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4196 Post Oak Grv
C Composite 56.03
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.3/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$294,900

4196 Post Oak Grv · South Fulton, GA 30349
5 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,556 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 11 Days on market
Built 2006 0.29 ac lot Est $330k · 11% under $11/mo HOA

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome home to this charming, two-story traditional residence in the sought-after Cooks Landing community. The inviting brick-front exterior leads into a bright, open floor plan featuring a spacious kitchen with a breakfast bar that overlooks the cozy family room and its gas-starter fireplace. Upstairs, find a convenient laundry room and four generous bedrooms, including a primary suite with a double vanity and walk-in closet. Relax on the private rear patio or enjoy the covered front porch

Key facts

  • Spacious kitchen
  • Cozy family room
  • Brick-front exterior

Tags

BRICK-FRONT EXTERIORSPACIOUS KITCHENBREAKFAST BARCOZY FAMILY ROOMGAS-STARTER FIREPLACECONVENIENT LAUNDRY ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Has association; Association fee $132 (does not include services)

Exterior

  • Parking: Garage; Parking for 2 vehicles
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Other utilities
  • Home design: Single-family residence; House structure; Resale property
  • Construction: Built in 2006; Brick and concrete construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen island; Pantry; Other appliances
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (includes 1 main-level bathroom)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms; 1 bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Two-level layout; Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry area (other features)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $295k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $4 ($53/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $268k (9.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $268k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.6% in South Fulton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Fulton County (suburban): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #12 of 174 in GA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Wolf Creek Elementary (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #633 of 1,228 statewide, top 54%, 797 students, 56% FRL); Renaissance Middle School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #301 of 470 statewide, top 66%, 1,166 students, 71% FRL); Langston Hughes High School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #336 of 424 statewide, top 80%, 1,964 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools average 64% FRL vs 41% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 22% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-29 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Fulton County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 651 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,682/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 4258% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $29k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.9% rent growth), your $83k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$51k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $268,213 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
6.31%
Cash-on-cash
0.06%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$329,724
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4137 Marshwood Trce 0.23mi 4/3.5 (-1) 2,666 (+4%) 1mo $345,000 $129 74
4247 Butternut Pl 0.35mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,748 (+8%) 6mo $190,000 $69 61
158 Newry Dr 0.41mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,400 (-6%) 21mo $400,000 $167 46
6674 Overlook Rdg 0.40mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,910 (+14%) 14mo $348,000 $120 39
4207 Fortune Pt 0.71mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,307 (-10%) 12mo $337,000 $146 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.95% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.6%
Equity multiple
2.88×
Total profit
$155,558
Equity at exit
$265,669
10-year hold
IRR
20.5%
Equity multiple
6.42×
Total profit
$447,939
Equity at exit
$572,926

Cash invested: $82,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30349

Home prices YoY
4.6%
Rents YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
651
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,682 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,546
Tax from tax record
$434 /mo · $5,209/yr
Insurance
$123
HOA
$11
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$563
Net cashflow
$4

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,677
Max offer price $294,900
Occupancy floor 95%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$73,725
Closing costs
$8,847
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4341 Estate St Atlanta, GA 4.0 3.0 1885 $2,400 $1.27 5d 1 0.22mi
625 Blueangel Dr Atlanta, GA 4.0 2.5 2514 $2,670 $1.06 43d 1 0.24mi
6469 Snowden Dr Atlanta, GA 5.0 3.0 2487 $2,579 $1.04 2d 1 0.34mi
6496 Snowden Dr Atlanta, GA 5.0 2.5 2730 $2,551 $0.93 2d 1 0.42mi
6802 Fireside Ln Atlanta, GA 4.0 2.0 2664 $2,525 $0.95 24d 1 0.65mi
6876 Foxfire Pl Atlanta, GA 5.0 3.0 2990 $2,700 $0.90 43d 1 0.79mi
4551 Derby Loop Fairburn, GA 4.0 2.0 2152 $2,099 $0.98 43d 1 0.96mi
4377 Montberry Ln Fairburn, GA 5.0 3.5 2896 $3,200 $1.10 24d 1 1.10mi
965 Athena Bnd Fairburn, GA 4.0 2.5 3104 $3,100 $1.00 17d 1 1.24mi
1087 Sly Fox Run Fairburn, GA 4.0 2.5 3736 $2,841 $0.76 24d 1 1.24mi
1124 Sly Fox Run Fairburn, GA 5.0 4.0 3064 $3,750 $1.22 43d 1 1.26mi
7571 Deerridge Way Fairburn, GA 5.0 4.0 3136 $3,049 $0.97 43d 1 1.34mi
5055 Southwood Rd Fairburn, GA 3.0–4.0 2.5–3.5 1692 $2,733 $1.61 1d 76 1.44mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$11 · $132/yr
Likely covers
gas

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    statusdays on market $294,900 Under Contract 11 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $294,900 New 10 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $294,900 New 9 DOM
  4. 2026-05-22
    listed $294,900 New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,209 · $434/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,209 · $434/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,186
− Mortgage interest
−$16,519
− Property taxes
−$5,209
− Insurance
−$1,474
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,575
− Management
−$2,575
− HOA
−$132
− Depreciation
−$8,579
Taxable loss
−$4,878
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,171
After-tax cash flow
$1,224/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fulton County
NCES district ID
1302280
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$68,035
Composite
45.33/100
National rank
#2640
State rank
#12 of 174 in GA

Livability — South Fulton

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
South Fulton, GA
County
Fulton County · 1,094,430 people
City population
127,674
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
79,872
Household income
$67,023
Rent vs Own
41.2% rent · 58.8% own
Severe rent burden
4258.0

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,203,707 people
By 2030
1,299,706 · +8.0%
By 2040
1,488,256 · +23.6%
By 2050
1,664,580 · +38.3%
By 2075
2,036,072 · +69.2%
By 2100
2,222,402 · +84.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (89%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 89% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% White 3%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

2024 margin
Solid D (+44.9) · D 71.9% · R 27.0% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+9.8pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 44.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+44.9 2020: D+46.4 2016: D+42.1 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+35.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 18.01%
Current HPI
407.99
Rent YoY
▲ 0.95%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $294,900 GAMLS

Property tax history

+4.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,209 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…