721 Bluff Creek Dr · Fortville, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.0/30.0
- ARV discount +9.6/15.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$320,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
HUD HOME SOLD IN AS IS CONDITION. CASE NUMBER 151 760976. INSURED STATUS; IN 203K ELIGIBLE. HOA FEE 470 PER YEAR.THE HOA MAY HAVE RESTRICTIVE COVENANTS TO OWNER OCCUPANCY OWNERSHIP AS IT RELATES TO RENTING/LEASING. INVESTOR BIDDERS SHOULD COMPLETE FURTHER RESEARCH REGARDING COVENANT RESTRICTIONS PRIOR TO PLACING A BID AND/OR SIGNING A PURCHASE AGREEMENT ON THIS PROPERTY.
Key facts
- Walk-in closet
- Gas fireplace
- Bonus room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Corner lot with sidewalks; Lot size approximately 0.16 acres
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with an annual fee of $125
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Municipal sewer connection; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level plus loft; Has a view; Accessible entrance
- Construction: Vinyl siding with brick; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Mini barn on the property; Complete privacy fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level; Primary bedroom with walk-in closet
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Vaulted and cathedral ceilings; Walk-in closet(s); Great Room fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Accessible full bath (accessibility feature)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $320k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $44 ($526/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $253k (20.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $253k (20.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.2% in Fortville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#189 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Mt Vernon Community School Corporation (rural): math 43% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #70 of 301 in IN (top 23%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Fortville Elementary School (math 50% / reading 46%, grade D, #314 of 994 statewide, top 32%, 719 students, 31% FRL); Mt Vernon Middle School (math 37% / reading 46%, grade F, #108 of 330 statewide, top 34%, 1,070 students, 31% FRL); Mt Vernon High School (math 41% / reading 71%, grade C, #73 of 369 statewide, top 20%, 1,431 students, 27% FRL).
- Market conditions: 307 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,091 units permitted in Hancock County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hancock County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($310k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $115k; list at $320k implies a 178% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.59%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $335,780
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16402 Sedalia Dr | 0.35mi | 3/2.5 | 2,071 (+0%) | 1mo | $385,000 | $186 | 80 |
| 9770 Sonnette Cir | 0.32mi | 3/2.5 | 2,078 (+1%) | 5mo | $385,000 | $185 | 77 |
| 9823 Pica Dr | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,856 (-10%) | 7mo | $370,000 | $199 | 71 |
| 217 West Dr | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,268 (+10%) | 2mo | $499,900 | $220 | 59 |
| 16331 E 101st St | 0.57mi | 3/2.5 | 1,893 (-8%) | 0mo | $637,500 | $337 | 57 |
| 679 Washington St | 0.74mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,112 (+2%) | 2mo | $345,000 | $163 | 53 |
| 414 W Michigan St | 0.50mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,255 (+10%) | 3mo | $340,000 | $151 | 51 |
| 455 Lincoln Circle East | 0.57mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,255 (+10%) | 7mo | $342,000 | $152 | 45 |
| 481 Lincoln Circle East | 0.57mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,255 (+10%) | 7mo | $345,000 | $153 | 45 |
| 422 W Michigan St | 0.50mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,329 (+13%) | 6mo | $348,000 | $149 | 40 |
| 411 W Michigan St | 0.50mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,329 (+13%) | 6mo | $334,995 | $144 | 40 |
| 412 W Monroe St | 0.61mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,329 (+13%) | 7mo | $348,000 | $149 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-49,179
- Equity at exit
- $47,713
- IRR
- -7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-39,707
- Equity at exit
- $27,668
Cash invested: $89,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46040
- Home prices YoY
- -24.4%
- Active inventory
- 307
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,534 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,678
- Tax from tax record
- −$137 /mo · $1,640/yr
- Insurance
- −$133
- HOA
- −$10
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$532
- Net cashflow
- $44
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $225 | -5% $134 | +0% $44 | +5% $-47 | +10% $-137 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-156 | -5% $-56 | +0% $44 | +5% $144 | +10% $244 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $205 | -0.5pp $125 | base $44 | +0.5pp $-39 | +1.0pp $-123 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $80,000
- Closing costs
