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246 Hickory St
D Composite 44.89
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$142,000

246 Hickory St · Kennedy, PA 15136
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,110 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 65 Days on market
Built 1920 10,380 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Enjoy easy one level living in this thoughtfully updated ranch located in the Montour School District. Natural light pours throughout the home, creating a bright and inviting feel across the main living spaces. The kitchen offers a functional layout with a peninsula for additional prep space and seating, along with a convenient walk in pantry for added storage. The flexible floor plan allows bedrooms to easily adapt to your lifestyle, whether used as guest rooms, a home office, playroom, or hobby space. First floor laundry adds everyday convenience, and two full bathrooms include a unique jack & jill style bath for functionality. The spacious front porch offers the perfect place to re

Key facts

  • Updated ranch
  • Flexible floor plan
  • First floor laundry

Tags

ONE LEVEL LIVINGUPDATED RANCHWALK IN PANTRYFLEXIBLE FLOOR PLANFIRST FLOOR LAUNDRYJACK AND JILL STYLE BATH

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking (2 spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story; Resale property; Asphalt roof; Frame construction
  • Construction: Frame construction; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Off-street parking for 2 vehicles; Interior-entry unfinished basement

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Stove; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas); Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Pantry; Window treatments
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Some electric appliances

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $142k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-47 ($-567/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $134k (5.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (13.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $123k (13.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Montour SD (suburban): math 62% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #29 of 539 in PA (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+13.1%/yr); 125 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $982 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $22k; list at $142k implies a 560% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $123,482 (13.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
6.36%
Cash-on-cash
0.25%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$74,370
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2 Willow St 0.22mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,104 (-0%) 8mo $150,000 $136 78
117 Owen St 0.37mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,137 (+2%) 3mo $144,750 $127 71
1128 9th St 0.34mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,160 (+4%) 5mo $60,000 $52 67
46 Kennedy Ln 0.62mi 2/1.5 1,107 (-0%) 2mo $235,000 $212 67
915 Liberty St 0.23mi 2/1.0 1,262 (+14%) 0mo $85,100 $67 66
17 Norwood St 0.24mi 1/1.0 (-1) 957 (-14%) 1mo $63,000 $66 60
1238 Church Ave 0.68mi 2/1.0 1,070 (-4%) 3mo $40,000 $37 60
1214 1/2 3rd St 0.68mi 2/1.0 1,184 (+7%) 8mo $36,500 $31 50
425 Macarthur St 0.58mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,220 (+10%) 6mo $170,000 $139 47
214 Sarah St 0.50mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,240 (+12%) 7mo $70,000 $56 46
807 6th St 0.71mi 3/1.0 (+1) 990 (-11%) 1mo $24,000 $24 43
601 Hillcrest Ave 0.56mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,224 (+10%) 7mo $165,000 $135 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.0%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-19,450
Equity at exit
$21,173
10-year hold
IRR
2.6%
Equity multiple
1.23×
Total profit
$9,068
Equity at exit
$12,278

Cash invested: $39,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15136

Home prices YoY
-30.4%
Rents YoY
13.1%
Active inventory
125
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,235 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$745
Tax from tax record
$163 /mo · $1,961/yr
Insurance
$59
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$259
Net cashflow
$-47

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,295
Max offer price $133,652
Occupancy floor 99%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,500
Closing costs
$4,260
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
27 Rudolph St Mc Kees Rocks, PA 3.0 1.0 1084 $1,100 $1.01 1d 1 0.26mi
1126 Dohrman St Unit MC McKees Rocks, PA 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,250 $1.04 43d 1 0.41mi
1124a Dohrman St McKees Rocks, PA 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,250 $1.09 23d 1 0.42mi
933 Woodward Ave Unit NA McKees Rocks, PA 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,400 $1.27 20d 1 0.43mi
933 Woodward Ave Unit MC McKees Rocks, PA 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,400 $1.27 23d 1 0.43mi
915 Woodward Ave Mc Kees Rocks, PA 3.0 1.0 1224 $1,399 $1.14 43d 1 0.44mi
802 13th St Unit 2 McKees Rocks, PA 2.0 1.0 1100 $920 $0.84 43d 1 0.47mi
214 Wright St Unit Na McKees Rocks, PA 2.0 1.0 954 $1,175 $1.23 14d 1 0.47mi
705 Russellwood Ave Apt 1 McKees Rocks, PA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,549 $1.94 23d 1 0.47mi
614 Woodward Ave McKees Rocks, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $950 $0.95 7d 1 0.64mi
10 Highland Dr Mc Kees Rocks, PA 2.0 1.0 1188 $1,300 $1.09 43d 1 0.71mi
71 McKinnie Ave Mc Kees Rocks, PA 2.0 1.0 1176 $1,100 $0.94 23d 1 0.79mi
27 Highland Ave Mc Kees Rocks, PA 3.0 1.0 1488 $1,425 $0.96 23d 1 0.90mi
214 Erwin Pl Mc Kees Rocks, PA 3.0 1.0 1026 $1,685 $1.64 43d 1 0.91mi
907 Chartiers Ave Unit 2 McKees Rocks, PA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 23d 1 0.95mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $142,000 Active 65 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $142,000 Active 64 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $142,000 Active 63 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $142,000 Active 62 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $142,000 Active 60 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $142,000 Active 59 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $142,000 Active 56 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $142,000 Active 55 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $142,000 Active 54 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $142,000 Active 50 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $142,000 Active 49 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $142,000 Active 48 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $142,000 Active 47 DOM
  14. 2026-05-22
    status Active
  15. 2026-04-19
    status Pending
  16. 2026-04-17
    price $142,000
  17. 2026-03-11
    listed $150,000 Active
  18. 1990-06-20
    soldstatus $21,500
  19. 1979-02-16
    soldstatus $11,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,961 · $163/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,102 · $175/mo
Expected delta
+$141/yr (+$12/mo · 7.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 79% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,818
− Mortgage interest
−$7,954
− Property taxes
−$1,961
− Insurance
−$1,376
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,185
− Management
−$1,185
− Depreciation
−$4,131
Taxable loss
−$2,975
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$714
After-tax cash flow
$147/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Montour SD
NCES district ID
4215720
Math proficiency
62% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
75% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$66,512
Composite
59.65/100
National rank
#904
State rank
#29 of 539 in PA

Livability — Kennedy

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
22,623
Household income
$69,099
Rent vs Own
35.5% rent · 64.5% own
Severe rent burden
768.0

Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,250,282 people
By 2030
1,256,482 · +0.5%
By 2040
1,256,318 · +0.5%
By 2050
1,244,169 · -0.5%
By 2075
1,197,693 · -4.2%
By 2100
1,093,187 · -12.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Black 18% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Subsaharan African 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
2008→2024 swing
+4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -107.07%
Current HPI
244.6934
Rent YoY
▲ 13.12%
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1093.3% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Relisted West Penn MLS
  • 2026-04-19 Pending West Penn MLS
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $142,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-03-11 Listed $150,000 West Penn MLS
  • 1990-06-20 Sold (Public Records) $21,500 Public Records
  • 1979-02-16 Sold (Public Records) $11,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,961 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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