4181 Silver Dome Rd · Denton, TX 76208

$64,900

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 278 sqft · Land public records · 23 Days on market

Built 2014

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +4.4/5.0
• Schools +3.5/10.0
• Rent growth +2.6/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Rare Corner Lot 2BD/2BA! Move-in ready 2014 Heritage home on one of the largest corner lots in the park, directly across from the pool and clubhouse. Features: Deck (needs repairs) Double carport Storage shed Concrete patio pad for outdoor furniture New appliances, new toilets, new blinds Light staging items included Lot & Park Info: Lot rent: $925/month Buyer must be approved by park management

Key facts

• Move-in ready
• Across from pool
• Largest corner lots

Tags

• CORNER LOT
• MOVE-IN READY
• LARGEST CORNER LOTS
• ACROSS FROM POOL
• ACROSS FROM CLUBHOUSE

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $65k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $631 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
• Recommended offer: $64k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 18.0% vs local median 3.4% in Denton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 88/100 on livability (#2 in TX, #210 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
• Denton ISD (urban): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #383 of 826 in TX (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 279 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 10,531 units permitted in Denton County in 2024 (2,713 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Denton County population projected at +66% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.3% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $63,926 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.11% ✓
• Cap rate: 17.96%
• Cash-on-cash: 41.65%
• DSCR: 2.85
• GRM: 4.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.31% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 35.2%
• Equity multiple: 2.43×
• Total profit: $26,076
• Equity at exit: $9,677

10-year hold

• IRR: 40.5%
• Equity multiple: 4.33×
• Total profit: $60,518
• Equity at exit: $5,611

Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 76208

• Home prices YoY: -20.9%
• Rents YoY: 0.3%
• Active inventory: 279
• Price-to-rent: 4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,366 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$340
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$81 /mo · $974/yr
• Insurance: −$27
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$287
• Net cashflow: $631

Break-even live

Break-even rent $568

Max offer price $64,900

Occupancy floor 49%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $16,225
• Closing costs: $1,947
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 19 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $64,900 Active 23 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $64,900 Active 22 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $64,900 Active 21 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $64,900 Active 20 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $64,900 Active 18 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $64,900 Active 14 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $64,900 Active 13 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   days on market $64,900 Active 12 DOM
9. 2026-06-04
   days on market $64,900 Active 9 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $64,900 Active 8 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $64,900 Active 7 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $64,900 Active 6 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $64,900 Active 5 DOM
14. 2026-03-11
    listed $64,900 Active 421-char remark

    Show marketing remark (421 chars)

    Rare Corner Lot 2BD/2BA! Move-in ready 2014 Heritage home on one of the largest corner lots in the park, directly across from the pool and clubhouse. Features: Deck (needs repairs) Double carport Storage shed Concrete patio pad for outdoor furniture New appliances, new toilets, new blinds Light staging items included Lot & Park Info: Lot rent: $925/month Buyer must be approved by park management

15. 2024-08-07
    historical
16. 2024-07-19
    listed $194,990 Active
17. 2017-07-16
    historical
18. 2017-07-15
    listed $25,000 Active
19. 2004-06-10
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,394
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,635
• − Property taxes: −$974
• − Insurance: −$324
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,312
• − Management: −$1,312
• − Depreciation: −$1,888
• Taxable income: $6,949
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,668
• After-tax cash flow: $5,901/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Denton ISD
• NCES district ID: 4816740
• Math proficiency: 36% ▼ -18.00%
• Reading proficiency: 43% ▼ -9.00%
• Median HH income: $58,913
• Composite: 34.91/100
• National rank: #5075
• State rank: #383 of 826 in TX

Livability — Denton

• Score: 88/100
• State rank: #2
• US rank: #210

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime B Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Denton County · 901,654 people
• City population: 127,990
• Metro: Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
• Population (ZIP): 30,025
• Household income: $88,967
• Rent vs Own: 33.3% rent · 66.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 1072.0

Population outlook (Denton County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,053,010 people
• By 2030: 1,192,269 · +13.2%
• By 2040: 1,472,920 · +39.9%
• By 2050: 1,746,506 · +65.9%
• By 2075: 2,358,497 · +124.0%
• By 2100: 2,779,183 · +163.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
• Race & ethnicity: White 51% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 15% Black 12% Asian 4% Native American 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 22% Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 2% Portuguese 2% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 13% · Canada, China, South Korea
• Languages at home: 76% English-only · Spanish 18% Chinese 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Denton

• 2024 margin: R (+13.2) · D 42.7% · R 55.8% · Other 1.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: +11.0pp toward D · 2008: -24.2pp · 2024: -13.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+13.2 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+20.2 2012: R+31.7 2008: R+24.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -64.64%
• Current HPI: 244.3487
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.31%
• Metro: Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

+159.6% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-11 Listed $64,900 ForSaleByOwner.com
• 2024-08-07 Listing Removed — NTREIS
• 2024-07-19 Listed $194,990 NTREIS
• 2017-07-16 Listing Removed — NTREIS
• 2017-07-15 Listed $25,000 NTREIS
• 2004-06-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+55.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $74,994 · +24.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.