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10956 Los Magos Cir
C Composite 57.78
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$150,000

10956 Los Magos Cir · Socorro, TX 79927
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · Manufactured · 9 Days on market
Built 1980 0.50 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Recently renovated 3-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home situated on a spacious 0.50-acre, with no HOA! Whether you're looking for a comfortable place to call home or the perfect canvas to build your dream home down the road, this property offers endless potential. The mobile home is not on a permanent foundation and can be relocated if desired, giving buyers added flexibility and options. Conveniently located and full of opportunity - schedule your showing today! ----- Casa móvil recientemente renovada con 3 recámaras y 1 baño, ubicada en un amplio terreno de 0.50 acres, sin HOA! Ya sea que busques un hogar acogedor o el lugar perfecto para construir la casa de tus s

Key facts

  • Spacious 0.50-acre
  • Recently renovated
  • No hoa

Tags

RECENTLY RENOVATEDNO HOASPACIOUS 0.50-ACRECONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No HOA fees listed (association fee includes: None)

Exterior

  • Utilities: Sewer: see remarks
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story (manufactured home dimensions: approximately 24' x 42')
  • Construction: Wood siding construction
  • Exterior features: See remarks (additional exterior details provided by listing); Fenced yard; Pitched roof; Wood siding

Interior

  • Kitchen: Fan hood; See remarks (additional kitchen details provided by listing)
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Evaporative cooling
  • Interior features: See remarks (additional interior details provided by listing)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $236 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $147k (1.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $147k (1.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#830 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Socorro ISD (urban): math 23% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #624 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Robert R Rojas El (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,836 of 4,322 statewide, top 91%, 516 students, 89% FRL); Salvador Sanchez Middle (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,583 of 1,662 statewide, top 96%, 615 students, 86% FRL); Socorro H S (math 13% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,333 of 1,632 statewide, top 82%, 2,484 students, 87% FRL) — zoned schools average 87% FRL vs 66% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 219 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,196 units permitted in El Paso County in 2024 (143 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-0.9%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • El Paso County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-0.9% appreciation + 5.3% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $14k; list at $150k implies a 991% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $147,087 (1.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
8.18%
Cash-on-cash
6.74%
DSCR
1.30
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.93% appreciation · 5.29% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.0%
Equity multiple
1.18×
Total profit
$7,608
Equity at exit
$36,687
10-year hold
IRR
12.0%
Equity multiple
2.27×
Total profit
$53,386
Equity at exit
$38,932

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79927

Home prices YoY
-0.4%
Rents YoY
5.3%
Active inventory
219
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,471 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$77 /mo · $922/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$309
Net cashflow
$236

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,172
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $321 -5% $278 +0% $236 +5% $194 +10% $151
Rent -10% $120 -5% $178 +0% $236 +5% $294 +10% $352
Rate -1.0pp $312 -0.5pp $274 base $236 +0.5pp $197 +1.0pp $158

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10680 Horn Cir Unit 12 Socorro, TX 2.0 2.0 940 $1,350 $1.44 44d 1 0.69mi
10680 Horn Cir Socorro, TX 2.0 2.0 940 $1,338 $1.42 3d 3 0.69mi
780 Clems Rd Unit 7 Socorro, TX 2.0 2.0 1021 $1,200 $1.18 24d 1 0.83mi
780 Clems Rd Socorro, TX 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 963 $1,200 $1.25 3d 3 0.83mi
780 Clems Rd Unit 2 Socorro, TX 3.0 2.0 906 $1,200 $1.32 24d 1 0.83mi
780 Clems Rd Unit 1 Socorro, TX 3.0 1.0 920 $1,200 $1.30 24d 1 0.83mi
10368 Potencia Dr Unit B Socorro, TX 2.0 1.0 700 $800 $1.14 15d 1 1.48mi
10183 Dijon Pl Socorro, TX 3.0 2.0 1340 $1,495 $1.12 15d 1 1.48mi
10281 Valle del Mar Dr El Paso, TX 3.0 2.0 1328 $1,600 $1.20 15d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-05
    statusdays on market $150,000 Pending 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $150,000 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $150,000 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-05-26
    listed $150,000 Active
  7. 1985-10-07
    soldstatus $13,750

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$922 · $77/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,745 · $229/mo
Expected delta
+$1,823/yr (+$152/mo · 197.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,650
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$922
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,412
− Management
−$1,412
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$388
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$93
After-tax cash flow
$2,739/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Socorro ISD
NCES district ID
4840710
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -34.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$49,318
Composite
25.67/100
National rank
#7396
State rank
#624 of 826 in TX

Livability — Socorro

Score
63/100
State rank
#830
US rank
#14960

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Socorro, TX
County
El Paso County · 761,266 people
City population
44,444
Metro
El Paso, TX
Population (ZIP)
44,444
Household income
$53,652
Rent vs Own
19.2% rent · 80.8% own
Severe rent burden
732.0

Population outlook (El Paso County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
897,899 people
By 2030
922,694 · +2.8%
By 2040
960,492 · +7.0%
By 2050
982,919 · +9.5%
By 2075
997,266 · +11.1%
By 2100
900,630 · +0.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (97%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 97% Two or more races 39% Native American 2% White 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 94%
Foreign-born
34% · Canada
Languages at home
16% English-only · Spanish 84%

Political lean MEDSL · El Paso

2024 margin
D (+15.1) · D 57.0% · R 41.8% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-17.4pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 15.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+15.1 2020: D+35.1 2016: D+43.2 2012: D+32.6 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.93%
Current HPI
239.646
Rent YoY
▲ 5.29%
Metro
El Paso, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+990.9% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $150,000 GEPARMLS
  • 1985-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $13,750 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $922 · -1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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