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21 North St
D Composite 44.94
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,000

21 North St · Highland Park, MI 48203
6 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,198 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 101 Days on market
Built 1916 4,356 sqft lot $91/sqft · 277% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to the fully renovated Highland Park Gem! 3 beds, 1 bath, open layouts and tons of light. Proximity to Palmer Park, Ferndale and Livernois restaurants and shops, and ten minute drive downtown. Great opportunity for a house hack in an up and coming area or investment opportunity! Adjacent lot is being sold through Land Bank. BATVAI.

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • Built 1916
  • Listed 100 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $87 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $164k (17.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $164k (17.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 14.2% in Highland Park — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#214 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Market conditions: 219 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,643/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($38k/yr) (locally 1192% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($181k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $7k; list at $199k implies a 2743% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $164,282 (17.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
6.82%
Cash-on-cash
1.88%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$52,822
List price
$199,000
Delta
297.56%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
203 Puritan St 0.50mi 5/1.5 (-1) 2,266 (+3%) 19mo $145,000 $64 48
16814 Normandy St 0.52mi 5/2.5 (-1) 2,022 (-8%) 21mo $273,900 $135 34
16523 LA Salle Ave 0.52mi 5/1.5 (-1) 1,936 (-12%) 19mo $125,000 $65 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.4%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-26,766
Equity at exit
$29,672
10-year hold
IRR
-4.5%
Equity multiple
0.70×
Total profit
$-16,461
Equity at exit
$17,206

Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48203

Home prices YoY
-23.3%
Active inventory
219
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,643 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,044
Tax from tax record
$84 /mo · $1,009/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$345
Net cashflow
$87

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,532
Max offer price $199,000
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $200 -5% $144 +0% $87 +5% $31 +10% $-25
Rent -10% $-43 -5% $22 +0% $87 +5% $152 +10% $217
Rate -1.0pp $187 -0.5pp $138 base $87 +0.5pp $36 +1.0pp $-17

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,750
Closing costs
$5,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
106 Geneva St Highland Park, MI 5.0 1.0 1920 $1,450 $0.76 12d 1 0.36mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    pricedays on market $199,000 Active 101 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $210,000 Active 98 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $210,000 Active 97 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $210,000 Active 96 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $210,000 Active 95 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $210,000 Active 93 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $210,000 Active 89 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $210,000 Active 88 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $210,000 Active 87 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    remarks 699-char remark
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $210,000 Active 84 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $210,000 Active 83 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $210,000 Active 82 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $210,000 Active 81 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $210,000 Active 80 DOM
  16. 2026-05-06
    price $220,000 341-char remark
    Show marketing remark (341 chars)

    Welcome to the fully renovated Highland Park Gem! 3 beds, 1 bath, open layouts and tons of light. Proximity to Palmer Park, Ferndale and Livernois restaurants and shops, and ten minute drive downtown. Great opportunity for a house hack in an up and coming area or investment opportunity! Adjacent lot is being sold through Land Bank. BATVAI.

  17. 2026-05-05
    price $220,000 341-char remark
    Show marketing remark (341 chars)

    Welcome to the fully renovated Highland Park Gem! 3 beds, 1 bath, open layouts and tons of light. Proximity to Palmer Park, Ferndale and Livernois restaurants and shops, and ten minute drive downtown. Great opportunity for a house hack in an up and coming area or investment opportunity! Adjacent lot is being sold through Land Bank. BATVAI.

  18. 2026-04-03
    status Active 341-char remark
    Show marketing remark (341 chars)

    Welcome to the fully renovated Highland Park Gem! 3 beds, 1 bath, open layouts and tons of light. Proximity to Palmer Park, Ferndale and Livernois restaurants and shops, and ten minute drive downtown. Great opportunity for a house hack in an up and coming area or investment opportunity! Adjacent lot is being sold through Land Bank. BATVAI.

