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205 S 54th St #10 🏷️ Likely Rental
C- Composite 52.41
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$24,900

205 S 54th St #10 · Springfield, OR 97478
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 390 sqft · Manufactured public records · 63 Days on market
Built 1966 $64/sqft · 22% below area Est $35k · 28% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Adorable and move-in ready 1-bedroom, 1-bath manufactured home in Chalet Village, a vibrant 55+ community rich with amenities! Built in 1966, this charming home has been thoughtfully updated with newer double-pane windows, vinyl plank flooring, fresh interior paint, and beautiful granite countertops.Enjoy easy access with a wheelchair ramp leading to the front door, plus a fully fenced yard. This home features forced air heating and wall A/C units for year-round comfort. Outside, you’ll find a covered carport with two convenient storage sheds, along with a cozy covered patio seating area—perfect for relaxing.Offered at under $30,000, this low-maintenance home can even be sold furnished, making it an excellent option for those looking to relocate or enjoy a fresh start. Chalet Village offers a welcoming, connected lifestyle with amenities including a clubhouse with a community kitchen, dining hall, TV lounge, pool tables, a coin operated laundry facility, saunas and a seasonal pool. Space rent is $1,015/month; buyer must be park-approved. Don’t miss this affordable opportunity—schedule your private tour today!

Key facts

  • Covered carport
  • Covered patio
  • Wheelchair ramp

Tags

WHEELCHAIR RAMPFULLY FENCED YARDCOVERED CARPORTSTORAGE SHEDSCOVERED PATIO

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $24,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$34,519) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $25k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $838 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
  • Recommended offer: $23k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 46.7% vs local median 3.0% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#40 in OR, #934 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D+, employment D+.
  • Springfield SD 19 (suburban): math 19% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #48 of 58 in OR (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 263 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,808 units permitted in Lane County in 2024 (972 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $172 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $747 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lane County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($23k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $8k; list at $25k implies a 232% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $23,406 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.14%
Cap rate
46.69%
Cash-on-cash
144.27%
DSCR
7.42
GRM
1.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$34,519
List price
$24,900
Delta
-27.87%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.38% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
8.15×
Total profit
$49,860
Equity at exit
$3,713
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
17.39×
Total profit
$114,266
Equity at exit
$2,153

Cash invested: $6,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Oregon
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

ZIP-level market 97478

Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
263
Price-to-rent
1.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,279 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$131
Tax est. 1.5%
$31 /mo · $374/yr
Insurance
$10
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$269
Net cashflow
$838

Break-even live

Break-even rent $218
Max offer price $24,900
Occupancy floor 29%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $855 -5% $847 +0% $838 +5% $830 +10% $821
Rent -10% $737 -5% $788 +0% $838 +5% $889 +10% $939
Rate -1.0pp $851 -0.5pp $845 base $838 +0.5pp $832 +1.0pp $825

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,225
Closing costs
$747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $24,900 Active 63 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $24,900 Active 62 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $24,900 Active 61 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $24,900 Active 60 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    pricedays on market $24,900 Active 58 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $29,900 Active 55 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $29,900 Active 54 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $29,900 Active 53 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $29,900 Active 52 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $29,900 Active 48 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $29,900 Active 47 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $29,900 Active 46 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $29,900 Active 45 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $29,900 Active 44 DOM
  15. 2026-04-16
    listed $29,900 Active 1152-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1152 chars)

    Adorable and move-in ready 1-bedroom, 1-bath manufactured home in Chalet Village, a vibrant 55+ community rich with amenities! Built in 1966, this charming home has been thoughtfully updated with newer double-pane windows, vinyl plank flooring, fresh interior paint, and beautiful granite countertops.Enjoy easy access with a wheelchair ramp leading to the front door, plus a fully fenced yard. This home features forced air heating and wall A/C units for year-round comfort. Outside, you’ll find a covered carport with two convenient storage sheds, along with a cozy covered patio seating area—perfect for relaxing.Offered at under $30,000, this low-maintenance home can even be sold furnished, making it an excellent option for those looking to relocate or enjoy a fresh start. Chalet Village offers a welcoming, connected lifestyle with amenities including a clubhouse with a community kitchen, dining hall, TV lounge, pool tables, a coin operated laundry facility, saunas and a seasonal pool. Space rent is $1,015/month; buyer must be park-approved. Don’t miss this affordable opportunity—schedule your private tour today!