- $9,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 405 Thomas Point Dr Fortville, IN | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2132 | $2,995 | $1.40 | 25d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 542 Jefferson St Fortville, IN | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2329 | $2,200 | $0.94 | 0d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 570 Jefferson St Fortville, IN | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2255 | $2,299 | $1.02 | 5d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 412 N Merrill St Fortville, IN | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2560 | $2,250 | $0.88 | 0d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 412 N Merrill St Fortville, IN | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2560 | $2,250 | $0.88 | 4d | 1 | 0.71mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $10 · $120/yr
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21pricedays on market $320,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $329,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $329,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $329,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $329,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $329,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $329,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $329,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $329,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $329,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $329,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $329,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $329,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $329,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $329,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-18$329,000 Active
-
2010-04-25historical 374-char remark
Show marketing remark (374 chars)
HUD HOME SOLD IN AS IS CONDITION. CASE NUMBER 151 760976. INSURED STATUS; IN 203K ELIGIBLE. HOA FEE 470 PER YEAR.THE HOA MAY HAVE RESTRICTIVE COVENANTS TO OWNER OCCUPANCY OWNERSHIP AS IT RELATES TO RENTING/LEASING. INVESTOR BIDDERS SHOULD COMPLETE FURTHER RESEARCH REGARDING COVENANT RESTRICTIONS PRIOR TO PLACING A BID AND/OR SIGNING A PURCHASE AGREEMENT ON THIS PROPERTY.
-
2010-04-19soldstatus $115,000 374-char remark
Show marketing remark (374 chars)
HUD HOME SOLD IN AS IS CONDITION. CASE NUMBER 151 760976. INSURED STATUS; IN 203K ELIGIBLE. HOA FEE 470 PER YEAR.THE HOA MAY HAVE RESTRICTIVE COVENANTS TO OWNER OCCUPANCY OWNERSHIP AS IT RELATES TO RENTING/LEASING. INVESTOR BIDDERS SHOULD COMPLETE FURTHER RESEARCH REGARDING COVENANT RESTRICTIONS PRIOR TO PLACING A BID AND/OR SIGNING A PURCHASE AGREEMENT ON THIS PROPERTY.
-
2010-03-05$110,000 374-char remark
Show marketing remark (374 chars)
HUD HOME SOLD IN AS IS CONDITION. CASE NUMBER 151 760976. INSURED STATUS; IN 203K ELIGIBLE. HOA FEE 470 PER YEAR.THE HOA MAY HAVE RESTRICTIVE COVENANTS TO OWNER OCCUPANCY OWNERSHIP AS IT RELATES TO RENTING/LEASING. INVESTOR BIDDERS SHOULD COMPLETE FURTHER RESEARCH REGARDING COVENANT RESTRICTIONS PRIOR TO PLACING A BID AND/OR SIGNING A PURCHASE AGREEMENT ON THIS PROPERTY.
-
2009-07-22historical
-
2009-04-21$135,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,640 · $137/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,180 · $182/mo
- Expected delta
- +$540/yr (+$45/mo · 32.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,410
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,925
- − Property taxes
- −$1,640
- − Insurance
- −$1,600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,433
- − Management
- −$2,433
- − HOA
- −$120
- − Depreciation
- −$9,309
- Taxable loss
- −$5,050
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,212
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,738/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mt Vernon Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1807260
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $73,671
- Composite
- 41.3/100
- National rank
- #3514
- State rank
- #70 of 301 in IN
Livability — Fortville
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #189
- US rank
- #8710
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fortville, IN
- City population
- 92,467
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,891
Population outlook (Hancock County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 77,820 people
- By 2030
- 79,914 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 82,734 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 83,348 · +7.1%
- By 2075
- 82,439 · +5.9%
- By 2100
- 74,181 · -4.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Black 6% Two or more races 4% Asian 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Romanian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Arabic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hancock
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.7) · D 32.2% · R 65.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.1pp toward R · 2008: -29.6pp · 2024: -33.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.7 2020: R+37.5 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+41.0 2008: R+29.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -71.54%
- Current HPI
- 221.8703
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+143.7% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Listed $329,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-04-25 Listing Removed — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-04-19 Sold (MLS) $115,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-03-05 Listed $110,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-07-22 Listing Removed — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-04-21 Listed $135,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,640 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…