3027 SE Belmont St · Portland, OR
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 19 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +9.7/30.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- DSCR +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$479,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 1903 Craftsman elevated above the street, blending timeless character with comfortable everyday living. A spacious, covered front porch welcomes you in. Inside, tall ceilings and abundant natural light create an airy, inviting feel throughout the 1,812 square feet of living space. The main level offers generous living and dining areas with great flow, along with a functional kitchen ready for your personal touch. Three bedrooms and one and a half bathrooms provide flexibility for everyday living, guests, or a home office. Period charm shines through, offering the perfect opportunity to preserve its historic appeal or thoughtfully update over time. Downstairs, the 709 square foot unfinished basement adds incredible potential—ideal for storage, a workshop, or ADU potential. Out back, enjoy a nicely sized yard with room to garden, entertain, or create your own private outdoor retreat. A rare opportunity to own a classic home ready for its next chapter!
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Functional kitchen
- Tall ceilings
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $480k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-372 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $414k (13.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $380k (20.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $380k (20.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 2.2% in Portland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#72 in OR, #3,256 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Portland SD 1J (urban): math 46% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #23 of 183 in OR (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Richmond Elementary School (539 students, 5% FRL); Da Vinci Middle School (434 students, 34% FRL); Franklin High School (1,966 students, 37% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 126 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,041 units permitted in Multnomah County in 2024 (905 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,795/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($87k/yr) (locally 1946% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Multnomah County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($451k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $70k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $226k; list at $480k implies a 112% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1903 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1903 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.82%
- DSCR
- 0.87
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $658,747
- List price
- $479,999
- Delta
- -27.13%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2604 SE Washington St | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,833 (+1%) | 2mo | $535,000 | $292 | 77 |
| 3504 SE Alder St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,716 (-5%) | 1mo | $622,500 | $363 | 75 |
| 2805 SE Grant St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,825 (+1%) | 3mo | $567,000 | $311 | 63 |
| 1204 SE 34th Ave | 0.29mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,592 (-12%) | 0mo | $712,900 | $448 | 59 |
| 648 SE 20th Ave | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,953 (+8%) | 1mo | $500,000 | $256 | 59 |
| 2115 SE 26th Ave | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,798 (-1%) | 1mo | $850,000 | $473 | 58 |
| 3632 SE Washington St | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,958 (+8%) | 6mo | $605,000 | $309 | 56 |
| 3851 SE Morrison St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,948 (+8%) | 6mo | $625,000 | $321 | 56 |
| 624 SE 36th Ave | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,588 (-12%) | 8mo | $535,000 | $337 | 54 |
| 3740 SE Main St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,612 (-11%) | 3mo | $650,000 | $403 | 54 |
| 2023 SE Pine St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 2,045 (+13%) | 1mo | $760,000 | $372 | 47 |
| 1615 SE 20th Ave | 0.67mi | 2/3.0 (-1) | 1,994 (+10%) | 7mo | $815,000 | $409 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.20×
- Total profit
- $-107,723
- Equity at exit
- $71,569
- IRR
- -24.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.11×
- Total profit
- $-149,110
- Equity at exit
- $41,502
Cash invested: $134,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Portland
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+39
ZIP-level market 97214
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 126
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,795 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,517
- Tax from tax record
- −$597 /mo · $7,167/yr
- Insurance
- −$200
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$797
- Net cashflow
- $-372
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-100 | -5% $-236 | +0% $-372 | +5% $-508 | +10% $-644 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-672 | -5% $-522 | +0% $-372 | +5% $-222 | +10% $-72 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-130 | -0.5pp $-250 | base $-372 | +0.5pp $-496 | +1.0pp $-623 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $120,000
- Closing costs
- $14,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 915 SE 29th Ave Unit 1309869P Portland, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1399 | $8,187 | $5.85 | 25d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 3523 SE Alder St Portland, OR | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2200 | $4,600 | $2.09 | 15d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 3736 SE Belmont St Portland, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $3,149 | $2.19 | 45d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 3820 SE Belmont St Unit 1309865P Portland, OR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1679 | $11,567 | $6.89 | 45d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1937 SE Stark St Unit 2 Portland, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $3,145 | $2.25 | 25d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 502 NE 29th Ave Unit 1309818P Portland, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2012 | $5,376 | $2.67 | 9d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1902 E Burnside St Portland, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $3,300 | $1.65 | 45d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 514 SE 42nd Ave Portland, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2176 | $6,500 | $2.99 | 9d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1626 SE Belmont St Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1276 | $2,345 | $1.84 | 45d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 348 NE 20th Ave Portland, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $6,000 | $3.33 | 45d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3025 SE Division St Portland, OR | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1392 | $2,695 | $1.94 | 23d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 875 NE 27th Ave Portland, OR | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1462 | $4,900 | $3.35 | 0d | 14 | 0.86mi |