  16. 2018-11-06
    soldstatus $7,500 Sold 305-char remark
    Show marketing remark (305 chars)

    Cute home in 55+ community with a newer membrane roof, newer paint, laminate flooring, vinyl flooring and windows. Nice granite kitchen countertops too. Must be park approved in this 55+ community. HOA dues include party room, pool and laundry facilities. Call to schedule your viewing appointment soon!

  17. 2018-10-26
    status Pending 305-char remark
    Show marketing remark (305 chars)

    Cute home in 55+ community with a newer membrane roof, newer paint, laminate flooring, vinyl flooring and windows. Nice granite kitchen countertops too. Must be park approved in this 55+ community. HOA dues include party room, pool and laundry facilities. Call to schedule your viewing appointment soon!

  18. 2018-10-24
    price $9,000 305-char remark
    Show marketing remark (305 chars)

    Cute home in 55+ community with a newer membrane roof, newer paint, laminate flooring, vinyl flooring and windows. Nice granite kitchen countertops too. Must be park approved in this 55+ community. HOA dues include party room, pool and laundry facilities. Call to schedule your viewing appointment soon!

  19. 2018-08-31
    listed $13,500 Active 305-char remark
    Show marketing remark (305 chars)

    Cute home in 55+ community with a newer membrane roof, newer paint, laminate flooring, vinyl flooring and windows. Nice granite kitchen countertops too. Must be park approved in this 55+ community. HOA dues include party room, pool and laundry facilities. Call to schedule your viewing appointment soon!

  20. 2017-11-21
    soldstatus $13,000 Sold
  21. 2017-11-17
    status Pending
  22. 2017-11-01
    historical
  23. 2017-10-23
    price $13,000
  24. 2017-09-18
    listed $14,000 Active
  25. 2017-09-18
    status Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,346
− Mortgage interest
−$1,395
− Property taxes
−$374
− Insurance
−$124
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,228
− Management
−$1,228
− Depreciation
−$724
Taxable income
$10,273
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,466
After-tax cash flow
$7,593/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Springfield SD 19
NCES district ID
4111670
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$42,236
Composite
24.14/100
National rank
#7746
State rank
#48 of 58 in OR

Livability — Springfield

Score
83/100
State rank
#40
US rank
#934

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime D+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Springfield, OR
County
Lane County · 310,476 people
City population
76,907
Metro
Eugene-Springfield, OR
Population (ZIP)
39,373
Household income
$80,086
Rent vs Own
31.0% rent · 69.0% own
Severe rent burden
904.0

Population outlook (Lane County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
391,933 people
By 2030
405,860 · +3.6%
By 2040
429,386 · +9.6%
By 2050
452,016 · +15.3%
By 2075
508,825 · +29.8%
By 2100
531,208 · +35.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9% Native American 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 3%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lane

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.1) · D 60.0% · R 36.9% · Other 3.1%
2008→2024 swing
-4.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.4pp · 2024: 23.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.1 2020: D+24.3 2016: D+18.9 2012: D+23.4 2008: D+27.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -395.83%
Current HPI
302.9203
Rent YoY
▲ 3.38%
Metro
Eugene-Springfield, OR
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+113.6% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $29,900 RMLS
  • 2018-11-06 Sold (MLS) $7,500 RMLS
  • 2018-10-26 Pending RMLS
  • 2018-10-24 Price Changed $9,000 RMLS
  • 2018-08-31 Listed $13,500 RMLS
  • 2017-11-21 Sold (MLS) $13,000 RMLS
  • 2017-11-17 Pending RMLS
  • 2017-11-01 Delisted RMLS
  • 2017-10-23 Price Changed $13,000 RMLS
  • 2017-09-18 Listed $14,000 RMLS
  • 2017-09-18 Relisted RMLS

Property tax history

-34.0%/yr

Latest (2015): $6 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…