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130 Hagen St
B- Composite 67.55
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.7/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Appreciation +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0

$58,900

130 Hagen St · Johnstown, PA 15906
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,316 sqft · SingleFamily · 77 Days on market
4,356 sqft lot $45/sqft · 6% above area Est $55k · 6% over ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 130 Hagen Street! Enjoy the warm weather and blossoms from your front porch with great views of the surrounding hills or meander around the nice, manageable size yard w/ gardens. This well kept home features pretty woodwork throughout, spacious rooms and a walk up attic that could suit many different uses. There are 3 bedrooms on the second floor and the full bath. The main floor has a bonus room off the front porch that could be an extra bedroom, den, office or whatever you desire! The unfinished basement has a half bath, washer and dryer, furnace, 2015 hot water heater and workshop area. Roof was put on in 2010. Painting and recent electrical updates/maintenance have been completed and the furnace was just cleaned. Tour this today!

Key facts

  • Walk up attic
  • Manageable size yard
  • Front porch

Tags

FRONT PORCHGREAT VIEWSMANAGEABLE SIZE YARDWALK UP ATTICBONUS ROOMUNFINISHED BASEMENT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $59k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $251 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($844 rent vs $59k).
  • Recommended offer: $55k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 15.0% in Johnstown — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#363 in PA, #3,168 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
  • Greater Johnstown SD (urban): math 9% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #509 of 539 in PA (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 64 units permitted in Cambria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $407 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cambria County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $55,366 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.43%
Cap rate
11.41%
Cash-on-cash
18.27%
DSCR
1.81
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$55,433
List price
$58,900
Delta
6.25%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
77 Boyer St 0.03mi 3/2.0 1,236 (-6%) 6mo $39,500 $32 82
318 Vaughn St 0.33mi 3/1.0 1,374 (+4%) 2mo $23,000 $17 74
419 Beatrice Ave 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,392 (+6%) 4mo $65,900 $47 63
426 Decker Ave 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,318 (+0%) 8mo $65,720 $50 59
344 Decker Ave 0.60mi 3/1.0 1,379 (+5%) 10mo $22,000 $16 53
355 Corinne St 0.60mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,254 (-5%) 6mo $52,500 $42 52
201 Blaine St 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,434 (+9%) 4mo $52,000 $36 50
440 Boyer St 0.47mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,152 (-12%) 5mo $40,000 $35 46
166 Stone St 0.58mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,181 (-10%) 6mo $42,000 $36 44
124 Bheam Ave 0.60mi 3/1.5 1,506 (+14%) 8mo $42,000 $28 41
1315 Maryland Ave 0.68mi 3/1.5 1,464 (+11%) 11mo $52,500 $36 40
519 Benshoff Hill Rd Rd 0.69mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,502 (+14%) 4mo $80,000 $53 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.9%
Equity multiple
1.39×
Total profit
$6,468
Equity at exit
$8,782
10-year hold
IRR
19.1%
Equity multiple
2.59×
Total profit
$26,300
Equity at exit
$5,093

Cash invested: $16,492 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15906

Home prices YoY
-4.0%
Active inventory
47
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$844 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$309
Tax from tax record
$82 /mo · $982/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$177
Net cashflow
$251

Break-even live

Break-even rent $526
Max offer price $58,900
Occupancy floor 65%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,725
Closing costs
$1,767
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
444 Stone St Unit 444 Johnstown, PA 2.0 1.0 950 $700 $0.74 23d 1 0.42mi
459 Stone St Johnstown, PA 3.0 1.0 1120 $900 $0.80 23d 1 0.43mi
444 Stone St Johnstown, PA 2.0 1.0 908 $700 $0.77 43d 1 0.44mi
213 Stone St Johnstown, PA 2.0 1.0 989 $1,100 $1.11 23d 1 0.53mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $58,900 Active 77 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $58,900 Active 76 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $58,900 Active 75 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $58,900 Active 74 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $58,900 Active 73 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $58,900 Active 71 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $58,900 Active 70 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $58,900 Active 67 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $58,900 Active 66 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $58,900 Active 65 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $58,900 Active 62 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $58,900 Active 60 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $58,900 Active 59 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $58,900 Active 58 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $58,900 Active 57 DOM
  16. 2026-04-22
    price $59,999 754-char remark
    Show marketing remark (754 chars)