| 1420 SE 44th Ave Portland, OR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1818 | $5,500 | $3.03 | 25d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1327 SE Pine St Unit A Portland, OR | 4.0 | 1.5 | 2000 | $3,480 | $1.74 | 45d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 80 NE 14th Ave Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 854 | $2,701 | $3.16 | 0d | 15 | 0.94mi |
| 1749 SE 46th Ave Portland, OR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $3,795 | $2.11 | 19d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 975 SE 11th Ave Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 884 | $3,161 | $3.57 | 0d | 30 | 1.03mi |
| 2257 SE 43rd Ave Portland, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1468 | $2,745 | $1.87 | 18d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 4004 SE Division St Unit 1309873P Portland, OR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2411 | $6,476 | $2.69 | 3d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 26 NE 11th Ave Unit 1309845P Portland, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2411 | $6,580 | $2.73 | 0d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 3005 SE 25th Ave Portland, OR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $3,200 | $1.88 | 19d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 3556 NE Sandy Blvd Portland, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1700 | $2,995 | $1.76 | 9d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 5506 NE Hoyt St Unit A Portland, OR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1352 | $4,995 | $3.69 | 19d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $479,999 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $479,999 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-18price $479,999 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $499,999 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $499,999 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $499,999 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $499,999 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $499,999 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $499,999 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $499,999 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $499,999 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $499,999 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $499,999 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $499,999 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-05-01price $529,900 978-char remark
Show marketing remark (978 chars)
Charming 1903 Craftsman elevated above the street, blending timeless character with comfortable everyday living. A spacious, covered front porch welcomes you in. Inside, tall ceilings and abundant natural light create an airy, inviting feel throughout the 1,812 square feet of living space. The main level offers generous living and dining areas with great flow, along with a functional kitchen ready for your personal touch. Three bedrooms and one and a half bathrooms provide flexibility for everyday living, guests, or a home office. Period charm shines through, offering the perfect opportunity to preserve its historic appeal or thoughtfully update over time. Downstairs, the 709 square foot unfinished basement adds incredible potential—ideal for storage, a workshop, or ADU potential. Out back, enjoy a nicely sized yard with room to garden, entertain, or create your own private outdoor retreat. A rare opportunity to own a classic home ready for its next chapter!
-
2026-04-11$549,900 Active 978-char remark
Show marketing remark (978 chars)
Charming 1903 Craftsman elevated above the street, blending timeless character with comfortable everyday living. A spacious, covered front porch welcomes you in. Inside, tall ceilings and abundant natural light create an airy, inviting feel throughout the 1,812 square feet of living space. The main level offers generous living and dining areas with great flow, along with a functional kitchen ready for your personal touch. Three bedrooms and one and a half bathrooms provide flexibility for everyday living, guests, or a home office. Period charm shines through, offering the perfect opportunity to preserve its historic appeal or thoughtfully update over time. Downstairs, the 709 square foot unfinished basement adds incredible potential—ideal for storage, a workshop, or ADU potential. Out back, enjoy a nicely sized yard with room to garden, entertain, or create your own private outdoor retreat. A rare opportunity to own a classic home ready for its next chapter!
-
2000-10-30soldstatus $226,500 186-char remark
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
ELELEGANT ARTS & CRAFTS REMODEL. HARDWOODS, WAINSCOTING, PICTURE MOLDINGS WITH TOTALLY UPDATED KITCHEN, BATHS, PLUMBING, ELECTRICAL ROOF AND MORE. COME SEE THIS BEAUTFUL RESTORATION.
-
2000-07-14soldstatus $225,000
-
2000-05-30$229,900 186-char remark
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
ELELEGANT ARTS & CRAFTS REMODEL. HARDWOODS, WAINSCOTING, PICTURE MOLDINGS WITH TOTALLY UPDATED KITCHEN, BATHS, PLUMBING, ELECTRICAL ROOF AND MORE. COME SEE THIS BEAUTFUL RESTORATION.
-
1999-08-19soldstatus $105,000
-
1998-11-10soldstatus $45,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $7,167 · $597/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,167 · $597/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 19 unhealthy d/yr today · 21 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $45,541
- − Mortgage interest
- −$26,887
- − Property taxes
- −$7,167
- − Insurance
- −$3,066
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,643
- − Management
- −$3,643
- − Depreciation
- −$13,964
- Taxable loss
- −$12,831
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,079
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,383/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Portland SD 1J
- NCES district ID
- 4110040
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,851
- Composite
- 47.1/100
- National rank
- #5112
- State rank
- #23 of 183 in OR
Livability — Portland
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #72
- US rank
- #3256
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Portland, OR
- County
- Multnomah County · 786,692 people
- City population
- 774,334
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,714
- Household income
- $87,131
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1946.0
Population outlook (Multnomah County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 930,825 people
- By 2030
- 996,904 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 1,121,379 · +20.5%
- By 2050
- 1,242,124 · +33.4%
- By 2075
- 1,464,431 · +57.3%
- By 2100
- 1,576,181 · +69.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 4% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Multnomah
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+62.1) · D 79.3% · R 17.2% · Other 3.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.0pp toward D · 2008: 56.1pp · 2024: 62.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+62.1 2020: D+61.3 2016: D+58.3 2012: D+54.9 2008: D+56.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -604.86%
- Current HPI
- 326.4709
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.31%
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+1077.6% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $529,900 RMLS
- 2026-04-11 Listed $549,900 RMLS
- 2000-10-30 Sold (MLS) $226,500 RMLS
- 2000-07-14 Sold (Public Records) $225,000 Public Records
- 2000-05-30 Listed $229,900 RMLS
- 1999-08-19 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
- 1998-11-10 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $7,167 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…