21 North St · Highland Park, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to the fully renovated Highland Park Gem! 3 beds, 1 bath, open layouts and tons of light. Proximity to Palmer Park, Ferndale and Livernois restaurants and shops, and ten minute drive downtown. Great opportunity for a house hack in an up and coming area or investment opportunity! Adjacent lot is being sold through Land Bank. BATVAI.
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- Built 1916
- Listed 100 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $87 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $164k (17.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $164k (17.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 14.2% in Highland Park — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#214 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Market conditions: 219 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,643/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($38k/yr) (locally 1192% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($181k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $7k; list at $199k implies a 2743% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.88%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $52,822
- List price
- $199,000
- Delta
- 297.56%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203 Puritan St | 0.50mi | 5/1.5 (-1) | 2,266 (+3%) | 19mo | $145,000 | $64 | 48 |
| 16814 Normandy St | 0.52mi | 5/2.5 (-1) | 2,022 (-8%) | 21mo | $273,900 | $135 | 34 |
| 16523 LA Salle Ave | 0.52mi | 5/1.5 (-1) | 1,936 (-12%) | 19mo | $125,000 | $65 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-26,766
- Equity at exit
- $29,672
- IRR
- -4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-16,461
- Equity at exit
- $17,206
Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48203
- Home prices YoY
- -23.3%
- Active inventory
- 219
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,643 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,044
- Tax from tax record
- −$84 /mo · $1,009/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$345
- Net cashflow
- $87
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $200 | -5% $144 | +0% $87 | +5% $31 | +10% $-25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-43 | -5% $22 | +0% $87 | +5% $152 | +10% $217 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $187 | -0.5pp $138 | base $87 | +0.5pp $36 | +1.0pp $-17 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,750
- Closing costs
- $5,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 106 Geneva St Highland Park, MI | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1920 | $1,450 | $0.76 | 12d | 1 | 0.36mi |
Listing history 28 events
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2026-06-21pricedays on market $199,000 Active 101 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $210,000 Active 98 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $210,000 Active 97 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $210,000 Active 96 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $210,000 Active 95 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $210,000 Active 93 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $210,000 Active 89 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $210,000 Active 88 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $210,000 Active 87 DOM
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2026-06-04remarks 699-char remark
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2026-06-04days on market $210,000 Active 84 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $210,000 Active 83 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $210,000 Active 82 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $210,000 Active 81 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $210,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-05-06price $220,000 341-char remark
Show marketing remark (341 chars)
Welcome to the fully renovated Highland Park Gem! 3 beds, 1 bath, open layouts and tons of light. Proximity to Palmer Park, Ferndale and Livernois restaurants and shops, and ten minute drive downtown. Great opportunity for a house hack in an up and coming area or investment opportunity! Adjacent lot is being sold through Land Bank. BATVAI.
-
2026-05-05price $220,000 341-char remark
Show marketing remark (341 chars)
Welcome to the fully renovated Highland Park Gem! 3 beds, 1 bath, open layouts and tons of light. Proximity to Palmer Park, Ferndale and Livernois restaurants and shops, and ten minute drive downtown. Great opportunity for a house hack in an up and coming area or investment opportunity! Adjacent lot is being sold through Land Bank. BATVAI.
-
2026-04-03status Active 341-char remark
Show marketing remark (341 chars)
Welcome to the fully renovated Highland Park Gem! 3 beds, 1 bath, open layouts and tons of light. Proximity to Palmer Park, Ferndale and Livernois restaurants and shops, and ten minute drive downtown. Great opportunity for a house hack in an up and coming area or investment opportunity! Adjacent lot is being sold through Land Bank. BATVAI.
-
2026-04-03status Active 341-char remark
Show marketing remark (341 chars)
Welcome to the fully renovated Highland Park Gem! 3 beds, 1 bath, open layouts and tons of light. Proximity to Palmer Park, Ferndale and Livernois restaurants and shops, and ten minute drive downtown. Great opportunity for a house hack in an up and coming area or investment opportunity! Adjacent lot is being sold through Land Bank. BATVAI.
-
2026-03-23historical Accepting Backup Offers 341-char remark
Show marketing remark (341 chars)
Welcome to the fully renovated Highland Park Gem! 3 beds, 1 bath, open layouts and tons of light. Proximity to Palmer Park, Ferndale and Livernois restaurants and shops, and ten minute drive downtown. Great opportunity for a house hack in an up and coming area or investment opportunity! Adjacent lot is being sold through Land Bank. BATVAI.
-
2026-03-23historical Active Under Contract 341-char remark
Show marketing remark (341 chars)
Welcome to the fully renovated Highland Park Gem! 3 beds, 1 bath, open layouts and tons of light. Proximity to Palmer Park, Ferndale and Livernois restaurants and shops, and ten minute drive downtown. Great opportunity for a house hack in an up and coming area or investment opportunity! Adjacent lot is being sold through Land Bank. BATVAI.
-
2026-03-13$225,000 Active 341-char remark
Show marketing remark (341 chars)
Welcome to the fully renovated Highland Park Gem! 3 beds, 1 bath, open layouts and tons of light. Proximity to Palmer Park, Ferndale and Livernois restaurants and shops, and ten minute drive downtown. Great opportunity for a house hack in an up and coming area or investment opportunity! Adjacent lot is being sold through Land Bank. BATVAI.
-
2026-03-13$225,000 Active 341-char remark
Show marketing remark (341 chars)
Welcome to the fully renovated Highland Park Gem! 3 beds, 1 bath, open layouts and tons of light. Proximity to Palmer Park, Ferndale and Livernois restaurants and shops, and ten minute drive downtown. Great opportunity for a house hack in an up and coming area or investment opportunity! Adjacent lot is being sold through Land Bank. BATVAI.
-
2026-03-11historical $225,000 341-char remark
Show marketing remark (341 chars)
Welcome to the fully renovated Highland Park Gem! 3 beds, 1 bath, open layouts and tons of light. Proximity to Palmer Park, Ferndale and Livernois restaurants and shops, and ten minute drive downtown. Great opportunity for a house hack in an up and coming area or investment opportunity! Adjacent lot is being sold through Land Bank. BATVAI.
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2000-05-31soldstatus $7,000
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2000-04-21$7,000
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1999-08-22historical
-
1999-07-27$8,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,009 · $84/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,037 · $170/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,028/yr (+$86/mo · 101.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,714
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,147
- − Property taxes
- −$1,009
- − Insurance
- −$995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,577
- − Management
- −$1,577
- − Depreciation
- −$5,789
- Taxable loss
- −$2,380
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$571
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,618/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Highland Park
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #214
- US rank
- #5271
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Highland Park, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,049
- Household income
- $38,404
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1192.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 85% White 8% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -90.13%
- Current HPI
- 297.0176
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+2650.0% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $220,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $220,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-03 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-03 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-23 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-23 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-13 Listed $225,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-13 Listed $225,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-11 Coming Soon $225,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2000-05-31 Sold (MLS) $7,000 REALCOMP
- 2000-04-21 Listed $7,000 REALCOMP
- 1999-08-22 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 1999-07-27 Listed $8,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
-5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,009 · -18.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…