    Welcome to 130 Hagen Street! Enjoy the warm weather and blossoms from your front porch with great views of the surrounding hills or meander around the nice, manageable size yard w/ gardens. This well kept home features pretty woodwork throughout, spacious rooms and a walk up attic that could suit many different uses. There are 3 bedrooms on the second floor and the full bath. The main floor has a bonus room off the front porch that could be an extra bedroom, den, office or whatever you desire! The unfinished basement has a half bath, washer and dryer, furnace, 2015 hot water heater and workshop area. Roof was put on in 2010. Painting and recent electrical updates/maintenance have been completed and the furnace was just cleaned. Tour this today!

  17. 2026-04-16
    status Active 754-char remark
    Show marketing remark (754 chars)

    Welcome to 130 Hagen Street! Enjoy the warm weather and blossoms from your front porch with great views of the surrounding hills or meander around the nice, manageable size yard w/ gardens. This well kept home features pretty woodwork throughout, spacious rooms and a walk up attic that could suit many different uses. There are 3 bedrooms on the second floor and the full bath. The main floor has a bonus room off the front porch that could be an extra bedroom, den, office or whatever you desire! The unfinished basement has a half bath, washer and dryer, furnace, 2015 hot water heater and workshop area. Roof was put on in 2010. Painting and recent electrical updates/maintenance have been completed and the furnace was just cleaned. Tour this today!

  18. 2026-04-10
    historical Active Under Contract 754-char remark
    Show marketing remark (754 chars)

    Welcome to 130 Hagen Street! Enjoy the warm weather and blossoms from your front porch with great views of the surrounding hills or meander around the nice, manageable size yard w/ gardens. This well kept home features pretty woodwork throughout, spacious rooms and a walk up attic that could suit many different uses. There are 3 bedrooms on the second floor and the full bath. The main floor has a bonus room off the front porch that could be an extra bedroom, den, office or whatever you desire! The unfinished basement has a half bath, washer and dryer, furnace, 2015 hot water heater and workshop area. Roof was put on in 2010. Painting and recent electrical updates/maintenance have been completed and the furnace was just cleaned. Tour this today!

  19. 2026-04-02
    listed $63,500 Active 754-char remark
    Show marketing remark (754 chars)

    Welcome to 130 Hagen Street! Enjoy the warm weather and blossoms from your front porch with great views of the surrounding hills or meander around the nice, manageable size yard w/ gardens. This well kept home features pretty woodwork throughout, spacious rooms and a walk up attic that could suit many different uses. There are 3 bedrooms on the second floor and the full bath. The main floor has a bonus room off the front porch that could be an extra bedroom, den, office or whatever you desire! The unfinished basement has a half bath, washer and dryer, furnace, 2015 hot water heater and workshop area. Roof was put on in 2010. Painting and recent electrical updates/maintenance have been completed and the furnace was just cleaned. Tour this today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$982 · $82/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$982 · $82/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,122
− Mortgage interest
−$3,299
− Property taxes
−$982
− Insurance
−$294
− Repairs & maintenance
−$810
− Management
−$810
− Depreciation
−$1,713
Taxable income
$2,213
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$531
After-tax cash flow
$2,482/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Greater Johnstown SD
NCES district ID
4210950
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$27,890
Composite
13.25/100
National rank
#9550
State rank
#509 of 539 in PA

Livability — Johnstown

Score
77/100
State rank
#363
US rank
#3168

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Johnstown, PA
City population
30,791
Population (ZIP)
9,654

Population outlook (Cambria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
122,754 people
By 2030
115,827 · -5.6%
By 2040
101,309 · -17.5%
By 2050
88,379 · -28.0%
By 2075
65,237 · -46.9%
By 2100
46,909 · -61.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Black 11% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Polish 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cambria

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.8% · R 69.5%
2008→2024 swing
-40.4pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -39.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.7 2020: R+37.3 2016: R+37.8 2012: R+17.8 2008: D+0.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -3.26%
Current HPI
77.6797
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.5% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $59,999 CSMLS
  • 2026-04-16 Relisted CSMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Contingent CSMLS
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $63,500 CSMLS

Property tax history

+0.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $982 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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