931 W 14th · Ada, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$34,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor alert! This one has been stripped down to the studs and is ready to be revived. It features 2 covered porches, detached garage w electric opener & work or storage area and a spacious backyard.
Key facts
- Covered porches
- Spacious backyard
- Work or storage area
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Sidewalks in the community
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage with storage and a workshop area
- Security: No safety shelter
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Cable available; Phone available
- Home design: Single-story home
- Construction: Vinyl siding with wood frame construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built in public-records year (year built source: public records)
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Chain link fencing; Mature trees on the lot; North-facing property
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Aluminum-framed windows; No additional interior features listed
- Laundry & utility: No hot water (reported appliance condition)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $680 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
- Recommended offer: $32k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 29.7% vs local median 4.0% in Ada — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#41 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools D, employment D, crime D-.
- Ada (town): math 17% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #177 of 270 in OK (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 305 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Pontotoc County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $241 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pontotoc County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($32k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 29.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 83.49%
- DSCR
- 4.71
- GRM
- 2.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $62,634
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 928 W 12th | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 880 (+3%) | 8mo | $11,300 | $13 | 76 |
| 216 Maywood | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 | 780 (-9%) | 8mo | $40,000 | $51 | 73 |
| 817 Charles | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 850 (-1%) | 1mo | $133,000 | $156 | 67 |
| 727 W 16th | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 816 (-5%) | 14mo | $59,500 | $73 | 64 |
| 711 W 8th | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 915 (+7%) | 3mo | $95,000 | $104 | 64 |
| 619 W 14th St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 934 (+9%) | 6mo | $109,500 | $117 | 62 |
| 328 W 13th | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 864 (+1%) | 16mo | $50,000 | $58 | 54 |
| 628 W 19th St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 916 (+7%) | 11mo | $65,000 | $71 | 54 |
| 804 W 10th | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 975 (+14%) | 10mo | $69,250 | $71 | 47 |
| 514 S Johnston | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 931 (+8%) | 15mo | $98,500 | $106 | 46 |
| 511 S Cherry St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 952 (+11%) | 16mo | $28,000 | $29 | 44 |
| 618 Bluff | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 816 (-5%) | 16mo | $130,000 | $159 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.83% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 85.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.07×
- Total profit
- $39,761
- Equity at exit
- $5,204
- IRR
- 89.4%
- Equity multiple
- 11.17×
- Total profit
- $99,383
- Equity at exit
- $3,018
Cash invested: $9,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74820
- Home prices YoY
- -11.5%
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 305
- Price-to-rent
- 2.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,128 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$183
- Tax from tax record
- −$13 /mo · $161/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$237
- Net cashflow
- $680
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $700 | -5% $690 | +0% $680 | +5% $670 | +10% $660 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $591 | -5% $635 | +0% $680 | +5% $724 | +10% $769 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $697 | -0.5pp $689 | base $680 | +0.5pp $671 | +1.0pp $662 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,725
- Closing costs
- $1,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $34,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $34,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $34,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $34,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $34,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $34,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $34,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $34,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $34,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $34,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $34,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $34,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $34,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $34,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $34,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-03-04$34,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $161 · $13/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $314 · $26/mo
- Expected delta
- +$153/yr (+$13/mo · 95.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,532
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,955
- − Property taxes
- −$161
- − Insurance
- −$174
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,083
- − Management
- −$1,083
- − Depreciation
- −$1,015
- Taxable income
- $8,062
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,935
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,224/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ada
- NCES district ID
- 4002430
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,907
- Composite
- 16.36/100
- National rank
- #9203
- State rank
- #177 of 270 in OK
Livability — Ada
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #41
- US rank
- #7835
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ada, OK
- County
- Pontotoc County · 31,943 people
- City population
- 31,943
- Metro
- Ada, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,943
- Household income
- $62,357
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 774.0
Population outlook (Pontotoc County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 39,521 people
- By 2030
- 40,140 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 41,242 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 42,293 · +7.0%
- By 2075
- 44,678 · +13.0%
- By 2100
- 46,015 · +16.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Native American 19% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pontotoc
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.6) · D 25.7% · R 72.3% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.9pp toward R · 2008: -36.7pp · 2024: -46.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.6 2020: R+43.7 2016: R+45.8 2012: R+38.8 2008: R+36.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -32.45%
- Current HPI
- 250.7685
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.83%
- Metro
- Ada, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-04 Listed $34,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
Property tax history
+75.9%/yrLatest (2025): $161 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…