2611 S 288th St #2 · Federal Way, WA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +4.4/15.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Desirable ParkWood Lane 55+ Community is the location of this home that has " Pizzazz "and design all in one. All the modern bells & whistles is what you get here! Upgrades Galore!! Roof, Vinyl windows, Gutters, Siding, Tie Downs. Newer HVAC Hot water tank, Electrical, Plumbing, Carpet, Flooring & more! The new kitchen is a Chefs Delight. The" L" shaped island has custom cabinets including a mixer lift & stowaway area. Built in wine rack for your convenience. All the cabinets & drawers are easy close with pullouts. Stainless steel appliances & double deep sink plus a coffee bar or butler station. Enjoy the L & I Certified pellet stove
Key facts
- Upgrades galore
- New kitchen
- Custom cabinets
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $145k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.2% vs local median 2.7% in Federal Way — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#221 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, cost of living F.
- Federal Way School District (suburban): math 35% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #207 of 291 in WA (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 231 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,026/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($75k/yr) (locally 2895% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.47%
- DSCR
- 2.89
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $139,825
- List price
- $149,500
- Delta
- 6.92%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.63×
- Total profit
- $68,071
- Equity at exit
- $22,291
- IRR
- 44.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.12×
- Total profit
- $172,442
- Equity at exit
- $12,926
Cash invested: $41,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98003
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 231
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,026 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$784
- Tax from tax record
- −$62 /mo · $750/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$635
- Net cashflow
- $1,481
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,375
- Closing costs
- $4,485
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29305 33rd Ave S Auburn, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1320 | $2,875 | $2.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 2012 S 282nd Pl Federal Way, WA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $3,150 | $2.10 | 3d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 3231 S 299th St Auburn, WA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1800 | $3,495 | $1.94 | 5d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 28606 Pacific Hwy S Federal Way, WA | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1138 | $2,262 | $1.99 | 5d | 3 | 0.69mi |
| 28015 39th Ave S Auburn, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2620 | $3,650 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 4216 S 297th Pl Auburn, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1440 | $3,000 | $2.08 | 21d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 4320 S 296th Pl Auburn, WA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1780 | $3,200 | $1.80 | 18d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 927 S 294th Pl Federal Way, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2490 | $4,297 | $1.73 | 43d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2717 S 268th Pl Kent, WA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1550 | $3,390 | $2.19 | 5d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 26638 18th Pl S Des Moines, WA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1270 | $3,200 | $2.52 | 1d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- waterelectric
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-16status $149,500 Pending 47 DOM
-
2026-05-07status Pending - Backup Offer Requested
-
2026-04-14status Active
-
2026-04-08status Pending - Backup Offer Requested
-
2026-03-13$149,500 Active
-
1994-06-14soldstatus $1,481,166
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $750 · $62/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,465 · $122/mo
- Expected delta
- +$715/yr (+$60/mo · 95.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,307
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,374
- − Property taxes
- −$750
- − Insurance
- −$748
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,905
- − Management
- −$2,905
- − Depreciation
- −$4,349
- Taxable income
- $16,277
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,906
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,871/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Federal Way School District
- NCES district ID
- 5302820
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,594
- Composite
- 38.79/100
- National rank
- #8361
- State rank
- #207 of 291 in WA
Livability — Federal Way
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #221
- US rank
- #6403
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Federal Way, WA
- County
- King County · 2,251,916 people
- City population
- 102,067
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,619
- Household income
- $75,319
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2895.0
Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,576,485 people
- By 2030
- 2,803,316 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 3,255,921 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 3,706,444 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 4,746,063 · +84.2%
- By 2100
- 5,407,730 · +109.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.79)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 32% Hispanic / Latino 23% Black 19% Two or more races 16% Asian 13% Pacific Islander 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 2% Swedish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 32% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 57% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · King
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -623.87%
- Current HPI
- 327.5371
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.33%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
-89.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-14 Relisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-08 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-13 Listed $149,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1994-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $1,481,166 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2025): $750 · +7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…