  19. 2026-04-03
    status Active 341-char remark
    Show marketing remark (341 chars)

    Welcome to the fully renovated Highland Park Gem! 3 beds, 1 bath, open layouts and tons of light. Proximity to Palmer Park, Ferndale and Livernois restaurants and shops, and ten minute drive downtown. Great opportunity for a house hack in an up and coming area or investment opportunity! Adjacent lot is being sold through Land Bank. BATVAI.

  20. 2026-03-23
    historical Accepting Backup Offers 341-char remark
    Show marketing remark (341 chars)

    Welcome to the fully renovated Highland Park Gem! 3 beds, 1 bath, open layouts and tons of light. Proximity to Palmer Park, Ferndale and Livernois restaurants and shops, and ten minute drive downtown. Great opportunity for a house hack in an up and coming area or investment opportunity! Adjacent lot is being sold through Land Bank. BATVAI.

  21. 2026-03-23
    historical Active Under Contract 341-char remark
    Show marketing remark (341 chars)

    Welcome to the fully renovated Highland Park Gem! 3 beds, 1 bath, open layouts and tons of light. Proximity to Palmer Park, Ferndale and Livernois restaurants and shops, and ten minute drive downtown. Great opportunity for a house hack in an up and coming area or investment opportunity! Adjacent lot is being sold through Land Bank. BATVAI.

  22. 2026-03-13
    listed $225,000 Active 341-char remark
    Show marketing remark (341 chars)

    Welcome to the fully renovated Highland Park Gem! 3 beds, 1 bath, open layouts and tons of light. Proximity to Palmer Park, Ferndale and Livernois restaurants and shops, and ten minute drive downtown. Great opportunity for a house hack in an up and coming area or investment opportunity! Adjacent lot is being sold through Land Bank. BATVAI.

  23. 2026-03-13
    listed $225,000 Active 341-char remark
    Show marketing remark (341 chars)

    Welcome to the fully renovated Highland Park Gem! 3 beds, 1 bath, open layouts and tons of light. Proximity to Palmer Park, Ferndale and Livernois restaurants and shops, and ten minute drive downtown. Great opportunity for a house hack in an up and coming area or investment opportunity! Adjacent lot is being sold through Land Bank. BATVAI.

  24. 2026-03-11
    historical $225,000 341-char remark
    Show marketing remark (341 chars)

    Welcome to the fully renovated Highland Park Gem! 3 beds, 1 bath, open layouts and tons of light. Proximity to Palmer Park, Ferndale and Livernois restaurants and shops, and ten minute drive downtown. Great opportunity for a house hack in an up and coming area or investment opportunity! Adjacent lot is being sold through Land Bank. BATVAI.

  25. 2000-05-31
    soldstatus $7,000
  26. 2000-04-21
    listed $7,000
  27. 1999-08-22
    historical
  28. 1999-07-27
    listed $8,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,009 · $84/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,037 · $170/mo
Expected delta
+$1,028/yr (+$86/mo · 101.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,714
− Mortgage interest
−$11,147
− Property taxes
−$1,009
− Insurance
−$995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,577
− Management
−$1,577
− Depreciation
−$5,789
Taxable loss
−$2,380
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$571
After-tax cash flow
$1,618/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Highland Park

Score
73/100
State rank
#214
US rank
#5271

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Highland Park, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
20,049
Household income
$38,404
Rent vs Own
48.7% rent · 51.3% own
Severe rent burden
1192.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (85%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 85% White 8% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -90.13%
Current HPI
297.0176
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2650.0% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $220,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $220,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-03 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-03 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-23 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-23 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-13 Listed $225,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-13 Listed $225,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-11 Coming Soon $225,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2000-05-31 Sold (MLS) $7,000 REALCOMP
  • 2000-04-21 Listed $7,000 REALCOMP
  • 1999-08-22 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 1999-07-27 Listed $8,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

-5.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,009 · -18.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…