20005 U.S. 27 · Groveland, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
2 Beds 1 Bath - Apartment 20005 US Highway 27, Clermont, FL 34715. United States ?? FOR SALE & acirc; & euro; & ldquo; BEAUTIFULLY UPDATED FAMILY MOBILE HOME ???? Located in the gated community of Encore Clerbrook Golf & amp; RV Resort & acirc; & euro; & ldquo; Clermont, FL Asking Price: $85,000 ? MOVE-IN READY & amp; PERFECT FOR A GROWING FAMILY ? This beautifully updated mobile home sits on a large corner lot in one of Clermont & acirc; & euro; & trade; s most desirable gated communities. With security staff at the entrance, amazing family amenities, low electricity costs, and many brand-new upgrades throughout the home, this is the perfect
Key facts
- Gated community
- Large corner lot
- New ceiling fans
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $85k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $937 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.5% vs local median 4.0% in Groveland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#416 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A-, crime B+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Lake (suburban): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #37 of 73 in FL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 439 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 4,799 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (814 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 47.23%
- DSCR
- 3.10
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.17% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 47.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.11×
- Total profit
- $50,213
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 53.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.85×
- Total profit
- $139,119
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34715
- Home prices YoY
- -19.2%
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 439
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,929 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$106 /mo · $1,275/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$405
- Net cashflow
- $937
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $85,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $85,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-24$85,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,150
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$1,275
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,852
- − Management
- −$1,852
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $10,512
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,523
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,717/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This beautifully updated mobile home is in good condition and move-in ready, with minimal maintenance required. It offers a great value for a growing family in a desirable gated community.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants.
- Both New flooring in bathrooms and kitchen — Fresh flooring can improve the look and feel of the home, making it more attractive to buyers and renters.
- Both HVAC maintenance or replacement — A well-maintained HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, making the home more appealing to buyers and renters.
- Both New window treatments — New window treatments can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics, making it more attractive to buyers and renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants. ↑
- Both New flooring in bathrooms and kitchen — Fresh flooring can improve the look and feel of the home, making it more attractive to buyers and renters. ↑
- Both HVAC maintenance or replacement — A well-maintained HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, making the home more appealing to buyers and renters. ↑
- Both New window treatments — New window treatments can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics, making it more attractive to buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lake
- NCES district ID
- 1201050
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,632
- Composite
- 42.05/100
- National rank
- #3327
- State rank
- #37 of 73 in FL
Livability — Groveland
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #416
- US rank
- #7397
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Lake County · 364,602 people
- City population
- 28,001
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,810
- Household income
- $105,262
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 293.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 386,640 people
- By 2030
- 417,107 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 476,676 · +23.3%
- By 2050
- 531,296 · +37.4%
- By 2075
- 648,303 · +67.7%
- By 2100
- 698,530 · +80.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 19% Black 8% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 18% Cuban 2% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 24% Vietnamese 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.7) · D 37.3% · R 62.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.2pp toward R · 2008: -13.5pp · 2024: -24.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.7 2020: R+20.0 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+13.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -72.47%
- Current HPI
- 305.4193
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.17%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-24 Listed $85,000 FSBO.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…