635 Witsell Rd · Jackson, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investment Opportunity! Add this income-producing rental property to your portfolio with a tenant already in place, providing immediate rental income from day one. This well-maintained home offers a great opportunity for both seasoned and first-time investors looking for a turnkey investment. Looking to expand your portfolio? This property is one of eight investment homes currently available for purchase. Buy individually or inquire about purchasing multiple properties as a package to maximize your investment potential. Don't miss this opportunity to secure a cash-flowing asset with built-in income and additional portfolio expansion possibilities. Contact your agent today for more informati
Key facts
- 0.26 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1957
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 1-car carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Single family residence (house); One level
- Construction: Siding exterior; Conventional foundation; Built (year reported from public records)
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Cable available; Public water; Public sewer
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Central heating; Central air conditioning
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $474 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Cap rate 13.4% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety F.
- Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: North Jackson Elementary School (math 7% / reading 25%, grade F, #270 of 375 statewide, top 72%, 383 students, 100% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 119 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.65% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.37%
- DSCR
- 2.13
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $63,726
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 528 N Park Ln | 0.29mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,170 (+5%) | 8mo | $50,000 | $43 | 67 |
| 4510 Kirkley Dr | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,212 (+8%) | 10mo | $94,900 | $78 | 67 |
| 827 Berwood Dr | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,266 (+13%) | 14mo | $70,000 | $55 | 50 |
| 134 Wacker Dr | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,218 (+9%) | 6mo | $70,000 | $57 | 48 |
| 571 Hickory Ridge Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,224 (+10%) | 22mo | $85,000 | $69 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.83% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.76×
- Total profit
- $17,000
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 27.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.36×
- Total profit
- $52,835
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39206
- Home prices YoY
- -10.3%
- Rents YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 119
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,317 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$114 /mo · $1,369/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$277
- Net cashflow
- $474
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $519 | -5% $496 | +0% $474 | +5% $451 | +10% $428 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $369 | -5% $422 | +0% $474 | +5% $526 | +10% $578 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $514 | -0.5pp $494 | base $474 | +0.5pp $453 | +1.0pp $432 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 815 Berwood Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,300 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 963 Pine Lake Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1196 | $1,050 | $0.88 | 45d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 3811 Mosley Ave Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,095 | $1.09 | 22d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 4833 N State St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 994 | $1,195 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 533 Stillwood Dr Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 906 | $820 | $0.91 | 15d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 200 Stillwood Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $1,300 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 200 Stillwood Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $1,300 | $1.19 | 15d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 227 Lawrence Rd #227 Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $995 | $1.18 | 45d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 227 Lawrence Rd Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $900 | $1.07 | 15d | 2 | 0.98mi |
| 4426 Desoto St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1079 | $1,250 | $1.16 | 15d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 4426 Desoto St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1079 | $1,250 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 229 Lawrence Rd Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $900 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 229 Lawrence Rd #229 Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $995 | $1.18 | 45d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3718 Northbrook Dr Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $1,050 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 214 Melbourne Rd Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1207 | $1,500 | $1.24 | 45d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 320 Lawrence Rd Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $1,400 | $1.10 | 15d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 320 Lawrence Rd Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1270 | $1,400 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 4858 Sheridan Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,550 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 508 Benning Rd Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $1,400 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 508 Benning Rd Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $1,400 | $1.15 | 15d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 521 Launcelot Rd Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1346 | $1,423 | $1.06 | 45d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1175 Eminence Row Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $650 | $0.93 | 45d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 701 Cedarhurst Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1419 | $1,250 | $0.88 | 24d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 5255 Manhattan Rd Jackson, MS | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 813 | $1,100 | $1.35 | 15d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $80,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-17$80,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,369 · $114/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,369 · $114/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,804
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$1,369
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,264
- − Management
- −$1,264
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $4,699
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,128
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,555/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802190
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,234
- Composite
- 10.89/100
- National rank
- #9755
- State rank
- #112 of 130 in MS
Livability — Jackson
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #9695
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jackson, MS
- County
- Hinds County · 167,040 people
- City population
- 140,204
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,257
- Household income
- $42,686
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1554.0
Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 242,528 people
- By 2030
- 241,113 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 235,557 · -2.9%
- By 2050
- 226,946 · -6.4%
- By 2075
- 199,995 · -17.5%
- By 2100
- 164,165 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 85% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Hinds
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -22.38%
- Current HPI
- 194.5873
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.83%
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+1.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $80,000 MLSU
- 2026-01-31 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2025-08-11 Listed $79,000 MLSU
- 2015-05-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1998-04-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1996-04-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1995-06-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+7.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,369 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…