well-maintained home offers a great opportunity for both seasoned and first-time investors looking for a turnkey investment. Looking to expand your portfolio? This property is one of eight investment homes currently available for purchase. Buy individually or inquire about purchasing multiple properties as a package to maximize your investment potential. Don't miss this opportunity to secure a cash-flowing asset with built-in income and additional portfolio expansion possibilities. Contact your agent today for more informati

Key facts

  • 0.26 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1957

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 1-car carport
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Single family residence (house); One level
  • Construction: Siding exterior; Conventional foundation; Built (year reported from public records)
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; Cable available; Public water; Public sewer

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Central heating; Central air conditioning

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $474 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Cap rate 13.4% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety F.
  • Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: North Jackson Elementary School (math 7% / reading 25%, grade F, #270 of 375 statewide, top 72%, 383 students, 100% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 119 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $80,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.65%
Cap rate
13.40%
Cash-on-cash
25.37%
DSCR
2.13
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$63,726
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
528 N Park Ln 0.29mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,170 (+5%) 8mo $50,000 $43 67
4510 Kirkley Dr 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,212 (+8%) 10mo $94,900 $78 67
827 Berwood Dr 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,266 (+13%) 14mo $70,000 $55 50
134 Wacker Dr 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,218 (+9%) 6mo $70,000 $57 48
571 Hickory Ridge Dr 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,224 (+10%) 22mo $85,000 $69 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.83% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.7%
Equity multiple
1.76×
Total profit
$17,000
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
27.0%
Equity multiple
3.36×
Total profit
$52,835
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39206

Home prices YoY
-10.3%
Rents YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
119
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,317 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$114 /mo · $1,369/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$277
Net cashflow
$474

Break-even live

Break-even rent $718
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 59%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $519 -5% $496 +0% $474 +5% $451 +10% $428
Rent -10% $369 -5% $422 +0% $474 +5% $526 +10% $578
Rate -1.0pp $514 -0.5pp $494 base $474 +0.5pp $453 +1.0pp $432

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 24 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
815 Berwood Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1248 $1,300 $1.04 45d 1 0.24mi
963 Pine Lake Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.5 1196 $1,050 $0.88 45d 1 0.37mi
3811 Mosley Ave Jackson, MS 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,095 $1.09 22d 1 0.80mi
4833 N State St Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 994 $1,195 $1.20 45d 1 0.85mi
533 Stillwood Dr Jackson, MS 2.0 1.0 906 $820 $0.91 15d 1 0.88mi
200 Stillwood Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1088 $1,300 $1.19 45d 1 0.92mi
200 Stillwood Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1088 $1,300 $1.19 15d 1 0.92mi
227 Lawrence Rd #227 Jackson, MS 2.0 1.0 840 $995 $1.18 45d 1 0.98mi
227 Lawrence Rd Jackson, MS 2.0 1.0 840 $900 $1.07 15d 2 0.98mi
4426 Desoto St Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1079 $1,250 $1.16 15d 1 0.99mi
4426 Desoto St Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1079 $1,250 $1.16 24d 1 0.99mi
229 Lawrence Rd Jackson, MS 2.0 1.0 840 $900 $1.07 24d 1 0.99mi
229 Lawrence Rd #229 Jackson, MS 2.0 1.0 840 $995 $1.18 45d 1 0.99mi
3718 Northbrook Dr Jackson, MS 2.0 1.0 942 $1,050 $1.11 24d 1 1.00mi
214 Melbourne Rd Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1207 $1,500 $1.24 45d 1 1.05mi
320 Lawrence Rd Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1270 $1,400 $1.10 15d 1 1.13mi
320 Lawrence Rd Jackson, MS 4.0 1.5 1270 $1,400 $1.10 24d 1 1.13mi
4858 Sheridan Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,550 $1.19 24d 1 1.16mi
508 Benning Rd Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1216 $1,400 $1.15 45d 1 1.19mi
508 Benning Rd Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1216 $1,400 $1.15 15d 1 1.19mi
521 Launcelot Rd Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1346 $1,423 $1.06 45d 1 1.25mi
1175 Eminence Row Jackson, MS 2.0 1.0 700 $650 $0.93 45d 1 1.36mi
701 Cedarhurst Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1419 $1,250 $0.88 24d 1 1.37mi
5255 Manhattan Rd Jackson, MS 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 813 $1,100 $1.35 15d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $80,000 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    remarks 699-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    listed $80,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,369 · $114/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,369 · $114/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,804
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$1,369
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,264
− Management
−$1,264
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$4,699
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,128
After-tax cash flow
$4,555/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jackson Public School District
NCES district ID
2802190
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$33,234
Composite
10.89/100
National rank
#9755
State rank
#112 of 130 in MS

Livability — Jackson

Score
68/100
State rank
#66
US rank
#9695

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jackson, MS
County
Hinds County · 167,040 people
City population
140,204
Metro
Jackson, MS
Population (ZIP)
23,257
Household income
$42,686
Rent vs Own
54.0% rent · 46.0% own
Severe rent burden
1554.0

Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
242,528 people
By 2030
241,113 · -0.6%
By 2040
235,557 · -2.9%
By 2050
226,946 · -6.4%
By 2075
199,995 · -17.5%
By 2100
164,165 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (85%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 85% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Hinds

2024 margin
Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -22.38%
Current HPI
194.5873
Rent YoY
▲ 2.83%
Metro
Jackson, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+1.3% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $80,000 MLSU
  • 2026-01-31 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2025-08-11 Listed $79,000 MLSU
  • 2015-05-26 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1998-04-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1996-04-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1995-06-09 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+7.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,369 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…