8-Plex
226 Cedar Ave S · North Bend, WA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AO
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.77%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $848 – $2,087
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 86°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.4/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Schools +7.1/10.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,495,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 8 units. confirmed
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks
8-unit stabilized multifamily property centrally located in the thriving Snoqualmie Valley market of North Bend with beautiful views of Mount Si. 100% occupied and just steps from downtown North Bend, offering walkable access to restaurants, retail, parks, and local amenities. Tucked away on a quiet cul-de-sac bordering a city park, the property provides a peaceful residential setting and features 16 on-site parking spaces plus additional street parking. The building includes a recently replaced roof (approximately 2 years old) and presents a value-add opportunity through cosmetic upgrades and operational efficiencies. Residents enjoy quick access to I-90, allowing convenient commuting to S
Key facts
- Quiet cul-de-sac
- Quick access to i-90
- Multifamily property
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 8 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $1.50M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $5k ($57k/yr) — positive. Per door: $590/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($18k rent vs $1.50M).
- Recommended offer: $1.47M (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 1.5% in North Bend — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#187 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F, cost of living F.
- Snoqualmie Valley School District (town): math 73% / reading 80% proficiency, ranked #5 of 291 in WA (top 2%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: North Bend Elementary School (456 students, 18% FRL); Mount Si High School (2,081 students, 13% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.8%/yr); 147 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $18,471/mo this rent would consume 126% of the median local household income ($176k/yr) (locally 281% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $10k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $45k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.8% rent growth), your $419k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($1.47M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $122/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AO (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.89%
- DSCR
- 1.62
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.77% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $151,471
- Equity at exit
- $222,909
- IRR
- 21.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.25×
- Total profit
- $940,066
- Equity at exit
- $129,260
Cash invested: $418,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98045
- Rents YoY
- 7.8%
- Active inventory
- 147
- Price-to-rent
- 54.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $18,471 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$7,840
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,284 /mo · $15,406/yr
- Insurance
- −$623
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$122 /mo · $1,468/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$3,879
- Net cashflow
- $4,723
Break-even live
8-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8× units | 2 | 1.5 | $18,472 |
| #1 | 2 | 1.5 | $2,309 |
| #2 | 2 | 1.5 | $2,309 |
| #3 | 2 | 1.5 | $2,309 |
| #4 | 2 | 1.5 | $2,309 |
| #5 | 2 | 1.5 | $2,309 |
| #6 | 2 | 1.5 | $2,309 |
| #7 | 2 | 1.5 | $2,309 |
| #8 | 2 | 1.5 | $2,309 |
| Total (8 units) | $18,471 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $373,750
- Closing costs
- $44,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-04-03status Pending
-
2026-03-13$1,495,000 Active
-
2023-11-15historical $1,350
-
2023-11-12$1,350
-
2022-06-05price $1,295
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $15,406 · $1,284/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $15,406 · $1,284/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AO · 77% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥86°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 16 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $221,652
- − Mortgage interest
- −$83,743
- − Property taxes
- −$15,406
- − Insurance
- −$8,942
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$17,732
- − Management
- −$17,732
- − Depreciation
- −$43,491
- Taxable income
- $34,605
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$8,305
- After-tax cash flow
- $48,372/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Snoqualmie Valley School District
- NCES district ID
- 5308040
- Math proficiency
- 73% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 80% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $106,540
- Composite
- 71.07/100
- National rank
- #481
- State rank
- #5 of 291 in WA
Livability — North Bend
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #187
- US rank
- #5052
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Bend, WA
- County
- King County · 2,251,916 people
- City population
- 15,289
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,289
- Household income
- $175,765
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 281.0
Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,576,485 people
- By 2030
- 2,803,316 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 3,255,921 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 3,706,444 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 4,746,063 · +84.2%
- By 2100
- 5,407,730 · +109.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 4% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · King
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -896.51%
- Current HPI
- 341.5636
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.77%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+115344.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-03 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-13 Listed $1,495,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-11-15 Rental Removed $1,350 APPFOLIO
- 2023-11-12 Listed for Rent $1,350 APPFOLIO
- 2022-06-05 Price Changed $1,295 APPFOLIO
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2025): $15,406 · -3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…